@ZarathustraReborn,
Quote:" ...so if, after the fact, we observe the particular evolutionary path actually taken and then calculate the a priori probability of its being taken, we will get the minuscule probability that creationists mistakenly attach to the process as a whole.
Which creationists? Those, one supposes, who mistakenly attach to the process as a whole the minuscule probability of a particular evolutionary path actually having been taken. And that assumes it is a mistake as well.
That assumption alone is
a priori proof that the Prof's perspicacity is peachy.
It seems to me that the card proposition proves that to get to where we are when an asymptote of impossibility is demonstrated with a mere 52 playing cards, there must have been a guiding hand.
You might think it impertinent of me to ask this Zara but I think it relevant: were there any aspects of the Prof's personal life which might have caused him to lean towards one side in this debate rather than the other. I have looked him up on Wiki and there is nothing mentioned. Which is unusual.
My experience tells me that even a small lean in one direction can soon become, once it starts being defended, a bigger lean and it can easily end up horizontal from which position it will mount the defence much more stridently because pride has become the main factor by then and the cause of the little lean has faded from the memory.
A pub mate of mine claimed he was a communist. We had a few arguments about it and one night I asked him how he became enraptured by that futile doctrine. (I claim the right to use "futile" because "mistaken" was used by the Prof. But at least readers here can make up their own mind about whether the communist doctrine is futile or not. I'm not sure they could do that with the Prof's "mistaken".)
Anyway--he had found a communist lapel badge in the mud on the rugby field. A darting ray of sunshine had reflected off it, it hadn't been trodden in, and it caught his eye. He had no idea what it was except that it was a lapel badge so after cleaning it up he pinned it to his jacket.
His teacher of liberal studies noticed it and when he appointed boys to defend various political parties, an election was in the offing, in a debate, he gave the communist brief to my pal. And that's how he first started leaning. I used to accuse him of voting for Mrs Thatcher to get him mad. He did have a very swish conservatory. Tart's knickers curtains so you can imagine the rest.
I cured him though.