fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Jan, 2005 11:48 am
Sure, Martin is the son of Omar Torrijos, the popular Panamanian president who signed the Canal treatise with Jimmy Carter (and who died a little later in a plane clash).
0 Replies
 
EduardoCanada
 
  1  
Reply Thu 8 Dec, 2005 12:18 am
Uribe in Columbia
Hi guys, just something that I pulled from Wikipedia.
________________________________

Many of his opponents consider that Uribe's popularity might be overestimated and tend to believe that most polls under-represent the opinions of poor rural and urban voters without access to telephone lines or other standard polling methods, voters which would possibly be somewhat less supportive of his administration.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 21 Dec, 2005 03:15 pm
A belated welcome to A2k, Eduardo.

I assume that, as in the case of the majority of countries polled, Invamer-Gallup in Colombia used home polling (encuesta en viviendas) and not telephone polling.

Anyway, here is the recent data:

Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 77%
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 71%
Eduardo Rodrìguez (Bolivia) 63% -his party lost the presidency on the recent election-
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 61%
Ricardo Lagos (Chile) 61%
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 60%
Vicente Fox (Mexico) 59%
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 58%
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 54%
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 50%
Oscar Berger (Guatemala) 46%
Abel Pacheco (Costa Rica) 44%
George W. Bush (USA) 41%
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 40%
Ricardo Maduro (Honduras) 35% -his party lost the presidency on the recent election-
Martìn Torrijos (Panama) 34%
Paul Martin (Canada) 29%
Enrique Bolaños (Nicaragua) 29%
Alejandro Toledo (Perù) 14%
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 11:49 am
New data with some new presidents

Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 87% (+10)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 75% (new)
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 67% (-4)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 65% (+7)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 65% (new)
Vicente Fox (Mexico) 63% (+4)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 62% (+2)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 61% (0)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 57% (new)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 54% (0)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 53% (+3)
Martìn Torrijos (Panama) 49% (+15)
George W. Bush (USA) 33% (-8)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 22% (-18)
Oscar Berger (Guatemala) 19% (-27)
Alejandro Toledo (Perù) 17% (+3)
Enrique Bolaños (Nicaragua) 14% (-15)
0 Replies
 
Setanta
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 11:56 am
Mr. Kirschner has climbed considerably from June, 2004, and now has a rather impressive approval rating for the last several months.

To what do you attribute his popularity, Fbaezer?
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 12:04 pm
Honestly, I think I should read more about what's going on in Argentina.

In terms of "feeling", I noticed there was a sense of desperation among Argentinians with the economic crisis, the devaluation and the "corralito" (which prevented people from cashing all of their bank deposits in fear of a big crash) which translated in being fed up with all politicians ("qué se vayan todos" : they all should go, was the cry in the street).
Kirshner is a shrewd politician, a true member of Argentina's "political class" and has combined populist positions with basic economic sense, while at the same time being tough to international creditors and the IMF.
But my opinion certainly lacks deep information.
0 Replies
 
Setanta
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 12:06 pm
I appreciate it nonetheless. This may seem a truly stupid question, and i don't deny my ignorance--where does he fall on a chart with Peronista on it?
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 12:09 pm
He's a member of the (very divided) Partido Justicialista; he is, thus, a Peronista.
Not a classic Peronista, but there has never been a classic Peronista since Perón.
0 Replies
 
Setanta
 
  1  
Reply Tue 4 Apr, 2006 12:23 pm
A point well taken--thank you for your always perceptive remarks.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Mon 29 May, 2006 04:07 pm
Re: Uribe in Columbia
EduardoCanada wrote:
Hi guys, just something that I pulled from Wikipedia.
________________________________

Many of his opponents consider that Uribe's popularity might be overestimated and tend to believe that most polls under-represent the opinions of poor rural and urban voters without access to telephone lines or other standard polling methods, voters which would possibly be somewhat less supportive of his administration.


Uribe got reelected yesterday, with 62.1% of the vote.

So the polls weren't wrong, after all.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Jul, 2006 12:56 pm
Latest update:

Evo Morales (Bolivia) 81% (+6)
Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 80% (-7)
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 70% (+3) (reelected)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 70% (+9)
Alán García (Peru) 69% (to assume in july)
Vicente Fox (Mexico) 62% (-1)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 58% (-4)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 58% (+5)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 55% (-10)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 52% (-13)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 44% (-10)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 39% (-18)
George W. Bush (USA) 34% (+1)
Alejandro Toledo (Peru) 32% (+15) (outgoing)
Abel Pacheco (Costa Rica) 23% (-21)
Alfredo Palacio (Ecuador) 21% (no previous data)
Martìn Torrijos (Panama) 13% (-36)
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Oct, 2006 06:24 pm
Latest update:

Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 76% (-4)
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 72% (+2)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 70% (=)
Vicente Fox (Mexico) 61% (-1)
Alán García (Peru) 56% (-13 since election)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 58% (=)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 55% (+3)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 52% (-29)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 45% (-10)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 45% (+1)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 44% (new)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 43% (-15)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 39% (-18)
George W. Bush (USA) 39% (+5)
Alfredo Palacio (Ecuador) 27% (+6)
Enrique Bolaños (Nicaragua) 19% (+5, since April)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 14% (-5, since April)
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 9 Jan, 2007 06:40 pm
Latest update (and maybe I should change the name of the thread to "Not so Unpopular Presidencies")

Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 73% (-3)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 68% (+13)
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 65% (-7)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 65% (-5)
Felipe Calderón (Mexico) 62% (new)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 62% (+10)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 61% (+3)
Alán García (Peru) 56% (=)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 56% (+12)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 52% (+7) (reelected)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 50% (+5)
Alfredo Palacio (Ecuador) 49% (+22) (outgoing)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 46% (+1)
Oscar Berger (Guatemala) 45% (+26, since April)
George W. Bush (USA) 36% (-3)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 33% (+19)
Enrique Bolaños (Nicaragua) 23% (+4) (outgoing)
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Sep, 2007 07:51 pm
Another update:

Nestor Kirschner (Argentina) 71% (-2 from last measurement)
Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 66% (+1)
Felipe Calderón (Mexico) 66% (+4)
Martín Torrijos (Panama) 60% (+43; last measurement: july 2006)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 57% (-11)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 57% (-5)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 57% (+18; last measurement, oct. 2006)
Rafael Correa (Ecuador) 56% (new)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 55% (-1)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 51% (+1)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 50% (-15)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 48% (-4)
Stephen Harper (Canada) 44% (not new, but not measured lately on this thread)
Oscar Berger (Guatemala) 42% (-3l)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 39% (-7)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 38% (-23)
Alán García (Peru) 32% (-24)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 26% (new)
George W. Bush (USA) 22% (-14)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 11% (-22)
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 22 Jan, 2008 05:51 pm
New update:


Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 78% (+12 from last measurement)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 61% (+11)
Felipe Calderón (Mexico) 60% (-6)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 60% (+5)
Cristina Fernández (Argentina) 58% (new)
Martín Torrijos (Panama) 57% (-3)
Rafael Correa (Ecuador) 57% (+1)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 56% (-1)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 52% (+1)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 51% (-6)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 50% (+2)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 46% (+8)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 39% (=)
George W. Bush (USA) 34% (+12)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 33% (-23)
Alán García (Peru) 33% (+1)
Stephen Harper (Canada) 30% (-14)
Oscar Berger (Guatemala) 27% (-15)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 21% (-5)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 17% (+6)
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 22 Jan, 2008 08:28 pm
Always interesting.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 22 Apr, 2008 09:49 am
New update (tells you something about war threats, don't you think?):


Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 84% (+6 from last measurement)
Rafael Correa (Ecuador) 62% (+5)
Felipe Calderón (Mexico) 61% (+1)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 59% (-8)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 56% (=)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 55% (+5)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 51% (-10)
Martín Torrijos (Panama) 51% (-6)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 50% (-10)
Alvaro Colom (Guatemala) 49% (new)
Cristina Fernández (Argentina) 47% (-11)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 46% (=)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 46% (+7)
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 45% (-7)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 38% (+5)
Stephen Harper (Canada) 34% (+4)
George W. Bush (USA) 30% (-4)
Alán García (Peru) 28% (-5)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 21% (=)
Nicanor Duarte (Paraguay) 5% (-12) (Outgoing, his party lost the elections)
0 Replies
 
anonimo3000
 
  1  
Reply Thu 1 May, 2008 09:57 am
Fbaezer, do you have historical popularity figures for previous Colombian presidents?
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Thu 1 May, 2008 02:13 pm
Hi anónimo, welcome to a2k.
I gather the data from Colombia from the Invamer-Gallup Colombia site.
It says there that the latest Uribe popularity index is the highest for a Colombian president in 10 years.
I don't have data beyond that date. But I sincerely doubt Samper, Gaviria, Barco, Betancur or Turbay could have reached those percentiles...
Gaviria was quite popular, wasn't he? No data, anyway.
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Mon 23 Jun, 2008 08:03 pm
New update.
Watch for Cristina Fernández. Signs of trouble.


Alvaro Uribe (Colombia) 84% (= from last measurement)
Felipe Calderón (Mexico) 61% (=)
Antonio Saca (El Salvador) 55% (-4)
Evo Morales (Bolivia) 55% (-1)
Luiz Ignacio Lula Da Silva (Brasil) 55% (=)
Hugo Chàvez (Venezuela) 54% (+3)
Rafael Correa (Ecuador) 53% (-9)
Martín Torrijos (Panama) 51% (=)
Alvaro Colom (Guatemala) 49% (=)
Leonel Fernàndez (Dominican Republic) 46% (=) -reelected
Tabaré Vázquez (Uruguay) 45% (=)
Oscar Arias (Costa Rica) 44% (-6)
Michelle Bachelet (Chile) 44% (-2)
Manuel Zelaya (Honduras) 38% (=)
Stephen Harper (Canada) 34% (=)
Alán García (Peru) 32% (+4)
George W. Bush (USA) 30% (=)
Cristina Fernández (Argentina) 26% (-21)
Daniel Ortega (Nicaragua) 21% (=)
0 Replies
 
 

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