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News & discussion on house and senate races

 
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:00 am
Democrat Steve Kagen won the race for the largely rural 8th district in Wisconsin, which also includes the city of Green Bay - and which I think, for some reason, is Timberlandko's district (Timber?).

The race had been rated a toss-up by both CQ and NYT; it had voted for Bush both in 2000 and 2004. Kagen won 52% to 48%.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:01 am
Goodnight Old Europe! Or, ehh, good morning - I mean, no - sleep well, yeah ;-)
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kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:09 am
Yep, good night Old Europe.

You can always tell your boss your sister or niece had a baby if he asks why you seem to be dragging an anchor at work. Very Happy
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kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:22 am
Dem McCaskill just pulled ahead of Rep. Talent in Missouri.

with Webb having the lead going into a recount in Virginia
with Tester (D) moving ahead of Burns (R) in Montana
and now McCaskill moving ahead of Talent in Missouri, it now appears most likely the Democrats have won the Senate!!!
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:24 am
Wow, there's a LOT of really, really close races out there still...

These two seem lost, alas:

sozobe wrote:
Deborah Pryce vs. Mary Jo Kilroy is the other Ohio one I'm watching closely -- Pryce is evil (always disliked her, and she's been barraging my mailbox with really odious negative ads about Kilroy). Right now it's 51/49 Kilroy.

Pryce is ahead 51%/49%, some 3,500 votes, with 99% of precincts reporting..

JPB wrote:
I think the House will shift to the Democrats and I'm even holding out hope for Dan Seals to beat Mark Kirk in the IL-10th District. He was -25 points in early Oct and +2 last week (I did my part).

Kirk is ahead 53% to 47%, with 71% of precincts in.

Sadly, Iraq war veteran Tammy Duckworth also didnt make it in IL 6.

But run through the list of other House races that are still incredibly close:

- Republican incumbent Musgrave vs Paccione in CO 4, 46%/43%, with 63% in;
- Republican incumbent Simmons vs Courtney in CT 2, 50%/50% with 92% of the results in;
- Democratic incumbent Marshall vs Collins in GA 8, 50%/50% with 94% in;
- Democratic incumbent Barrow vs Burns in GA 12, 50%/50% with 95% in;
- Republican incumbent Porter vs Hafen in NV 3, 48%/47% with 63% in;
- Republican incumbent Wilson vs Madrid in NM 1, 50%/50% with 93% in;
- Republican incumbent Gerlach vs Murphy in PA 6, 49%/51% with 78% in;
- Republican incumbent Cubin vs Trauner in Wyoming (!), 48%/48% with 98% in...
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:26 am
kelticwizard wrote:
with Tester (D) moving ahead of Burns (R) in Montana

Montana is looking good.. perhaps I shouldnt have made that last change to my prediction...
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kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:35 am
Right now, at this moment, I would put the Democratic chances of winning the Senate at between 75 to 80 percent.

It should be noted that last year in Virginia, they held a recount in the Attorney General's race. it made only a difference of 40 votes. Webb leads Allen by over 2500 votes.

Doesn't look good for Allen.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:36 am
Webb declaring victory...

Cycloptichorn Laughing
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:46 am
From the Missouri Secretary of State website:

U.S. Senator
Precincts Reporting 3183 of 3746

McCaskill, Claire DEM 867,295 49.1%
Talent, Jim REP 842,170 47.7%

But also - note the other squeaker in that state - possibly the single closest ballot initiative results in the country:

Constitutional Amendment No. 2 - 2006
Stem Cell Initiative
Precincts Reporting 3075 of 3734

Yes 856,509 50.1%
No 853,097 49.9%
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kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:46 am
The outstanding votes are from two counties. Webb has won the votes that have been counted from those two counties.

It is going to be hard to see how Allen can win, though I don't blame him for demanding the recount. But the numbers certainly appear to add up for Webb.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 12:57 am
In Wyoming's House district, according to the useful TPMCafe link Cyclo provided earlier, with 98% of the precincts in:

Trauner (D): 47.91%
Cubin (R): 48.26%
Rankin (L): 3.84% ..

