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Wed 16 Mar, 2011 07:48 pm
You are standing in front of 5 doors. Behind 1 door is a hungry lion that will eat you, Behind another door is a man with a chainsaw who will cut you to pieces. Behind 2 of the doors is nothing at all, Behind the last door is a sack full of $200,000. You do not know which door is which. You get to keep picking doors until you are killed or you win the $200,000. What is the probablity that you choose the correct door on exactly the 2nd try? Is it worth it?
@phina1970,
Do you expect $16,000 matters.
@phina1970,
My first guess would be 2/5 times 1/4
=1/10.
@phina1970,
...that looks like it could be equal to the probability of "surviving" ( no money + not eliminated by finding money round 1).
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