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New Republic: The Case Of The Century?

 
 
Reply Tue 20 Mar, 2012 11:33 am
New Republic: The Case Of The Century?
by Jonathan Cohn, senior editor at The New Republic.
March 20, 2012

Next week the Supreme Court hears oral arguments in the lawsuits challenging the Affordable Care Act. But is it really the "case of the century," as pundits have started calling it?

It's difficult to say without knowing the outcome. Presently that distinction belongs to Bush v. Gore, a decision that truly altered history. Just think how the years after 2001 would have unfolded if Al Gore had been president. But Bush v. Gore didn't change constitutional doctrine. The five justices voting to end the Florida recount and make Bush president wrote that their argument was "limited to the present circumstances" — in other words, that they were not making broader arguments about federal power over elections and interpretation of the equal protection clause.

That claim provoked widespread derision within the legal establishment, which took the statement as a sign even the judges understood they were standing on a weak legal foundation. But the justices may get their way. Most experts still consider Bush v. Gore bad law.

Rejecting the Affordable Care Act could deprive 30 million people of health insurance, weaken the coverage for tens of millions more, and alter one-sixth of the economy. In those respects, obviously, it would be a highly consequential decision. But such a ruling could also have have far-reaching legal effects, the kind Bush v. Gore did not. At least in theory, the court could use this case to redefine the boundaries of federal power, in a way that the courts have not done in nearly a century.

I generally leave the sophisticated constitutional analysis to Jeff Rosen, my (much) more informed colleague. But you don't have to be a legal expert to spot three key questions before the Court, each of which could lead the justices to establish new constitutional doctrine:

What are the limits of the federal government's power to regulate interstate commerce? Defenders of the law claim that the individual mandate, which requires most non-poor people to obtain insurance or pay a penalty, falls within its power to regulate commerce among the states. A long line of precedents suggests the defenders of the law are right.

Ever since the New Deal, the Court has held that federal power here is very broad. If it's a legitimately federal matter, as the health care economy certainly seems to be, then the government has virtually unlimited authority to regulate it. A majority of the justices may disagree. But, if so, they'll need to break new ground — that is, they'll have to establish a limit on the commerce power that does not now exist.

For example, critics of the law suggest that the commerce power does not extend to regulating "inactivity," which is their term for declining to obtain insurance for future medical expenses. A majority of justices could decide to adopt that reasoning. But, if they do, the justices will be drawing a distinction that the court has never recognized before.

Judge Laurence Silberman, the highly respected conservative who sits on the D.C. Circuit, made this point in his opinion upholding the law:

No Supreme Court case has ever held or implied that Congress's Commerce Clause authority is limited to individuals who are presently engaging in an activity involving, or substantially affecting, interstate commerce. ... To be sure, a number of the Supreme Court's Commerce Clause cases have used the word "activity" to describe behavior that was either regarded as within or without Congress's authority. But those cases did not purport to limit Congress to reach only existing activities. They were merely identifying the relevant conduct in a descriptive way, because the facts of those cases did not raise the question—presented here—of whether "inactivity" can also be regulated. In short, we do not believe these cases endorse the view that an existing activity is some kind of touchstone or a necessary precursor to Commerce Clause regulation.

Silberman went on to note that the "right to be free from federal regulation is not absolute, and yields to the imperative that Congress be free to forge national solutions to national problems, no matter how local—or seemingly passive—their individual origins." Do five justices of the Supreme Court disagree? And, if so, are they suggesting the constitution doesn't authorize national solutions to what are clearly national problems? It's possible, as Jeffrey Toobin warns in the New Yorker:

In order to strike down health-care reform, the new Republican Justices would have to change the underlying constitutional law, which they have proved themselves more than capable of doing. They have already cut a swath through the Court's precedents on such issues as race, abortion, and campaign finance, and it's possible that they will assemble the votes to do the same on the scope of the Commerce Clause.

What are the limits of the "necessary and proper" clause? The commerce clause isn't the only place in the constitution the government claims to find authority for the mandate. It also cites the "necessary and proper" clause. Specifically, the government claims that the mandate is "necessary" for carrying out its plan to regulate the price of health insurance (a goal even the law's critics recognize is, by itself, legitimate) and a "proper" means for doing so.

Here, too, the government has the power of precedent on its side. Chief Justice John Marshall famously established this idea in McCullough v. Maryland, which is to federal power what flour is to cake. Through the years, the court has largely stood by this broad interpretation, most recently in 2010 in Comstock v. United States. In that case, Chief Justice John Roberts was part of a five-member majority that ruled the federal government could take action "rationally related" and "reasonably adapted" to one of its explicit constitutional duties.

