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Iranians Feel The Bite Of Tougher Sanctions

 
 
Reply Thu 15 Mar, 2012 10:54 am
March 15, 2012
Iranians Feel The Bite Of Tougher Sanctions
by Mike Shuster - NPR

No nation has been sanctioned so frequently, and so thoroughly, as the Islamic Republic of Iran. For more than 30 years, the country has been under some kind of punitive economic measure.

The goal has been to prevent Iran from receiving and using the billions of dollars in oil profits that finance its nuclear program.

But none have been tougher, according to President Obama, than the sanctions his administration has imposed on Iran's banking system.

The evidence suggests that these sanctions have made it difficult for Iran to carry out international transactions. And they have forced ordinary Iranians into activities that under other circumstances might be called money laundering.

Two Perspectives

Until recently, sanctions imposed on Iran — by the United States and by the U.N. Security Council — have not changed Iran's determination to expand its nuclear activities.

But on the last day of December, Obama signed into law a bill that could ban foreign banks from operating in the United States if they carry out transactions with the Central Bank of Iran.

[Sanctions have] greatly tightened and restricted the freedom that the Iranian government needed to carry out all these transactions. And that in turn, of course, has affected the lives of ordinary Iranians.

- Muhammad Sahimi, Iran analyst

That step came after several years of sanctions tightening, according to the president.

"What we've been able to do over the last three year is mobilize unprecedented, crippling sanctions on Iran," Obama said.

That pressure has forced many, perhaps most, international banks to think twice about doing business with Iran.

"Iran is feeling the bite of these sanctions in a substantial way. The world is unified. Iran is politically isolated," Obama said.

Of course, that's not the way Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, sees it.

"Obama has said he will bring Iran to its knees through sanctions," Khamenei told a national television audience a few days ago. "This is a delusion. They call these paralyzing sanctions — for the past year? We've been under sanctions for 30 years."

Despite the supreme leader's words, there's no doubt the current sanctions have been disruptive for the government and for many of Iran's people, says Muhammad Sahimi, a professor at the University of Southern California who writes regularly for the website Tehran Bureau.

"It has greatly tightened and restricted the freedom that the Iranian government needed to carry out all these transactions," Sahimi says. "And that in turn, of course, has affected the lives of ordinary Iranians."

Growth In Money Smuggling

The most dramatic development has been the collapse of Iran's currency, the rial. Over the past few months, it has lost more than half its value against the dollar, sparking a panic that saw Iranians desperate to flee the rial and turn their holdings into hard currency.

A customer buys Iranian gold coins at a currency exchange office in Tehran. The loss in the rial's value has led Iranians to take their money out of the country — even by speedboat across the Persian Gulf.

This has put enormous pressure on Iran's foreign currency reserves. As a result, Sahimi notes, the government imposed stiff restrictions, under penalty of imprisonment, on how much foreign currency ordinary Iranians can hold or send out of the country.

"So it has become very difficult to many Iranians to actually either send any money to outside Iran or sell their assets in Iran and get it out of Iran," Sahimi says.

Ordinary Iranians have become money smugglers, hoarding their dollars, filling suitcases with cash, and traveling out of Iran to make deposits into international banks.

Some people have even resorted to taking stashes of cash by speedboat across the Persian Gulf at night to make their deposits in banks on the other side.

One of the most popular destinations is Dubai, says Hossein Askari, an expert on Iran's economy at George Washington University. Its banks have bowed to U.S. pressure to forgo dealings with Iran's government, but not with individual Iranians.

"And when you get on the other side, many countries, especially in Dubai, nobody asks you any questions," Askari says.

China And India Loopholes

At the government level, banks in India and China are still doing business with Iran. China imports a great deal of Iran's oil, so it has established accounts for Iran in China amounting to billions of dollars.

But China reportedly has imposed exorbitant fees and restrictions on these accounts, a development just now becoming known in Iran, says USC's Sahimi.

"That is beginning to change the perception, even within Iran, whether China is really Iran's strategic ally or is just taking advantage of the situation," he says.

For the sanctions to be fully effective, the United States would have to move to close loopholes like this. Askari is skeptical.

"I don't think the United States will do that with Indian banks. And I am 100 percent sure it will not do with Chinese banks," he says.

Between the U.S. and China, especially, there is too much at stake. So in the end, the sanctions are tough — but probably not watertight.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
 
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Reply Fri 16 Mar, 2012 10:37 am
@BumbleBeeBoogie,
Mar. 15, 2012
Move blocks Iranian banks from world payments system
Matthew Schofield | McClatchy Newspapers

WASHINGTON — A move Thursday by a Belgian-based financial-transfers company to block Iran from global transactions is expected to isolate the country further and send it tumbling back toward a barter economy.

The move by the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication is the latest and perhaps the severest of a host of international sanctions designed to discourage and delay, if not destroy, the Islamic nation's nuclear weapons program. It goes into effect Saturday.

The sanction disconnects 30 major Iranian banks from the SWIFT system, which handles most cross-border money transfers, leaving the nation without a way to transfer money in and out of the country securely and quickly. Experts say the effects will be felt almost immediately in government offices in Tehran, in the corridors of business and in family kitchens.

They note that while Iran will remain able to sell oil abroad — or to buy goods using gold as currency — payment and collections become extremely complicated without access to the international standard for transferring money. It can continue to transfer money through smaller Iranian banks unaffected by the move, although small banks are unable to handle the volume Iran needs to keep its import and export economies rolling.

And Iran can, for instance, continue to trade oil for goods with India, Pakistan and other nations. McClatchy reported earlier this week that Iran and Pakistan were negotiating a barter deal in which Pakistan would supply up to 22 million tons of wheat in return for discounted electricity and oil products.

"But Iran doesn't necessarily need what India has to offer," noted Matt Levitt, an Iran expert at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. "This move has both financial and symbolic significance. Iran remains a very proud nation, and this casts them as a pariah."

The move came a week after the United States, the European Union, China and Russia agreed to resume long-stalled talks over Iran's nuclear program, and Iran dropped its refusal to allow U.N. inspectors into a military complex that U.S. officials suspect is involved in developing a secret nuclear-weapons program. Iran says its program is for peaceful uses.

That agreement had eased fears of a military confrontation. Thursday's action by SWIFT had been anticipated, but some lawmakers on Capitol Hill continue to push for even harsher sanctions, including extending the ban to all Iranian banks.

Lazaro Campos, who heads SWIFT, said that European Union sanctions had forced the move, which he called unprecedented.

"Disconnecting banks is an extraordinary and unprecedented step for SWIFT," Campos said in a statement. "It is a direct result of international and multilateral action to intensify financial sanctions against Iran."

"The EU-sanctioned Iranian financial institutions and the SWIFT customer community have been notified of the disconnection," he said.

John Byrne, the executive vice president of the Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists, a global organization that works to combat financial crime, also saw the move creating problems for Iran.

"It would have a very serious impact on Iran's ability to engage in commerce," he said. "This is going to be clearly felt fairly quickly."

With the recent raft of sanctions, Iran already had been forced to move much of its commerce through intermediary countries, which served as financial middlemen and allowed it to continue to engage in world markets.

Byrne noted that those countries risked getting locked out of SWIFT if they continued dealing with Iran.

"This is the ultimate decision in the financial sector," Byrne said. "Once you move on this, there is certainly no turning back."

Levitt said that this move — as deeply as it might cut into Iran's economy — was unlikely to force a change in the Iranian nuclear program on its own.

"Really effective financial tools like this, if paired with a credible military threat, could work," he said.

(Kevin G. Hall contributed to this article.)
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