Unpopular Presidencies

@fbaezer,

The rabbit has kind of confused the issue by showing disapproval rather than approval. Most polls give his approval at around 30%.

We also have a thing called the "disapproval rating" which is the approval percentage minus the disapproval percentage. Not sure what the point of it is, but it removes the undecideds. Abbott is around -24.

They also agree that if an election were held now we'd change govts, with the two part preferred vote being around 54%-46%

It's weird talking about Australia in this thread because we don't have a president. And the prime minister isn't directly elected by the people. Political parties choose their leaders, we just vote for a local representative in the lower house and state representatives in the upper house.

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@hingehead,

Cunning wabbit!

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http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/support-for-conservatives-dips-on-response-to-migrant-crisis-poll-shows/article26246364/?click=sf_globefb

Quote:

The Nanos survey conducted for The Globe and Mail and CTV News suggests many Canadians switched their voting intentions in recent days. The three-day sample puts support for the NDP at 32.7 per cent nationally (up 2.3 percentage points from a week ago), followed by the Liberals at 30.8 per cent (up 0.6 percentage points). Support for the Conservatives has slipped to 26.2 per cent (a 2.3-percentage-point drop).

The NDP is leading in Quebec and British Columbia, while the Liberals are ahead in Atlantic Canada and Ontario. The Conservatives are the first choice among Prairie voters.

Mr. Nanos said the Conservative numbers are likely due to the combined impact of three weeks spent responding to the Mike Duffy trial, followed by last week’s news that Canada experienced a technical recession in the first half of 2015 and then the unfolding refugee crisis.

There is more troubling news for the Conservatives in the Nanos poll in terms of opportunity for growth.

The proportion of Canadians who would consider voting Conservative has decreased to 36.1 per cent. In contrast, 52.5 per cent of those surveyed would consider voting for the NDP and 49.2 per cent would consider voting for the Liberals.

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Gee, it's been more than a year since I posted measurements.

Here are the new ones, with Evo Morales plummeting:

Danilo Medina (Dominican Rep.) 83% ( -2% since last measurement)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 67% (-3, reelected)
Rafael Correa (Ecuador) 61% (+11)
Jimmy Morales (Guatemala) 61% (new)
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (Peru) 61% new)
Justin Trudeau (Canada) 55% (new)
Juan Orlando Hernández (Honduras) 52% (+5)
Barack Obama (USA ) 52% (+7)
Raúl Castro (Cuba) 47% (no new poll in two years)
Juan Carlos Varela (Panama) 46% (-12)
Mauricio Macri (Argentina) 43% (new)
Salvador Sánchez Cerén (El Salvador) 41% (-6)
Juan Manuel Santos (Colombia) 30% (+2)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 30% (-18)
Enrique Peña Nieto (Mexico) 29% (-7)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 29% (-46)
Horacio Cartes (Paraguay) 23% (-2)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 22% (-4)
Nicolás Maduro (Venezuela) 21% (-3)
Michel Temer (Brasil) 14% (substitute)
Luis Guillermo Solís (Costa Rica) 10% (-10)

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@fbaezer,

Solis is at 10%?
I need to read a lot more, refresh my brainpan on who is who and the hows and whys.
This is a goodly distraction for me, so it's good to see the list now so that I/we/some of us in the US can get a grip on our own country's mishugana while learning a span of considerations going on all around us, that we don't hear so much about.

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@ossobucotemp,

ossobucotemp wrote:

Solis is at 10%?

That's why this thread is named "Unpopular Presidencies".

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@fbaezer,

I get that ; )

Just wondering more about him.

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@fbaezer,

What happened to make Morales fall so far, so fast?

Also, sheesh, Bachelet down at Maduro-level..

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@nimh,

nimh wrote:

What happened to make Morales fall so far, so fast?

A conflict of interest scandal of epic proportions (for Bolivia).
A former lover of Morales was in the midst of millionare State contracts for a Chinese company.
Morales blames the US and a "right wing" plot. He calls the Bolivian press "a cartel of liars".

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@nimh,

nimh wrote:

Also, sheesh, Bachelet down at Maduro-level..

A similar scandal. This time it's not the former lover, but the daughter-in-law. And it's not a Chinese firm, but a Chilean constructor.
The daughter-in-law happened to be a tax dodger, also.

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@fbaezer,

Is there something about scandals that affect popularity in Latin America? Maybe we should move some of that novelty further north.

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Just looked after some reasons for Solís being so low.
He hasn't been able to pass any laws in a locked parliament (only 1.3% of iniciatives).
Two of his ministers were forced to resign after the Attorney General declared they'd offered her an embassy in exchange for her stepping aside.
The ruling party blames the Media.