The individual mandate would seem to meet those two criteria rather easily. Insurance mandates are certainly common for more voluntary activities, like driving a car or living in a flood plain. And, by enacting the mandate, Congress was following the advice of non-partisan experts, including those at the Congressional Budget Office, who said that a mandate was essential to maximizing insurance coverage and reducing the price of insurance through a system of private health benefits.

Again, the Supreme Court could disagree. The justices can say whatever they want to say. But to do so honestly they'd need to revisit Comstock and, at least implicitly, McCollough. And Justice Antonin Scalia, in particular, would have to find some way to explain away his concurring opinion in Gonzales v. Raich, in which he stated "Congress may regulate even noneconomic local activity if that regulation is a necessary part of a more general regulation of interstate commerce" and when a failure to take such action might "undercut" legitimate regulations. This is precisely the argument that the administration and its allies make about the mandate: That, without it, regulations of the insurance industry won't work as well.

Without a broad reading of the necessary and proper clause, lawyers for libertarians can start asking other questions — and, potentially, undermining other federal programs most of us take for granted. "If you accept [this] logic," Northwestern law professor Andrew Koppelman wrote recently, "then it is not clear how, say, the Environmental Protection Agency could survive, since there is no enumerated power to keep the country's air breathable or its water drinkable."

Ironically, some conservatives might also come to rue such a decision. After all, if it's unconstitutional to compel contributions towards private health insurance, then surely it's unconstitutional to compel contributions toward private investment accounts — which happens to be the idea many conservatives still have for replacing Social Security. As Simon Lazarus, counsel for the National Senior Citizens Law Center, noted last year in Slate, two of the conservative appellate judges who rejected these lawsuits cited that very possibility in their rulings.

Is Medicaid coercive to the states? This is the sleeper issue of the case. Medicaid is the joint federal-state insurance program for low-income people. The states run the program, but they do so under guidelines set by the federal government, which provides a large portion of the funding.

The Affordable Care Act expands Medicaid eligibility guidelines significantly, so that, starting in 2014, anybody with income below 133 percent of the poverty line can receive it. The result will be approximately 15 million more people with Medicaid coverage, according to projections from the CBO. The federal government is picking up the vast majority of this cost, at least for the first few years, but states would have to provide the rest and many don't want to do so.

In theory, the states have a choice: They can always drop out of Medicaid altogether, since no law compels them to participate. But, in the lawsuit, states are saying the government is actually coercing them — in effect, making the states an offer they can't refuse. As their argument goes, states have become so dependent on Medicaid funding for their low-income populations that the prospect of giving up that money is unthinkable, giving the federal government a nearly free hand to shape the program.

Again, precedent is on the federal government's side here: Past court decisions have established that federal funding is basically a "gift" to the states, one for which the federal government is free to set the terms. The justices could use this case to change that understanding, but if they do they'll be establishing a principle that could undermine a lot of existing programs.

Samuel Bagnestos, a professor at the University of Michigan, wrote an amicus brief on behalf consumer advocates including the Children's Defense Fund and American Association of People With Disabilities. Via e-mail, he summarized the import of a ruling that the Medicaid is unconstitutional:

If the Court holds that the ACA's Medicaid expansion is unconstitutional, such a holding could put any number of cooperative state-federal programs at constitutional risk. The most obviously vulnerable would be Medicaid itself — even as it existed before the ACA's amendments to it. If the petitioners are right that the large amount of federal money at stake coerces states into accepting new Medicaid conditions by leaving them with no realistic choice but to accept them, then it is hard to explain why the same large amount of federal money does not coerce states into continuing to accept the conditions that have long applied to Medicaid funding. The many federal statutes that impose conditions on federal aid to education would also be at severe constitutional risk, because those conditions are attached to large amounts of federal funding that states may feel they cannot realistically turn down. These statutes include Title I of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act — the most recent reauthorization of which was the No Child Left Behind Act — and Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972.

Of course, it's possible the court will duck these big questions altogether. It could still decide to rule that the lawsuit is premature, because the law has not taken effect yet. It could decide that the individual mandate is a legitimate exercise of congressional authority to levy taxes — an argument I have always supported but even some more liberal judges have eyed skeptically — and leave it at that. Or it could issue a broad ruling accepting the government's case that the law falls clearly within established precedents, just as Silberman and another conservative appellate judge, Jeffrey Sutton, have.

If that happens, historians will probably come to see these cases much as the legal establishment did until very recently: As a weak bid by conservatives to overturn legally what they could not block politically. But there's no way to know until the justices make their decision.

