@Lash,
Lash wrote:I think after they finally cut this cord, things will improve. The sky isn’t falling.
Certainly the sky wouldn't be falling.
But would things really improve?
The two-year period (Article 50) ends on 29 March 2019 (or 30 March, as it would be in continental Europe).
Without a withdrawal agreement here would be no transition period after Brexit = an abrupt rupture in UK/EU relations.
Then, there would be no specific arrangement on the rights of EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU, there would be border checks, drivers had to have an international driving licence (that would be 7 million for the UK it was said), people from the UK going to the continent must have overseas health insurance, the UK would have substantially less access to the EU single market, etc etc.
From one day to the other. Abruptly. And obviously not well prepared (okay, the EU just published a document about it as well as 68 technical notices for the member states).
There are no deals about e.g. what happens to UK planes when the UK has left the European Aviation Safety Agency, the supply line chains for food and medicines would be disrupted ...
However, if both sides conclude soon that negotiations will not succeed and that the "no deal" is highly likely, both will at least have several months to prepare.
I suspect that the EU is better prepared than the UK
(Those driving licences are an example: they only this week noticed the International Driving Permits thing: 100,000 International Driving Permits are issued every year by 89 post offices around the country. In the first year after a no-deal Brexit, those numbers would rise to an estimated 4,500 post offices issuing up to seven million permits - to take into account journeys into the EU.
And I wonder how long it will take that someone in the UK notices: the British Forces (they are still here until 2020 with some thousand soldiers and families, afterwards still with some hundreds) have "NHS partnerhospitals here (will be just one in the nearby city soon). And the "SSAFA GSTT Care LLP" (a partnership between SSAFA Forces Help [SSAFA] and Guy's and St Thomas' Trust [GSTT].is considered to be equivalent to one of the 300 German mandatory heath insurance companies ....)