13
   

Polar ice advancing, global warming is dead

 
 
Ionus
 
  0  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 10:39 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
What do you think the temps were used for before GW enthusiasts took over ?

Quote:
you don't know the basics about how data (= not only the temperature) for the weather are and were collected.
Are you looking in my window ? How do you make such an assumption ?

Can you lot understand one thing...the accuracy in collecting the data is not in question . The data is not sufficient in the amount . The methodology is wrong . Honestly, I feel I am explaining reality to the mentally ill .
parados
 
  1  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 10:47 pm
@Ionus,
Quote:
READ CAREFULLY - you would not design a heat transfer experiment and only measure the min, the max and the mid way point and declare that sufficient . The data would be an inaccurate reflection of events . You can measure your min and max to a very fine degree, but it is not a reflection of what is taking place .

Read CAREFULLY. Measuring trends in daily temperatures is NOT a heat transfer experiment.
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 10:50 pm
@Ionus,
Ionus wrote:
What do you think the temps were used for before GW enthusiasts took over ?
It's not actually just what I think but what I know about it.
My personal knowledge, I must confess, only started about 50 years ago.
Besides that: Greek thermē = heat
parados
 
  0  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 10:52 pm
@Ionus,
OMG... did you really just argue that weather in a single point on the globe proves that black body radiation is not a valid way to tell how the earth loses heat?
Ionus
 
  -1  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 11:57 pm
@parados,
Quote:
Measuring trends in daily temperatures is NOT a heat transfer experiment.
GW is not a heat transfer process ?? Really ?? Are you on my side now ?
Ionus
 
  -1  
Thu 11 Jun, 2015 11:59 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
You post the most obscure bizzare stuff...
Quote:
It's not actually just what I think but what I know about it.
My personal knowledge, I must confess, only started about 50 years ago.
Besides that: Greek thermē = heat
How does that even remotely answer the question : What do you think the temps were used for before GW enthusiasts took over ? I dont need bluff from you, I need an answer .
Ionus
 
  -1  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 12:04 am
@parados,
Quote:
weather in a single point on the globe proves that black body radiation is not a valid way to tell how the earth loses heat
??? What is wrong with you ? Is that for the plebs who havent a clue and you are just trying to sound knowledgeable ? You'll have Gomer here soon telling everyone he told me thermometers are accurate . Which he actually did, but I never said they weren't is the problem . He and you have a lot in common - average intelligence .
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 12:50 am
@Ionus,
Ionus wrote:
What do you think the temps were used for before GW enthusiasts took over ? I dont need bluff from you, I need an answer .
Temperature. Just try to get the original meaning of that word (hint: it's from the Greek language) ...
MontereyJack
 
  0  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 01:22 am
@Ionus,
If I were you, ionus, (thank the gods I'm not), I would go back and reread your post of June 5, 11:15pm, #5,967,445) in which you wonder why someone is talking about psychrometers which measure moisture when we're talking about temperature, to which Farmerman replies truthfully that they are preferctly capable of measuring temperature too, rather than just moisture, as you apparently think. Which makes Walter's post relevant, farmerman right, and your repeated castigationl of him bullshit. If you thinbk he's a Gomer, you're a goober. Your whole argument is bullshit.. Just drop the point now

You've had so many misguided posts lately, it's hard to know where to start. You might look at the history of average temperaturek, for one. Takjing the min and max for a day and averaging them to get an average temp, is in fact perfectly a correect procedure. That fits exactly whjat an average of two points is, and that's the way it has been defined for more than a century, and the scientists of that century were perfectly willing to accept it. In a pre=computer time, which things were until just about the start of this century, it was easily calculable, even b y hand, comparable with daily averages from other weather stations/cities, and easily reportable, and yielded manageable data sets. It also does in fact give a good picture of what's happening over time--if things get colder, it'll go down. If they get warmer, it'll go up. They generally reported min and max temps as well as averages too, somewhow you neglect that. And when they calculated ave. temp for a location, they calculated it over a long period, often ten years, which smooths out the variability from one hot day, or one cold day when a typhoon blew through (which negates your recent objection). The people who compiled these statistics (and they were doing them a century before anyone knew GW existed) were not the unsophisticated baboons youu seem to think them. They were scientists, and statisticians, and they thought about the problems involved, more than you have, apparently.
What did they use the temps for ? Same things we do, obviously. What kind of temperature are you likely to find in your city or another one if you v9isit, when can you put your down parka in the closet, when is it safe to plant something without a frost likely to kill it--that's a big one with farmers (and incidentally a couple years ago the USDA moved all agricultural growing zones one zone northward, necessitated since their last growing zone map in the 60s, because GW had changed what would grow where, and they're hard-headed and VERY practical people, because literally billions of dollars ride on their decision. They looked at the temps and made the decision. THAT's one way temps are used used, and it's in line with GW)(and in line with reality too).