Update: I'll be writing about the case extensively in this space over the next two weeks. But my overall argument hasn't changed since last January, when I wrote a lengthy article on the legal issues in play. Also, I originally wrote that nobody cites Bush v. Gore, but an alert reader (via twitter) has informed me otherwise. I changed that reference. Finally, I added a quote from Toobin's piece in the New Yorker. The whole thing is worth reading.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
 
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Reply Tue 20 Mar, 2012 11:39 am
@BumbleBeeBoogie,
Without Precedent
The Supreme Court weighs Obamacare.
Mar 26, 2012, Vol. 17, No. 27 • By ADAM J. WHITE
Weekly Standard

Ordinarily, judges decide cases by applying the text of laws and the precedents laid down in previous cases. But the Supreme Court is no ordinary court, and the cases that it chooses to decide are not ordinary ones. Cases in which the lower courts disagree; cases of utmost national importance; cases for which there is little precedent or the written law is ambiguous​—​this is the Supreme Court’s daily fare.

But even among those hard cases, there is a subset that stands out. In late 2005, Barack Obama, then a freshman senator, placed those extraordinary cases at the center of his opposition to John Roberts’s nomination for chief justice:

What matters on the Supreme Court is those 5 percent of cases that are truly difficult. .  .  . [T]he constitutional text will not be directly on point. The language of the statute will not be perfectly clear. Legal process alone will not lead you to a rule of decision. In those circumstances .  .  . the critical ingredient is supplied by what is in the judge’s heart.

When President Obama began nominating Supreme Court justices, those remarks from his Senate days were distilled into a one-word description of what he was looking for—“empathy”—that made clear his preference for judges predisposed to decide cases in favor of Obama’s political sympathies. Obama was in no position to complain that his views were being caricatured, given that his own opposition to Roberts ended with a crude diatribe against Roberts’s personal values. Still, despite his liberal clichés, there was truth in his point. When text and precedent are inconclusive, the justices’ decisions rest in part on “one’s deepest values, one’s core concerns,” and “one’s broader perspectives on how the world works.” Not “empathy”—not personal bias for or against particular litigants—but certainly an appreciation for the fundamental principles that undergird our constitutional structure.

Among what Obama called the “5 percent of cases” in 2005 were those questioning “whether the Commerce Clause empowers Congress to speak on those issues of broad national concern that may be only tangentially related to what is easily defined as interstate commerce.” As it happens, that very provision​—​the Constitution’s grant of power to Congress to “regulate Commerce .  .  . among the several States”​—​is at the center of the Supreme Court case that may define his presidency. Later this month the Court finally will hear the constitutional challenge to the “individual mandate.” The requirement that every American obtain health insurance is the key provision in Obama’s signature piece of legislation, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, aka Obama-care.

But to think of the Obama-care case (National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius, as the lead case is captioned) as just the latest Commerce Clause dispute is to deprive it of crucial context. NFIB v. Sebelius is much more than that. Obama-care entails an unprecedented reformation of the very structure of federal government, one that strains prior doctrines to their breaking point. The Roberts Court will have to make a judgment not just on the basis of legal text or precedent but on something more fundamental.

Once the case is viewed in that light, we can better understand why the issues raised by the litigants vexed a number of prominent conservative judges on lower federal courts who, somewhat surprisingly, declined to strike down the law. Seeing the case in its proper context illuminates why the Court should brake the government’s assertion of power now, before the structural and constitutional changes envisioned by Obama-care become effectively irreversible.

While it is more than just a Commerce Clause case, NFIB v. Sebelius does begin with the Commerce Clause. Obama-care’s individual mandate requires every “applicable individual” to buy and maintain “minimum essential” health insurance, beginning in January 2014. This exceeds Congress’s constitutional power to “regulate” interstate commerce, the mandate’s critics argue in the briefs, because “compelling commerce is not regulating commerce.” The Commerce Clause may empower Congress to regulate the transactions that persons already are engaging in, they argue, but it does not empower Congress to force persons to engage in commerce​—​that is, the buying of insurance policies​—​that they would not otherwise undertake voluntarily.

The challengers can point to no Supreme Court precedent striking down a similar federal mandate, but that’s only because Congress has never previously enacted such a mandate. The mandate is unprecedented, and the 26 states challenging the law attempt to turn that fact in their favor:

Congress itself appreciated the distinction between the power to regulate commerce and the power to compel individuals to enter into commerce for the first 220 years of its existence. The federal code books are replete with provisions regulating the conduct of individuals who engage in commercial transactions, as well as provisions encouraging, enticing, and incentivizing individuals to enter into commercial transactions of all stripes.

Neither the federal government nor the numerous lower courts, the states conclude, “have identified a single other federal law throughout our Nation’s entire history that simply compels individuals to enter into commerce.” That dearth of precedents is all the more instructive, they argue, because “Congress surely has not lacked incentives to exercise such a ‘highly attractive power.’ ” In two centuries, Congress never lacked the creativity to fashion indirect ways to achieve its preferred ends​—​think of the perennial threat to withhold highway funds as a way to cajole the states into forcing drivers to wear seatbelts​—​but it never claimed for itself the power to achieve its economic aims through direct commands to the citizenry at large.