This one I'm really eager to still turn... just 0,35% difference...
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 01:08 am
My favourite is Albuquerque:

U.S. House Dist. 1
431 of 465 precincts reporting (93%)
Patricia Madrid 94,213 - 50 percent
Heather Wilson (i) 93,422 - 50 percent
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 01:13 am
Even closer by now ...

437 of 465 precincts reporting (94%)
Patricia Madrid 95,269 - 50 percent
Heather Wilson (i) 94,901 - 50 percent
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 01:15 am
nimh wrote:
nimh wrote:
There are now three states already that have been called as voting for a raise in the minumum wage. And not obviously blue states either: Ohio, Montana and Missouri Smile

Arizona and Nevada have also voted to raise the minimum wage Very Happy

nimh wrote:
Banning gay marriage was also approved in South-Carolina (77% in favour with 69% of precincts in) and Tennessee (81% in favour with 49% in). [..] the Wisconians have also voted to ban gay marriage, with a comfortable margin even it seems (58% to 42% with 56% of precincts reporting).


Colorado has also voted to:

- Raise the minimum wage
- Ban gay marriage

You take the bad with the good...

kelticwizard wrote:
Webb leads Allen by over 2500 votes.

Doesn't look good for Allen.

The Virginia website says Webb's lead is 8000 now.. ;-)

(By the way, an independent Green candidate got 26,000 votes.. I'm betting she'll be glad if Webb wins, cause otherwise she's not going to be a popular lady.)

Goodnight to anyone still awake... (and good morning Walter) - Cheers Smile
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 01:18 am
CNN reports him up by 12

Cycloptichorn
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 01:22 am
And it's called Missouri for McCaskill!

okbye
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 02:06 am
Now, that's what I call narrow ... and exciting:

New Mexico
U.S. House Dist. 1
459 of 465 precincts reporting (99%)
Heather Wilson (i) 99,242 - 50 percent
Patricia Madrid 98,071 - 50 percent
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 02:51 am
The latest ...

Quote:
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 05:03 am
sierragiggles wrote:
Quote:
That's why I can confidently predict that the GOP will keep control of both houses. (That and the fact that I know the numbers from the early voting/absentee ballots and our GOTV efforts have paid off).
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dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Nov, 2006 05:16 am
Can this be true????????????


NEWSFLASH: Democrats Win Both Houses
Wednesday, 8 November 2006, 8:05 pm
Article: Alastair Thompson

NEWSFLASH: Democrats Win Both Houses

By Alastair Thompson
In a remarkable last minute run in the count the Democrats are now headed for a victory in both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

To recap:
The Democrats needed to win senate races in three states out of, Tennessee, Montana, Missouri and Virginia.

Just as the major US Networks ended their coverage for the night the race was still up in the air. But as of 8pm NZT the results have swung dramatically in favour of the Democratic Party.

Virginia 99% Precincts Reporting
– Democratic Challenger Jim Webb 1,143,756
– Republican Incumbent George Allen 1,141,030

Democratic Majority 2,726

[UPDATE 10:56pm: Jim Webb's majority has widened to 7000+ votes.]

Montana 60% Precincts Reporting
– Democratic Challenger Jon Tester 119,792
– Republican Incumbent Conrad Burns 110,079

Democratic majority 9,713

[UPDATE 10:53pm: Yellowstone County the State's most populous county has ordered a recount of 70,000 votes. The results of this are due no earlier than 7am MT (2am NZT). Meanwhile the Democratic lead in the state has shrunk to just 4000 votes. At present the final result for the Senate seems to rest on this county.]

Missouri 85% Precincts Reporting
– Democratic Challenger Claire McCaskill 867,295
– Republican Incumbent Jim Talent 842,170

Democratic majority 25125

Tennessee 99% Precincts Reporting
– Democratic Challenger Harold Ford 872,011
– Republican Incumbent George Allen Bob Corker 921,085

Republican majority 49,074

Going into the first day after the election the Democrats are in the box seat with 51 seats in the U.S. Senates. While it is possible that there will be a recounts in Virginia and Montana, with many of the votes cast in Virginia cast on paperless electronic voting machines it may be difficult to do so there with any confidence of credibility.

(Scoop NEWSFLASH coverage concludes.)



http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0611/S00149.htm










Any news from the USA re this?
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