Moore's Law predicted to end in 2022

Reply Mon 22 Jun, 2015 12:47 am



Predictions of the end of Moore's Law are as old as Moore's Law itself, but this guy used to be Intel's chief architect and is currently the director of DARPA's Microsystems Technology Office. It's possible that he knows what he is talking about.

We also used to think that Dennard scaling would last forever, then 2004 happened....
  • Topic Stats
  • Top Replies
  • Link to this Topic
Type: Discussion • Score: 0 • Views: 3,005 • Replies: 1
No top replies

Reply Tue 7 Dec, 2021 11:08 pm
I didn't realize this back in 2015, but Moore's Law went into cardiac arrest only a couple months after I started this thread. Once Intel came out with the 14nm Skylake CPU in August 2015, they then embarked on a plan to just keep on selling 14nm Skylake CPUs until the end of time.

But thanks to the magic of market competition, doctors have finally managed to get Moore's Law's heart beating again. In November 2020, AMD finally ushered in the 10nm era by coming out with a Skylake-killer called Zen 3. Intel's sales of warmed-over 14nm Skylake CPUs must have dropped to near zero, because they quickly fired their CEO and replaced him with the guy who designed the 80486.

And now Intel is joining the 10nm game with their first new microarchitecture since Skylake:

If nothing else, this should prove once and for all that market competition is a very good thing.
Code:Jul 2006 65nm Intel Core 2 (Core microarchitecture)
Sep 2009 45nm Intel Core 1st Generation (Nehalem microarchitecture)
Jan 2011 32nm Intel Core 2nd Generation (Sandy Bridge microarchitecture)
Jun 2013 22nm Intel Core 4th Generation (Haswell microarchitecture)
Aug 2015 14nm Intel Core 6th Generation (Skylake microarchitecture)
Apr 2020 14nm Intel Core 10th Generation (Skylake microarchitecture)
Nov 2020 10nm AMD Zen 3
Jan 2021 ---- Intel CEO Replaced
Nov 2021 10nm Intel Core 12th Generation (Alder Lake microarchitecture)
0 Replies

Related Topics

Clone of Micosoft Office - Question by Advocate
Do You Turn Off Your Computer at Night? - Discussion by Phoenix32890
The "Death" of the Computer Mouse - Discussion by Phoenix32890
Windows 10... - Discussion by Region Philbis
Surface Pro 3: What do you think? - Question by neologist
Windows 8 tips thread - Discussion by Wilso
GOOGLE CHROME - Question by Setanta
.Net and Firefox... - Discussion by gungasnake
Hacking a computer and remote access - Discussion by trying2learn
  1. Forums
  2. » Moore's Law predicted to end in 2022
Copyright © 2023 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.04 seconds on 11/29/2023 at 07:17:18