Now if we add these changes , and if there is plenty of time, the change will become higher then 1, an impossibility.
You, see, we have to multiply these changes. P(1) x P(2) etc etc
and with each Pt) the changes are diminshed because we multiply numbers smaller then one! Hence, the more years the less the change!
By the way, if we do the statistics correctly in calculating the odds of someone winning the lottery, it will approach but never equal 1. If we applied the same statistics to evolution it again would approach but never equal 1. The more years allowed for evolution the closer it will get to 1.
-- Stephen Crothers wrote:
Dear Dr. Lo,
This result is of course no surprise to the thinking international scientific community. Physical Review D has long been recognised as a rag for the publication of nothing but that which supports the Standard Model, despite how asinine the arguments it publishes. The Gate-keepers of the Standard Model deliberately suppress anything that brings their Model into question. That is how science is done by the Standard Modellers. Free scientific discussion is outlawed by the Standard Modellers, not just in their "journals" but also in their electronic archives and their conferences. They will not admit any paper into their rounds that raises legitimate questions as to their theories, by which they make, I might add, much money now, one way or another. I recall that 't Hooft actually issued a warning (I too have retained 't Hooft's email as evidence thereof, if he ever attempts to deny it) to E. Weinberg (Editor, Physical Review D) some time ago, against publishing anything you xxxx. So it does not matter what your papers contain, Physical Review D will not publish any of them, if for no other reason then deference to ''t Hooft.
This is really good stuff. Crothers is as good an expert as there is on this sort of topic and he is saying that black holes and the "Big Bang(TM)" idea are a bunch of bullshit, just like evolution. That's the basic reality of the thing.
The odds of a particular event happening are calculated the same way whether you are calculating winning the lottery or a sequence of DNA.
Glad to see I'm not the only person to have figured that one out...