parados
 
  1  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 08:17 am
@Ionus,
Wow. You do love to make silly arguments. Since you are arguing that the way temperature changes during the day has changed in the last 100 years, does that mean you are on the side of climate change?
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 08:24 am
@Ionus,
You still haven't told us what is wrong with the data. You have made some asinine comments about how the way temperature behaves during the day somehow affects large amounts of data. The problem is we are looking at the trend over 100s of years with millions of data points. The outliers you are pointing out are such small percentage they cancel each other out or are lost in rounding errors.

A cold front moving into an area means warm air is moving somewhere as well. It says nothing about how the globe is warming or cooling. Your attempt to claim it somehow affects global temperature would be to completely rewrite how black body radiation works.
MontereyJack
 
  0  
Fri 12 Jun, 2015 11:24 am
@parados,
from noaa.gov:
Quote:
NOAA Weather Stations
Determining Global Temperature


The U.S. Climate Reference Network consists of 114 stations, including this one in Tucson, Ariz.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
Q. Why is NOAA using fewer weather stations to measure surface temperature around the globe — from 6,000 to less than 1,500?
The physical number of weather stations has shrunk as modern technology improved and some of the older outposts were no longer accessible in real time.

However, over time, the data record for surface temperatures has actually grown, thanks to the digitization of historical books and logs, as well as international data contributions. The 1,500 real-time stations that we rely on today are in locations where NOAA scientists can access information on the 8th of each month. Scientists use that data, as well as ocean temperature data collected by a constantly expanding number of buoys and ships – 71 percent of the world is covered by oceans, after all – to determine the global temperature record.

Q. Could stations located in potentially warmer locations near buildings and cities influence temperature readings?
Yes. That is one reason why NOAA created the Climate Reference Network. These stations adhere to all of the established monitoring principles and are located in unpopulated areas. They are closely monitored and are subject to rigorous calibration procedures. It is a network designed specifically for assessing climate change.

An effort is also underway to modernize the Historical Climatology Network of over 1,000 long-term weather and climate stations nationwide. Stations in the Southwest are currently undergoing modernization and maintenance through this program. Managers of both of these networks work diligently to locate stations in pristine areas where the dynamics of the immediate region, like urbanization, are unlikely to change very much over the coming decades.



The U.S. Climate Reference Network consists of 114 stations, including this one in Capitol Reef National Park, Torrey, Utah. The stations measure precipitation, solar radiation, ground surface temperature and solar winds to provide information on climate change over 50 years.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
Q. Does a station with good exposure record warmer temperatures than a station with poor exposure?
Not necessarily. Many local factors influence the observed temperature: whether a station is in a valley with cold air drainage, whether it’s a liquid-in-glass thermometer in a standard wooden shelter or an electronic thermometer in the new smaller and more open plastic shelters, whether the station reads and resets its maximum and minimum thermometers in the coolest time of the day in early morning or in the warmest time of the day in the afternoon, etc. But for detecting climate change, the concern is not the absolute temperature – whether a station is reading warmer or cooler than a nearby station placed on grass – but how that temperature changes over time. Because even monthly averaged temperatures at nearby stations with identical instrumentation and excellent siting can differ by a couple degrees due to local effects.

Q. Is there any question that surface temperatures in the United States have been rising rapidly during the last 50 years?
No. Even if NOAA did not have weather observing stations across the United States, the impacts of the warming are clear and present. For example, lake and river ice is melting earlier in the spring and forming later in the fall. Plants are blooming earlier in the spring. Mountain glaciers are melting. Coastal temperatures are rising. A multitude of species of birds, fish, mammals and plants are extending their ranges northward and, in mountainous areas, uphill toward cooler areas.