The government’s brief responds first by broadening the “commerce” at issue from the “health insurance” market, in which some persons might not voluntarily participate at any given time, to the greater “health care” market, in which practically everyone participates. If the “market” at issue is health care generally, then the challengers’ activity-inactivity distinction evaporates, so long as everyone purchases health care services.

Having broadened the Court’s frame of reference, the government further argues that the individual mandate is unique because the health care market is unique. Contrasting that market with the markets for cars or food​—​perhaps a nod to Republicans’ suggestion that a mandate to buy health coverage is no different from a mandate to eat broccoli or buy GM vehicles​—​the government asserts that health care “involves needs that cannot reasonably be antici-pated and budgeted for”; when “a heart attack or appendicitis strikes, a person cannot postpone a hospital visit in order to save enough money for it.” Health care costs are “largely unknowable,” and they can escalate rapidly. In the face of such uncertainty, the government concludes, the individual mandate “reasonably regulates the financing of participation in the health care market and is a reasonable means to prevent the shifting of costs and risks to other market participants.”

And even if the individual mandate does not fit squarely within the Commerce Clause, the government further argues, that mandate fits within the powers granted by the Necessary and Proper Clause​—​that is, the Constitution’s ancillary provision authorizing Congress to “make all Laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into Execution” Congress’s other enumerated powers. Largely quoting United States v. Comstock, a 2010 case in which the Supreme Court relied upon the Necessary and Proper Clause to affirm a federal statute requiring the noncriminal detention of sex offenders, the government argues that the individual mandate is sufficiently “convenient,” “useful,” or “conducive” to the government’s regulation of the broader health care market to pass constitutional muster.

The Comstock decision was a significant one, if only because in that case Chief Justice Roberts signed on to the Court’s opinion, and Justices Kennedy and Alito each penned a separate opinion sharing the ultimate conclusion that the detention statute satisfied the Necessary and Proper Clause; the individual mandate’s challengers will need each of those justices’ votes in the Obama-care case. The states challenging Obamacare respond with several arguments that the mandate is neither “necessary” nor “proper.” Ultimately the most powerful of these is the slippery slope: The government’s argument offers no legal limits to prevent the imposition of similar mandates in other markets displaying similar characteristics. Lacking any “limiting principle,” the government’s theory of the power to mandate the purchase of health insurance “obliterates any meaningful boundaries on Congress’ limited and enumerated powers,” a theory that “cannot be squared with the Constitution.”

If the Supreme Court finds that the individual mandate is justified under neither the Commerce Clause nor the Necessary and Proper Clause, then the government has one remaining defense: its constitutional power to “lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts, and Excises.” At first glance this argument may seem difficult to press with a straight face, given the administration’s own repeated insistence that Obama-care is not a tax. During the legislative debates, President Obama told his on-air interlocutor, George Stephanopoulos, “I absolutely reject [the] notion” that the mandate is a tax increase. More recently, the president’s acting budget director testified to Congress that the individual mandate is not a tax.

Nevertheless, the administration argues before the Court that the mandate is a tax, because the penalty for failing to buy insurance would be collected via the Internal Revenue Code: “It is fully integrated into the tax system, will raise substantial revenue, and triggers only tax consequences for non-compliance. .  .  . The Court has never held that a revenue-raising provision bearing so many indicia of taxation was beyond Congress’s taxing power, and it should not do so here.”

The challengers point to the text of the Obama-care enforcement provision, which describes the consequences of disobeying the mandate as a “penalty.” It is levied not to raise revenue but to penalize those who fail to obey the mandate’s command. Nor is it collected through ordinary tax enforcement procedure. And so it is not a “tax.”

If the Court fails to affirm the individual mandate under either the Commerce Clause, the Necessary and Proper Clause, or the Tax Clause, then the Court must turn to the question of remedy: Should only the individual mandate be struck down, or should the Court strike down Obama-care in its entirety? To borrow the technical term, is the individual mandate “severable” from the rest of Obama-care?

The government concedes that if the mandate falls, then the law’s “guaranteed-issue” and “community-rating” provisions, entitling all comers to insurance coverage, must fall with it; “without a minimum coverage provision, the guaranteed-issue and community-rating provisions would drive up costs and reduce coverage, the opposite of Congress’s goals.” But it urges the Court to leave the rest of the law intact. The challengers, by contrast, point to Obama-care’s lack of a “severability clause,” boilerplate language declaring Congress’s intent that the remainder of a law be left intact after any one provision is struck down; more generally, they argue that the law’s myriad provisions were intended to hang together as a whole. None of them would have been enacted without the mandate ensuring that people could not “game” the system by declining to buy health insurance until they are actually in need of health care.

