@FBM,
FBM wrote:Worship me or die ...
Honestly speking I prefer to die rather than worshiping an absolute retard.
Let's consider the sample space of the assumptions for your favourite theory: S = {UAE, BBT, GCU, UHI, OCS} where UAR - is the Universe has always existed; BBT - the Universe has been created in absolute compliance with the claims of the Big Bang 'theory'; GCU - God or another external Intelligence has created the Universe or at least some part of it at some stage of its development; UHI - the Universe has always had its own Intelligence, which is immanent and inseparable part of it; OCS - other case scenario.
If we assume that this is the exhaustive sample space, then we have: P(UAE) + P(BBT) + P(GCU) + P(UHI) + P(OCS) = 1, the probability of the sum of these assumptions to explain the existence/creation of the Universe is a certain event.
As we don't know too much about the assumptions, for the
theoretical probability of these assumptions we may assign
ex officio equal values: P(UAE) = P(BBT) = P(GCU) = P(UHI) = P(OCS) = 0.2
What can we say about the
experimental probability?
P(UAE) = ?
- confirmed by the laws of conservation of energy
- in compliance with most of the laws of physics
- no unresolvable logical contradictions with the predicate logic
so we can assign from here + 0.05
P(GCU) = ?
- complexity of the structures excludes stochastics and suggests determinism
- there is at least one instance of Intelligence existing for sure in the Universe - our own Intelligence
- our affinity to music for example cannot be explained with elementary chemistry and explosions of Higg's bosons, etc.
so we can assign from here + 0.05
P(UHI) = ?
- complex and well arranged structures all over the Universe, at various levels of compliance and synchronisation
- existence of various living organisms at different levels of development of their Intelligence
- Time flows in one direction only and has deterministic nature and obvious causality
- everything in Space and Time is perfectly balanced - the orbits of the planets in the SS for example are like a Swiss clock, and so is the Galaxy year - the rotation of the 'disk' of the Milky Way around Sagittarius ... on a much larger scale
so we can assign from here + 0.05
P(OCS) = ?
- too many gaps and unanswered questions
- according to the second law of thermodynamics the entropy of the Universe is increasing (causing the upcoming of the chaos and the fall of the third shadow), in other words Information is continuously lost in the Universe, which supposes that in the past there has been much more information in the Universe than we can observe and acquire at present, from where follows that some traces about the origin of the Universe might have been irretrievably lost -in other words the Other Case Scenario is rather more confirmed, than more excluded.
so we can assign from here + 0.05
P(BBT) = ?
- none of the processes claimed to have happened by the time of the Big Bang has ever been reproduced in lab conditions - none: neither the creation of 3D space by explosion; nor the launching of Time out of nowhere and out of nothing; nor the ability of Infinite gravity to exist without a force carrier and without causality, etc.
- BBT is in absolute contradiction with five nines of the laws of physics
- major unresolvable contradictions with predicate logic as well
- infinite gap between the BBT and the Quantum Mechanics (the results from the high speed snapshots of the large hadron collider)
from where automatically follows that from here the P(BBT) is minus something
Hence we have: P(UAE) = 0.25; P(GCU) = 0.25; P(UHI) = 0.25; P(OCS) = 0.25; and P(BBT) = 1 - P(UAE) - P(GCU) - P(UHI) - P(OCS) = 1 - 0.25 - 0.25 - 0.25 - 0.25 = 0.00, which means that after applying the experimental probability with verification and validation tests the first assumption proved to be impossible is the assumption that BBT has created the Universe.
After all that you may try to apply subjective probability - a probability measure resulting from intuition, educated (and non-educated guesses) and personal objective (or biased) estimates. There is no formula to calculate that - usually found by consulting an expert ... in probability and belief revision and not in misrepresenting and misinterpreting primary data from observations.