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@fbaezer,

Ah yes - when caught out, blame the press.

Thanks for these updates, Fbaezer.

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@fbaezer,

So familiar.........

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@fbaezer,

It's been over 2 years!
Time to revive the thread with (mostly) new presidents and their approval rates:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador (Mexico) 67%
Martin Vizcarra (Perú) 63%
Nayib Bakele (El Salvador) 60%
Danilo Medina (Dominican Rep.) 58% ( -25 since nov 2016)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 55% (-12, since nov 2016)
Raúl Castro (Cuba) 47% (last poll numbers; 2014)
Donald Trump (USA) 44%
Iván Duque (Colombia) 43%
Justin Trudeau (Canada) 42% (-13 since nov 2016)
Sebastián Piñera (Chile) 42%
Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil) 39%
Juan Orlando Hernández (Honduras) 33% (-19 since nov 2016)
Lenin Moreno (Ecuador) 32%
Carlos Alvarado (Costa Rica) 32%
Mario Abdo Benítez (Paraguay) 30%
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 29% (=since nov 2016)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 27% (-3 since nov 2016)
Juan Carlos Varela (Panamá) 20% (-26 since nov 2016)
Mauricio Macri (Argentina) 19% (-24 since nov 2016)
Jimmy Morales (Guatemala) 16% (-45 since nov 2016)
Nicolás Maduro (Venezuela) 15% (-6 since nov 2016)

The exercize of power does erode popularity, most of the time.

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Here we go again:

Nayib Bukele (El Salvador) 71% (+11 since last measurement)
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (Mexico) 64% (-3)
Danilo Medina (Dominican Rep.) 62% ( +4)
Raúl Castro (Cuba) 47% (last poll numbers; 2014)
Martin Vizcarra (Perú) 45% (-18)
Donald Trump (USA) 44% (=9
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 37% (+8)
Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil) 32% (-7)
Iván Duque (Colombia) 32% (-11)
Justin Trudeau (Canada) 31% (-11)
Mario Abdo Benítez (Paraguay) 30% (last poll numbers; march 2019)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 29% (-26)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 28% (+1)
Mauricio Macri (Argentina) 28% (+9)
Juan Orlando Hernández (Honduras) 27% (-6)
Sebastián Piñera (Chile) 27% (-15)
Carlos Alvarado (Costa Rica)24% (-8)
Lenin Moreno (Ecuador) 24% (-8)
Juan Carlos Varela (Panamá) 22% (+2)
Jimmy Morales (Guatemala) 21% (+6, outgoing)
Nicolás Maduro (Venezuela) 15% (=)

Numbers are, in general, going down again, notably for Nicaragua's Ortega, who's turned into a dictator of sorts.

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Now, Nayib Bukele is a Twitter phenomenon.

He claims to be the President of Twitter and the coolest twitter.
He fires people on Twitter. In one example he ordered his subordinate to substitute the vacant post by hiring 3 technicians. The subordinate answers, also in Twitter: "It is done, and we have $25 left for savings". Bukele then orders: "Use the $25 to buy a coffee maker" and, in another tweet, "and you buy the sweets from your salary".
He nominated a Minister of YouTube, and has ordered several youtubers to take a bath before recording their videos.
He has given orders to himself to have a nice Father's Day, and tweets or retweets about one meme a day.
He tweeted something in Arabic (he was receiving a Moroccan envoy) and then translated: "Nayib Bukele really hopes your crush finally falls for you... if your don't believe that I said that, check the Google translator)".

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@fbaezer,

I keep forgetting that Raúl Castro is no longer the head of State in Cuba. The President is Miguel Díaz-Canel (no measurements, opinion polls are a rarity in Cuba).

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@fbaezer,

Maybe because nobody in Cuba is willing to give an opinion.

You don't get much in the way of feedback, but I do follow along.

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@fbaezer,

f, I met you in Mexico City on my way to Cuba. I love Cuba and the people there. Their politics really destroyed their country; most now live on around $20/month income, but what surprises me most is the fact that most people are/seem happy. Most smile, more so than most countries I have visited. People are always friendly, and often invite strangers to their homes. Now that the government is allowing people to start their own business, it may grow their economy as more tourists visit their country. Older Americans would really enjoy Cuba; they still have 1950's American cars, and most are in mint condition. The Nacional Hotel is Havana is a "do not miss" destination. It has much history from the 1950's when Frank Sinatra, Eva Gardner, and the mafia used to stay there. It's a must to sit in the back patio bar to enjoy a Cuban cigar and a mojito while watching the world go by. It's a place where you can meet people from around the world, including Russia, Canada, and Europe.

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Unpopular Presidencies

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