Finally, the Court must decide whether a separate federal statute precludes the Court from hearing the case at all. The Anti-Injunction Act bars federal courts from hearing cases filed “for the purpose of restraining the assessment or collection of any tax.” Dating back to the Reconstruction Era, this law ensures that federal tax disputes are routed to one of the specially designated courts: the U.S. Tax Court, the U.S. Court of Federal Claims, or a U.S. District Court, and only after the I.R.S. levies the tax on the taxpayer. The government has abandoned this tack, but out of an abundance of caution, the Court appointed an outside lawyer to fully brief the argument that the case is jurisdictionally barred by the Anti-Injunction Act.

Those are the issues confronting the Court on the question of the individual mandate. They come to the Court from not just one federal court of appeals, but several. Technically speaking, the case arrived on petitions challenging the decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, the Atlanta-based court that struck down the individual mandate as violating the Commerce Clause, Necessary and Proper Clause, and Tax Clause. But other federal circuits have grappled with the issues in lawsuits separately brought to their own district courts. The D.C. Circuit and the Ohio-based Sixth Circuit each affirmed the mandate under the Commerce Clause. And the mid-Atlantic Fourth Circuit dismissed two cases: A suit brought by private parties was deemed barred by the Anti-Injunction Act, and a suit brought by Virginia’s attorney general was dismissed for lack of jurisdictional “standing.”

In these cases, the most interesting opinions were issued by prominent conservative judges who declined to strike down the individual mandate. The D.C. Circuit’s Laurence Silberman and Brett Kavanaugh (appointed by Reagan and George W. Bush, respectively) and the Sixth Circuit’s Jeffrey Sutton (also a Bush appointee) penned a remarkable set of opinions. Even in refraining from employing judicial power to strike down the mandate, the judges did not hide their worries about an assertion of federal power that they conceded was effectively unlimited, and that posed a stark challenge to the idea that our constitutional republic is one of limited, enumerated federal powers. And they did not hesitate to blame the Supreme Court for this predicament.

Judge Sutton conceded that the individual mandate was an unprecedented assertion of power, yet he concluded that the Supreme Court’s inconsistent Commerce Clause precedents sufficed to affirm the individual mandate. Those precedents were, to Sutton, a sign of a feckless Supreme Court adept at “frequently adopting limits on [Congress’s] authority and just as frequently abandoning them, all while continuing to deny that Congress has unlimited national police powers”; he challenged the Court to either “stop saying that a meaningful limit on Congress’s commerce powers exists or prove that it isn’t so.” But until the Court draws such a line, he concluded, the existing precedents leave room for the government to allow “necessity” to give “birth to an inventive (and constitutional) congressional solution.”

Judge Sutton’s doubts were largely echoed by Judge Silberman. Writing the majority opinion for the D.C. Circuit (which was joined by Judge Harry Edwards, a Carter appointee), Silberman recognized the individual mandate’s “novelty” and “lack of any doctrinal limiting principles,” yet he concluded that neither defect was fatal. The individual mandate would be affirmed not because of Supreme Court precedents commanding this result, but rather because of the absence of precedents commanding a decision in favor of the challengers: “No Supreme Court case has ever held or implied that Congress’s Commerce Clause authority is limited to individuals who are presently engaging in an activity”​—​as opposed to “inactivity”​—​“involving, or substantially affecting, interstate commerce.”

Silberman’s decision was a matter of placing the burden of proof on challengers who, absent Supreme Court precedents in their favor, simply could not carry the burden. Even if the individual mandate is unprecedented, Silberman would “presume” it to be constitutional in the absence of clear precedent, until the Supreme Court definitively says otherwise.

Next to Judge Sutton, Judge Silberman’s criticism of the Supreme Court was muted but not altogether absent. In affirming the mandate, Silberman pointed to the Supreme Court’s broadly deferential Commerce Clause jurisprudence. Because those precedents authorize Congress to proscribe commercial “activity,” Silberman concluded, no Court-recognized limits exist to check Congress’s “symmetrical” power to prescribe such activity. On that point, he cited the Supreme Court’s ambivalence in Raich, a 2005 decision affirming the federal government’s regulation of personal, noncommercial use of marijuana. That decision provided no limits against Congress’s regulating a person who is “not participating in any local or interstate market,” Silberman wrote.

While purporting to comply with the Court’s precedents, Silberman was subtly reiterating criticisms he had pressed years earlier, in the pages of the Atlantic just months after Raich was decided. In his remarks to the interviewer, and in prior opinions quoted in the article, Silberman fulminated against “every one” of the justices, who fail litigants by issuing broadly worded rulings lacking precise constitutional rules, and fail as well to clarify ambiguities left in a long line of conflicting precedents.

