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News & discussion on house and senate races

 
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 27 Sep, 2006 05:06 pm
AFP notes that a "Gallup poll last week found that two in five respondents believe the administration has deliberately manipulated gas prices to coincide with the fall campaign season".

On this count, I have to go with WH spokesman Tony Snow:

Quote:
"I have been amused by ... the attempt [..] to say that the president has been rigging gas prices [..]

"It also raises the question, if we're dropping gas prices now, why on earth did we raise them to 3.50 dollars before?"
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 27 Sep, 2006 05:10 pm
AFP notes that a "Gallup poll last week found that two in five respondents believe the administration has deliberately manipulated gas prices to coincide with the fall campaign season".

On this count, I have to go with WH spokesman Tony Snow:

Quote:
"I have been amused by ... the attempt [..] to say that the president has been rigging gas prices [..]

"It also raises the question, if we're dropping gas prices now, why on earth did we raise them to 3.50 dollars before?"
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 27 Sep, 2006 05:17 pm
How hard is that question to answer? Obviously, they raised it to funnel further monies from the poor to the rich. Now that they need the poor to vote, the price drops. qed

Cycloptichorn

[size=7]/sarcasm[/size]
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Wed 27 Sep, 2006 06:22 pm
On the one hand, the Allen N-word accusations seem to be going a bit awry:


- Larry Sabato "said he had never personally heard Sen. George Allen use racial epithets, despite saying on television a day earlier that the senator "did use the n-word."

Quote:
"I didn't personally hear GFA (Allen's initials) say the n-word.

"My conclusion is based on the very credible testimony I have heard for weeks, mainly from people I personally know and knew in the '70s," Sabato wrote.

- And there is an element of "glass houses" involved, it appears:

Quote:
Also Tuesday, Allen's Democratic opponent, Jim Webb, declined to say definitively whether he had ever used a racial slur to describe blacks.

"I don't think that there's anyone who grew up around the South that hasn't had the word pass through their lips at one time or another in their life," Webb told reporters.

Webb referred to his novel, "Fields of Fire," which aides said includes passages using the n-word as part of character dialogue. But he added: "I have never issued a racial or ethnic slur."

Asked for clarification of his original answer, spokeswoman Jessica Smith quoted Webb as saying, "I have never used that word in my general vocabulary or in any derogatory way."

She declined to say whether he had ever used the word apart from when he wrote his book.

- Finally, there is no police record or memory of the "deer head" thing. That, though, doesnt tell me much; I dont know how likely a black Va. resident was to report such a thing exactly.

Quote:
two Louisa County sheriff's deputies who were on the force in the early '70s said that they recall no complaints about severed animal heads.

Retired Lt. Robert Rigsby said he was in charge of investigations in the early '70s, and any such report would have gone through him.

"I think that's a myth," Rigsby said.


On the other hand, the deer head incident has actually been confirmed by a second source - right when the Allen camp was making Shelton, the man who recounted it, out to be a bald-faced liar:

Quote:
Another Allen teammate recalls deer head incident

A former college football teammate of Sen. George Allen's has confirmed details of a controversial hunting trip in the early 1970s, during which Allen is alleged to have placed a severed deer head in a mailbox that he believed to be owned by a black family. [..]

George Beam, a nuclear engineering company manager who lives outside Lynchburg, Va. [and] played football with Allen, said he remembers Lanahan, who is now deceased, describing the hunting trip with Allen and Shelton.

"We were sitting around drinking beer," Beam said in an interview Wednesday morning, recalling the conversation with Lanahan. "Billy said, 'George and Kenny and I went hunting, and we decided at some time to cut off this deer head and stick it in a mailbox.'" [..]

In a press appearance Monday, Allen dismissed Shelton's claims as "absolutely false," "pure fabrication" and "nonsense," according to the Washington Post.

Beam said he was motivated to speak to a reporter about his memory because of recent attacks against Shelton's integrity by people close to the Allen campaign, a group that includes several former teammates. "I knew Kenny Shelton, and his reputation in my opinion is irreproachable," Beam said Wednesday morning, adding that he had not spoken to Shelton in decades. [..]

In the Post Wednesday, Chris LaCivita, a consultant for the Allen campaign, suggested that Shelton had fabricated the deer head story because a similar incident had been reported in North Carolina in January. Shelton said he had never heard of the North Carolina report, and called LaCivita's allegation ridiculous. [..]


And there is an additional person recounting Allen using the "N-word" too:


Well - two additional persons, actually; here's the second one:

Quote:
N-WORD ACCUSER OF THE DAY:

The latest acquaintance of George Allen with a specific and on the record account of Allen using the N-word is Ellen G. Hawkins of Manquin, Virginia. The New York Times has the story:

    Mrs. Hawkins, who described herself as a rural Virginia housewife and an active Democrat, said in an interview Tuesday that she heard Mr. Allen use the slur repeatedly at a party on election night in 1976. She said Mr. Allen used the term while deprecating the intelligence of the black players on the Washington Redskins football team, which Mr. Allen's father coached. Recalling remarks about its star running back, Larry Brown, Mrs. Hawkins said that Mr. Allen "started in effect bad-mouthing him, saying what a shiftless you-know-what" he was.
She said she remembered the conversation because she was a big fan of the team and was shocked. She said Mr. Allen's statement on Monday was "just plain a lie."