Q. What are some of the temperature discrepancies you found in the climate record and how have you compensated for them?


NOAA is deploying a new network of stations called the U.S. Historical Climatology Network - Modernization. These stations maintain the same level of climate science quality measurements as the USCRN, but are spaced more closely and focus solely on temperature and precipitation.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
Over time, the thousands of weather stations around the world have undergone changes that often result in sudden or unrealistic discrepancies in observed temperatures requiring a correction. For the U.S.-based stations, we have access to detailed station history that helps us identify and correct discrepancies. Some of these differences have simple corrections.

The most important difference globally was the modification in measured sea surface temperatures. In the past, ship measurements were taken by throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some ocean water on deck and putting a thermometer in it. Today, temperatures are recorded by reading thermometers in the engine coolant water intake — this is considered a more accurate measure of ocean temperature. The bucket readings used early in the record were cooler than engine intake observations, so the early data have been adjusted warmer to account for that difference. This makes global temperatures indicate less warming than the raw data does.

The most important difference in the U.S. temperature record occurred with the systematic change in observing times from the afternoon (when it is warm) to morning (when it is cooler). This shift has resulted in a well-documented and increasing cool discrepancy over the last several decades and is addressed by applying a correction to the data.

Q. How do volunteers affect the data from the network?
NOAA’s National Weather Service field office personnel train volunteers and visits them regularly to provide support and ensure instrumentation is working correctly. If there are any inconsistencies or difficulties on the part of the volunteer, NWS personnel works with the volunteer to ensure that daily and monthly measurements are being taken correctly.

NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center also provides data checks of the measurements, looking for discrepancies. Some of the volunteers have been working with the National Weather Service for as many as 50 years and more, and provide a valuable service to the agency's and the nation's weather record.

Q. Are data and processing information available?
At NOAA, we have always made data regularly available to the public. The updated Global Historical Climatology Network and U.S. Historical Climatology Network station data used by NOAA and others have been available each month from the National Climatic Data Center Web site since the 1990s.

For more information:
Monitoring Global & U.S. Temperatures FAQ


Reliability of U.S. Temperature Record Talking Points


“On the reliability of the U.S. Surface Temperature Record,”
by Matthew J. Menne, Claude N. Williams, Jr., and Michael A. Palecki
Submitted to Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres
August 27, 2009; revised December 21, 2009
Ionus
 
  0  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 01:56 am
@MontereyJack,
You clowns are beyond believe . You can only read what you think is there . At no stage did I question thermometers . Walt came up with psychrometers which measure moisture by different temperatures . Why did Walt do that ? Dont know, maybe an effort to be involved and contribute or just trying to show off . No one questioned the accuracy or the use of thermometers . Gomer jumped in saying thermometers were accurate . Why did Gomer do that ? He read Walt and decided to attack me . You have read back, or so you claim, and you have got it screwed up to...show me where I have ever questioned the accuracy or use of thermometers or STFU .

FOR THE THIRD TIME HERE IS THE POST IN QUESTION ...READ IT !!
Quote:
Ship data is used for the oceans . It is incomplete . There is a voluntary project examining ships old log books to put the data in a bank on computers . Problem is sailing ships only measure the temp in weather . That is, a breeze . They also vary their route considerably .
Steam ships are more regular in their route but still suffer from piecemeal data . If you weren't a big trader than data for your part of the world wont be there . Similarly for land based data, if you are not a rich country then you probably weren't measuring temps every day since 1880 .

We only have the max and min temps for anywhere, and these have been averaged for GW enthusiasts data . The average is not a true reflection of the heat during a 24hr period . You must assume that the temp was equally in halfs above and below the average of the max and min . Quite an assumption .

Before it was absolutely essential to have one climate, the earth was considered to have many . We need to measure change, perhaps hourly, at many sites in all the earth's climates especially the oceans . We have only started to do that, in what is a 100,000 yr cycle . How do we eliminate outliers and determine trends if we have a very, very short time of measurement ?