In declining to strike down the mandate, Silberman was joined by his younger colleague, Brett Kavanaugh, but for very different reasons. Unlike Silberman, Kavanaugh declined to reach any conclusions regarding the individual mandate’s constitutional merits; instead, he concluded that the case should have been dismissed for lack of jurisdiction under the Anti-Injunction Act, placing the constitutional issues beyond the courts’ reach until after the IRS begins collecting the mandate penalty.

Yet after exhausting the jurisdictional issue, Judge Kavanaugh offered tentative thoughts on the Commerce Clause issue, a question “extremely difficult and rife with significant and potentially unforeseen implications for the Nation and the Judiciary.” He agreed that the mandate is “unprecedented,” that it upsets longstanding balances of state and federal power, and that the government’s position lacked any meaningful limiting power, leaving the constitutional door open not just to criminal sanctions for violating the Obama-care mandate, but also to the federal government’s creation of countless other possible mandates. Yet even after recognizing all of this, Kavanaugh nodded to the contrary argument that the courts “should be just as cautious about prematurely or necessarily rejecting the Government’s Commerce Clause argument,” because judicial enforcement of the Commerce Clause against the federal government “is a rare, extraordinary, and momentous act for a federal court.”

The candid equivocations offered by Sutton, Silberman, and Kavanaugh are themselves the reflection of the equivocating themes and tendencies at the root of this case. The judges recoiled from the notion of unlimited federal power, yet they hesitated to insert the courts into a hotly contested policy fight. And because each of these appellate judges is committed to following precedent, their task was made effectively impossible by the absence of helpful Supreme Court precedents. Obama-care’s individual mandate simply pressed beyond the Court’s precedents, into uncharted constitutional territory.

But where the lower-court judges could blame disconcerting results on the Supreme Court’s Commerce Clause ambivalence, the Supreme Court justices enjoy no such luxury. They have nowhere to turn but to themselves. When faced with an unprecedented issue, it falls to them to set the precedent.

And no matter how long the line of precedents may be on a given issue, there may eventually arise a dispute that strains previous judicial reasoning beyond the breaking point. The best description of this situation was offered 90 years ago, in Justice Benjamin Cardozo’s The Nature of the Judicial Process:

Every new case is an experiment; and if the accepted rule which seems applicable yields a result which is felt to be unjust, the rule is reconsidered. .  .  . The principles themselves are continually retested; for if the rules derived from a principle do not work well, the principle itself must ultimately be re-examined.

When Supreme Court precedents are the problem, lower-court judges are able to avoid this difficult choice by pointing to the High Court’s inapt precedents and doing their best to fit the case within the precedents’ ill-tailored contours. But when the Supreme Court faces a question without useful precedent, it has no choice but to fall back on first principles​—​or, in Senator Obama’s formulation, “one’s deepest values, one’s core concerns, one’s broader perspectives on how the world works.”

The Court’s previous Commerce Clause decisions did not confront the justices with such a stark choice. While each case offered minor innovations, and the 1990s Court was willing to impose Commerce Clause limits that the Court previously eschewed, those cases arose in a familiar context​—​federal regulation of existing economic-related activity​—​and each involved the government restraining activity, not commanding it. It was one thing to ask the Court whether Congress could regulate to restrain people from selling wheat, possessing firearms, committing acts of violence against women, or buying medical marijuana—the federal restrictions at issue in the famous Commerce Clause cases. Those cases simply spoke nothing to the question of what the government may require people to do. Those cases offer no basis on which to affirm the individual mandate, or to strike it down.

With Obama-care the government raced beyond the premises and contexts of old cases, attempting to reshape the structure of federal government in an innovative, unprecedented way. But not for the first time​—​not even for the first time in recent memory. NFIB v. Sebelius is not simply the latest Commerce Clause case. It is the latest case in a remarkable string of cases confronting the Roberts Court with an unprecedented assertion of government power, and leaving the Court with the difficult task of how to preserve our constitutional structure.

In 2002, reacting to the corporate implosions at Enron, WorldCom, Tyco, Global Crossing, and elsewhere, President Bush signed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Among the act’s many reforms was a particular constitutional innovation: the creation of an independent agency, the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, within another independent agency, the Securities and Exchange Commission. Independent agencies were themselves no 21st-century innovation; they dated back at least to the New Deal agencies, if not to the Interstate Commerce Commission in the 19th century, and they had enjoyed the Court’s imprimatur since at least 1935. But until 2002, Congress had never gone so far as to put one independent agency within another independent agency, giving the new creation a double layer of protection against presidential oversight.

Private parties filed a lawsuit challenging this innovation, in Free Enterprise Fund v. PCAOB, a case that reached the Supreme Court in 2009. The new, doubly independent board’s lawyers defended the agency by citing the older precedents, but the Court dismissed them as inapt: “Perhaps the most telling indication of the severe constitutional problem with the [board] is the lack of historical precedent for this entity.” And although Congress’s innovation was simply to add one more layer of the independence that the Court had endorsed years ago, this was a bridge too far: “This novel structure does not merely add to the Board’s independence but transforms it.”