On Tuesday afternoon, I obtained an email sent by Hawkins in which she discussed the incident and noted a few additional details:

    I have a very specific memory of a conversation I had with George Allen when he was in law school at UVA, in which he used similar language -- much to my shock at the time. In my case, I can give time and place, as it occurred at a Ford-Carter election night party at the home of a mutual friend. I might add that I have told some people about this throughout the years -- most recently I talked to Tyler Whitley of the Richmond Times Dispatch about it a few weeks ago when he asked me why I was supporting Jim Webb in this campaign.
What was the response of Allen campaign manager Dick Wadhams, the guy formerly known as the next Karl Rove, to the latest N-word charge? He told the Times it was "another false accusation."

Or, in Ryan Lizza's summary:

Quote:
I truly don't mean to pile on, but it's worth summarizing what we now know about Allen's history on matters of race:

-He wore or displayed Confederate memorabilia from high school (late 1960s) until 1993, including on himself, his car, in his living room, and in a campaign ad.

-In high school he allegedly sprayed racist graffiti on his school's walls.

-In college he allegedly stuffed the head of a deer in a black family's mailbox.

-According to the accounts of three independent, on the record sources and two anonymous sources, in college and law school in the 1970s and as an attorney starting a political career in the early 1980s, Allen regularly and casually used the word "nigger" to describe African Americans.

There are two possibilities: Allen is the victim of a massive conspiracy to paint him as a racist, a plot that involves numerous high school and college classmates, a Virginia housewife, an Alabama anthropologist, and a North Carolina radiologist. Or, George Allen was a racist.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Wed 27 Sep, 2006 08:04 pm
realjohnboy wrote:


I was surprised, by the way, that Larry Sabato, who was mentioned in the story link, weighed in as a classmate of Mr Allen saying that Allen did indeed display racist attitudes. Sabato is an oft-quoted political analyst.


Damn. This story about George Allen of Virginia and racism just will not go away.
I thought that, after johnboy's and nimh's very minimal debate a night or so ago we could move on. Two or three days left for Congress before they adjourn to begin campaigning full time. A dangerous time, I was going to suggest. Bills get passed that make for good soundbytes but are otherwise irresponsible.

But we are back to Mr Allen. More folks appearing to denounce him and there will be others stepping up to support him. As I mentioned and Nimh quoted, Mr Sabato, a political analyst who was a classmate of Mr Allen, has found himself caught up in the story. I suspect he wishes he had kept his mouth shut for a change.

I don't know how this is going to turn out on election day. My thinking is that Mr Allen remains slightly ahead. He has made a series of gaffes but his opponent, Mr Webb, has also and comes across to many as being very wooden.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Sep, 2006 04:03 am
Yep, a latest poll (from the 25th) actually showed Allen winning a point, and Webb falling back one. Thats statistically insignificant, but in any case does not suggest Allen is suffering much from the racism flap. If this goes on much longer I think there might even be a backlash of sorts that could benefit Allen.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Sep, 2006 01:13 pm
Quote:
Pa. congressman faces election challenge

Sex could be the undoing of a family values Republican.

Four-term Rep. Don Sherwood recently had one of the safest seats in Congress as his conservatism played well in his heavily GOP, rural district in northeastern Pennsylvania. Democrats didn't even bother fielding a candidate in the last two elections.

Then last year Sherwood admitted to a five-year extramarital affair with a woman 35 years his junior. He settled a lawsuit claiming he had choked her.

Constituents were stunned. Many turned angry. And some may be turning to his Democratic opponent.

Sherwood won the GOP primary with only 56 percent of the vote even though he faced a political novice who spent less than $5,000 on her campaign. [..]

Sherwood [..] won two tough races against Patrick Casey, son of late Democratic Gov. Robert Casey, before his district was reconfigured after the 2000 Census to make it safer for Republicans. Now Republican voters outnumber Democrats by 55,000; lacking a Democratic challenger in 2004, he collected 93 percent of the vote. [..]

His [current] Democratic opponent, former Pentagon intelligence analyst Chris Carney, alludes to Sherwood's personal conduct in a television ad.

"Don Sherwood is not representing the values of this district," Carney, a political science professor at Penn State's Worthington Scranton campus, says in the commercial. "Mr. Sherwood went to Washington and he didn't remember the values he took with him. ... Send me to Congress and I'll make you proud."

In another spot, Carney says, "What we have in Washington are people who don't accept responsibility for their actions." [..]

Underscoring the competitiveness of the race, national Republicans and Democrats are spending money on the contest.

Sherwood [..] said voters might flirt with Carney, an anti-abortion Democrat, but will ultimately decide to go with his experience and conservative brand of politics.