There is no way you would measure heat transfer by a mid way point between the min and max . If that is your idea of collecting scientific data then you are a bigger rat bag than the others . I dont really care if they used it for egg collection, it is not accurate . True accuracy would come from having the greatest range of measurements possible, perhaps hourly, perhaps even shorter . The average of ALL those temps for a 24 hr period will be accurate enough to determine the daily temp . You are defending the stupid min and max because you have no choice . GW must be true, you are an enthusiast and it is very important for you to prove GW, rather than have the evidence decide and then you make up your mind .

Your whole argument of they used it so it must be accurate is so stupid it defies believe .
0 Replies
 
Ionus
 
  0  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 01:59 am
@Walter Hinteler,
I ask what do you think temperatures were used for before GW enthusiasts took over and you reply temperatures . That in a nutshell, is what is wrong with all your posts . You state the minimum so you can back out .
0 Replies
 
Ionus
 
  -1  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 02:05 am
@parados,
Quote:
You still haven't told us what is wrong with the data.
I have told you many times, paradum, but you gat as far as GW wrong, shake your head and ignore everything else . GW MUST be right for you to continue to function .

Quote:
we are looking at the trend over 100s of years
No, we are not . Not everywhere on land had temp measuring for that long, so we have a very small selection . As for the sea we have even less .

Quote:
The outliers you are pointing out are such small percentage they cancel each other out or are lost in rounding errors.
Now this is a prime piece of bullshuit right here . How do you know that ? It is called a guess . You dont have enough measurements during a 24 hr period to determine anything like that . You have guessed .

Quote:
how black body radiation works
Who told you those words ? You cant just repeat them to sound important you know, you have to UNDERSTAND what it means .
0 Replies
 
Ionus
 
  -1  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 02:38 am
@parados,
Quote:
You still haven't told us what is wrong with the data.
I have, at some stage you will have to learn how to read .

Quote:
A cold front moving into an area means warm air is moving somewhere as well. It says nothing about how the globe is warming or cooling.
So it all depends on where and how often you measure the temp . Well done, paradum, you can be taught !
Ionus
 
  0  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 02:48 am
@MontereyJack,
You should be embarrassed to put forward that garbage . 50 yrs ? It was only completed in 2008 .
Quote:
Deployment of a complete 29-station USCRN network in Alaska began in 2009.

Beginning with a pilot project in the Southwest that was completed in 2011

the USCRN program is to maintain a sustainable high-quality climate observation network that 50 years from now can with the highest degree of confidence answer the question: How has the climate of the Nation changed over the past 50 years?
Have you no shame ?
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 06:01 am
Quote:
[...]The most anticipated papal letter for decades will be published in five languages on Thursday. It will call for an end to the ‘tyrannical’ exploitation of nature by mankind.
[...]
“Pope Francis is personally committed to this [climate] issue like no other pope before him. The encyclical will have a major impact. It will speak to the moral imperative of addressing climate change in a timely fashion in order to protect the most vulnerable,” said Christiana Figueres, the UN’s climate chief, in Bonn this week for negotiations.
[...]
However, Francis’s radicalism is attracting resistance from Vatican conservatives and in rightwing church circles, particularly in the US – where Catholic climate sceptics also include John Boehner, Republican leader of the House of Representatives, and Rick Santorum, a Republican presidential candidate.

Earlier this year Stephen Moore, a Catholic economist, called the pope a “complete disaster”, saying he was part of “a radical green movement that is at its core anti-Christian, anti-people and anti-progress”.

Moore was backed this month by scientists and engineers from the powerful evangelical Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation, who have written an open letter to Francis. “Today many prominent voices call humanity a scourge on our planet, saying that man is the problem, not the solution. Such attitudes too often contaminate their assessment of man’s effects on nature,” it says.
... ... ...
Source
parados
 
  1  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 08:42 am
@Ionus,
Quote:
So it all depends on where and how often you measure the temp . Well done, paradum, you can be taught !

3 million data points over 1000 days is no better than 2000 data points over those 1000 days. Both sets of data will show the same trend.
farmerman
 
  2  
Sat 13 Jun, 2015 11:47 am
@parados,
we send in ground water data to state agencies that establish withdrawal records for our mines. We send them transducer data taken every 3/10 of a second. WHY? because we can!. The states agree that one water level a day will satisfy the needs of the withdrawal permits.
I imagine the same is true for climate data on long term averages.
More data does not presume more accurate outcomes.
.
 

 
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