And such a bridge would lead to ominously uncharted territory: “If allowed to stand, this dispersion of responsibility could be multiplied. If Congress can shelter the bureaucracy behind two layers of good-cause tenure, why not a third?” The government, for its part, was unable to identify any useful limiting principle, unwilling “to concede that even five layers” of independence “would be too many.” In short, the Court was left with a choice, and in the face of uncertainty it chose to draw a prudential line in the constitutional sand; it struck down the agency’s second layer of independence.

As the Free Enterprise Fund case was pending in the courts, another unprecedented government action occupied the justices: the litigation over the detention of alleged terrorists at Guantánamo. In those cases, the mere fact of detention was not unprecedented; instead, the constitutional novelty owed to the context surrounding modern detention. The global war on terror was “a national and international security emergency unprecedented in the history of the American Republic,” as the Court later described it. But some of the considerations that give the war its unprecedented character​—​the amorphous enemy force, the uncertain definition of victory, the manner in which terrorist detainees were swept up, and their detention at a U.S.-controlled base so close to the United States and so distant from the theater of battle​—​undermined the administration’s ability to convince the Court to stand by old wartime precedents.

The architects of the administration’s legal strategy sought to create a detention framework that accorded with the letter of existing law. As John Yoo reflected in his memoir, citing examples from the Civil War and World War II, “it is well-settled that the President, as commander in chief, has the power to determine how to defeat the enemy. This includes who to detain and how to detain them.” But the nature of the global war on terror, and the peculiar status and history of the U.S. facilities in Cuba, cast new light on the old precedents, at least among some of the justices worried by the implications of unfettered presidential wartime power.

Justice Kennedy alluded to some of these concerns in a concurrence in Rasul v. Bush (2004), when he urged that Guantánamo Bay was “in every practical respect a United States territory .  .  . far removed from any hostilities,” and therefore was not analogous to the American-administered German prisons at issue in the World War II precedent. His skeptical view of old precedents came into full focus in Boumediene v. Bush (2008), where he wrote a majority opinion recognizing the detainees’ constitutional right to challenge their captivity in federal court. “It is true that before today the Court has never held that noncitizens detained by our Government in territory over which another country maintains de jure sovereignty have any rights under our Constitution,” Justice Kennedy and four other justices conceded. “But the cases before us lack any precise historical parallel.”

The third example comes from yet another disparate Roberts Court decision: the election-speech case, Citizens United. There, the constitutional innovation came not in a statute, or even an administration policy, but an oral argument. In reviewing the Federal Election Commission’s position that campaign-finance laws empowered it to prohibit corporate election-related communications in the weeks preceding a federal election, Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Kennedy and Alito urged that such regulatory power had no apparent limits, and taken to its logical limit would empower the government to ban books. Rather than assuage the justices’ concerns, counsel for the government only confirmed them, agreeing that if an advocacy corporation published material advocating a candidate’s election, then the corporation “could be barred from using its general treasury funds to publish the book.”

That admission, like the government’s creation of independent agencies within independent agencies, and its wartime detention policies, stretched the old precedents past the breaking point. This “assertion of brooding governmental power,” Justice Kennedy later wrote for the Court, was troubling not because it cannot be reconciled with the Court’s precedents, but because it “cannot be reconciled with the confidence and stability in civic discourse that the First Amendment must secure.”

For all of the differences among those three cases (including the lineup of justices forming the Court’s majority), a common thread is evident. In each, the government had attempted to ground an unprecedented assertion of power in the letter of old precedents. In each, the change involved a fundamental innovation in the structure of government, be it the nature of regulatory agencies or the First Amendment freedoms that check the elected branches. And in each, the justices lacked useful rules guiding their decision, leaving them to exercise judgment rooted in more fundamental principles. The Court responded in each case by exercising prudence, drawing a new line in the constitutional sand, and requiring the government to step back to a more limited assertion of power.

In consciously avoiding rapid, radical change to the institutions of government, the Roberts Court’s prudence might be described as Burkean. But it should not be pigeonholed as strictly conservative in the ideological sense, for the Court’s insistence upon checking precipitous constitutional change is consistent even with prominent liberal theories of constitutional change.