"I think the voters will find there's a big difference in philosophy between Chris Carney and Don Sherwood, and I think they will understand that Mr. Carney is far more liberal than they are or believe we should be," Sherwood said.

Carney, a 47-year-old married father of five, said Sherwood is ripe for defeat, given voters' pessimism about the direction of the nation and President Bush's sagging poll numbers. [..]
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Sep, 2006 01:18 pm
In another sign that the recent uptick in Bush's approval numbers doesnt seem to be impacting state races yet, Congressional Quarterly is moving the Tennessee Senate race from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite":

Ford Pulls Even With Corker in Tennessee Senate Contest
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Sep, 2006 01:53 pm
nimh wrote:
How can you educate people about how bad something is if you're not actually going to say what it is? Then you just end up playing hide-and-seek, instead of confronting the issue head-on.

When I report here that there is a flap about George Allen perhaps having said "nigger", I certainly dont feel that saying so in turns amounts to offence; in fact, avoiding it even when talking about it, IMO, just comes down to obfuscating the issue.

But I already argued my perspective on this (more articulately and at length) in the Shaq and race thread, here and before that, here, probably better not repeat myself.

Arguably related thread: German faces fine for using swastika in anti-Nazi merchandise
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Sep, 2006 02:22 pm
House member Mark Foley (R-Fla) abruptly resigned today following disclosure of e-mails he sent to a 16-year old male page (pages are teenagers nominated by Congress members. The young men and young women work for a school year working as "go-fers." You see them running around if you watch C-Span).
Mr Foley, 52, is in his 7th term and was considered a shoo-in to win reelection against his Dem opponent. The Repubs, six weeks before the election, have not yet announced what they plan to do.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Sep, 2006 02:30 pm
realjohnboy wrote:
The Repubs, six weeks before the election, have not yet announced what they plan to do.

Alan Keyes is probably available.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Sep, 2006 03:26 pm
Oh dear...
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Sep, 2006 03:51 pm
(By the way, I wish we still had the ability to edit posts beyond the "until next post" deadline. The gender of the 15-16 year old page Mr Foley was contacting is totally irrelevant. I have good company, though, for my miscue. NPR, in its first report, --after mine-- mentioned that it was a male page early in the story. An hour later, in the next newscast, the gender of the page was only alluded to by a single reference to "He.")
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Sep, 2006 04:30 pm
The age of the page is not irrelevant. If he had be of age, it wouldn't have too big of a deal except as a typical republican "do as a say not as I do" kind of a thing. However, the fact that Foley introduced legislation to protect minors on the internet just makes it doubly ironic to say the least.

Quote:
Foley, as chairman of the Missing and Exploited Children's Caucus, had introduced legislation in July to protect children from exploitation by adults over the Internet. He also sponsored other legislation designed to protect minors from abuse and neglect.

"We track library books better than we do sexual predators," Foley has said.


source
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sat 30 Sep, 2006 06:28 am
Apparently the FL ballot will list Foley as the Republican candidate. Votes cast for Foley will be counted for the replacement candidate. I'm not sure if that hurts or helps the replacement candidate.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 30 Sep, 2006 06:32 am
Exactly that puzzled me a lot - but we have a "candidate votes" here (with a seocnd vote in federal and state elections [only] for a party), so that may be the reason.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 30 Sep, 2006 06:47 am
I find this story just goddamned depressing. Likely, there's a happy (for me) electoral consequence in it but otherwise, it just seems to represent so much that's cruel and nutty about american/conservative homophobia.
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Sun 1 Oct, 2006 12:59 pm
The featured "Foley" thread seems to have gone to hell so I'll post this here. I have two sisters in FL, one in Foley's district and one not. Both are lifelong Republicans. I emailed them and asked them what they thought the impact of Foley's resignation would have on the way FL Republicans vote in November. I found their comments interesting.

The sister who lives in Foley's district said she is angered that his name will still be on the ballot, can't imagine voting for 'him', even in name only, and is considering not voting this year. The other sister said she feels that all votes for Foley should be discarded and the replacement candidate should be forced to run a write-in campaign.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Sun 1 Oct, 2006 02:19 pm
JPB wrote:
The featured "Foley" thread seems to have gone to hell


Boy, did it ever! I hadn't seen it for a day or so. Among the exchanges was this: "You are a really nasty ****, aren't you?"

The FL law is clear. If a candidate withdraws after winning the primary or the nomination, his/her name is on the ballot and votes for that candididate go to the replacement. I don't think I have a problem with the concept. If a candidate were to, say, die right before an election (which has happened), the party selects an alternate. For that person to mount a write-in campaign would be very difficult. And, since the departed candidate's name is still on the ballot, what do you do with the votes that he/she gets.

Anyway, I think the Repubs in the 16th (?) District have a big problem. Who the hell would volunteer to be the replacement?
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Sun 1 Oct, 2006 02:25 pm
As I read it, DLowan is a 2$ whore but that may be only a conservative's opinion (you know conservatives, they are the moral majority) Excuse me will I go barf up something that makes me ill.
0 Replies
 
 

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