@dlowan,
dlowan wrote:Thoughts on how the ruling will fall???
I haven't been following this very closely. It's my understanding that other challenges, brought in other courts around the country, have either been decided in favor of the legislation or have been thrown out entirely. On this case, then, Judge Hudson, who was appointed to the bench by GW Bush, stands alone.
The judge, however, is no partisan hack, and his opinion was well-considered and thorough. I just think he made an indefensible distinction between commercial activity (which can be regulated under the constitution's Commerce Clause) and commercial
inactivity (which he thinks can't). The supreme court, however, has long held that congress has the power to regulate commercial inactivity as well as commercial activity, so long as that inactivity itself has an effect on interstate commerce. That's the holding in
Wickard v. Filburn, and it was recently reiterated in
Gonzalez v. Raich (see
this discussion for more detail). Hudson's opinion tried to distinguish those precedents, but I don't it did so in a convincing manner. And for conservatives who are hoping that the supreme court will side with Hudson's decision have to keep in mind that both Scalia and Kennedy voted with the majority in
Gonzalez.