Even Bruce Ackerman, a vigorous proponent of the “living constitution,” concedes that the Supreme Court needs to intervene to slow hasty constitutional overhauls by the elected branches. In his seminal work, We the People: Transformations, he argued that FDR’s New Deal reforms achieved constitutional legitimacy only after the Supreme Court struck down the first round of hasty, overreaching reforms. As Ackerman explains, FDR’s failure to secure the public’s consent to his constitutional reformation required the Court to rightly intervene, thus forcing FDR and Congress to engage the public in sustained, thorough deliberations before his constitutional reforms could be legitimated. Just as President Obama and Speaker Pelosi sought to evade a full airing of Obamacare, FDR and the New Deal Democrats were at first unwilling to undertake the “higher lawmaking” necessary for momentous reforms—and were rightly rebuked by the Court.

FDR and the New Deal Democrats, rooted in a broad electoral base, commenced an extended discussion of the reforms’ place in the constitutional tradition. This began with the ordinary work of partisan politics, but by the 1934 midterm elections, “the revolutionary character of the New Deal reforms was now obvious to any thinking American.” The Democrats’ “smashing victory” at the midterms offered a preliminary ratification for FDR’s constitutional changes, but even that was not enough.

Ackerman saw the Supreme Court as retaining a critical voice in the constitutional dialogue. The Court responded vigorously in 1935, striking down the New Deal reforms in a set of cases handed down on “Black Monday.” In three decisions reached not along partisan lines, but unanimously, the Court struck down the National Industrial Recovery Act, the Farm Bankruptcy Act, and the president’s attempt to fire one of the Federal Trade Commission’s five independent commissioners. In the first case, the Court held that the breadth of power delegated to the newly created National Recovery Administration was “without precedent,” going far beyond even the broad grants of power previously conferred upon the Federal Radio Commission and other regulatory agencies. In the second case, Justice Louis Brandeis wrote for the Court that after “centuries” of consistency in bankruptcy law, including reforms that followed each “major or minor depression,” no reform had gone as far as the Farm Bankruptcy Act in abrogating the rights of lenders, and therefore no prior law limiting lenders’ rights was sufficiently “analogous” to the New Deal’s attempted reform. And in the third case, the Court rejected the administration’s invocation of old precedents allowing the president to remove agency officials, concluding that the FTC office at issue in the case before the Court was simply not analogous to offices at issue in cases cited by the administration, because the FTC wielded far broader powers needing insulation against partisan presidential control.

One can argue about the merits of the Court’s decisions in those cases; indeed, two of the three precedents were eventually abandoned by the Court. But as Ackerman recognized, the importance of the Court’s action was not the substance of the decisions, but the “deeper wisdom” of the process that the justices imposed. “In joining hands with his more conservative brethren, Brandeis and his fellow ‘liberals’ were making it clear that the New Deal was proposing to do more than nibble around the edges of the laissez-faire constitutional tradition.” Under Ackerman’s theory, FDR and Congress could not legitimately enact and entrench their constitutional reforms without first engaging “the People” in a sustained constitutional dialogue proportionate to the magnitude of the constitutional reforms at issue, and it took the Court to force them to take those steps toward legitimacy.

As we now know, the debate over Obama-care fell far short even of this liberal standard for higher constitutional lawmaking. The individual mandate was a dramatic change to constitutional structure and practice. As Vice President Biden recognized in his own brand of constitutional rhetoric, the individual mandate was “a big f​—​ing deal.”

But instead of engaging the public in a sustained constitutional dialogue intended to achieve broad consensus, the administration and congressional Democrats avoided the substance of the debate at every turn. President Obama told a national television audience that the individual mandate was not a tax, only to reverse positions after Obama-care was signed. Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged that Congress “pass the bill so you can find out what is in it”; later, when asked to consider the possibility that the mandate might be unconstitutional, she dismissively responded, “Are you kidding me?”

And perhaps most significantly, the president secured the crucial final votes in favor of the bill by striking a deal with Rep. Bart Stupak and other pro-life congressmen, promising to respect rights of conscience by not requiring religious organizations to pay for their employees’ birth control and abortifacients. As Stupak himself now recognizes, the administration broke that agreement by issuing Health and Human Services regulations requiring religious organizations to pay for precisely those services.

The renewed debate sparked by HHS’s regulations may well be decisive. For the administration’s latest actions encapsulate precisely the concerns embodied in the Roberts Court’s decisions regarding Sarbanes-Oxley, Guantánamo, and preelection book banning, as well as the New Deal Court’s unanimous refusal to simply acquiesce to FDR. Unprecedented powers asserted by the government threaten to give rise to stark abuses of power​—​some foreseeable, perhaps many more unforeseeable. Faced with similarly novel assertions of government power in previous cases, the Court drew a constitutional line in the sand, out of an abundance of caution. The Court’s review of the individual mandate poses no less a challenge, and merits no less a response.

Adam J. White is a lawyer in Washington, D.C. His profile of Justice Samuel Alito, “The Burkean Justice” (Weekly Standard, July 18, 2011), was included among the “Exemplary Legal Writing” honors awarded annually by the Green Bag.
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