@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:Assertion.
You say that like it's a bad thing.
Cycloptichorn wrote:People often pay for services in advance of actually needing them, out of prudence.
Indeed they do -- when they don't have the option of paying for those services in the event that they need them.
You misunderstand. People often pay in advance
even when they have the option of paying for the services when they need them. This is exactly the case with medical insurance - you can always pay cash for your bills, but it's far cheaper to buy the insurance, even though there's a huge chance you won't need it. I posit the same for the fire services.
Quote:Cycloptichorn wrote:Assertion. Medical insurance works the same way - you are highly unlikely to get sick or injured in any single year - yet the vast majority of people desire and pay for the insurance anyway. Your theory says that this shouldn't be happening, but it clearly is.
No,
your theory says that this shouldn't be happening, because your theory allows for people to buy insurance when they get sick, just as you think Mr. Crainick should be allowed to pay for fire services whenever he has a fire. That's the unrealistic scenario here.
No, my theory said nothing about allowing people to
buy insurance after they need it. My theory does allow for them to pay for their medical bills in cash.
My theory called for charging a large and punitive rate for paying for services on the spot, instead of in advance. This is a strong deterrent for waiting until you need the service to pay for it, and it has the added bonus of avoiding a large loss of property and value for the entire community.
Not only that, but you are conflating Insurance with Cost. It's not the same thing. I said nothing about allowing the people with a house on fire to buy fire insurance.
Quote:Cycloptichorn wrote:Assertion, see above. This is not born out by real-world examples - only by your theories.
See above.
I did - you were incorrect there.
Quote:Cycloptichorn wrote:No, you are appealing to extremes. Nobody proposed a system in which only those whose houses are on fire pay, but that's what you are arguing would exist if people aren't forced to watch their house burn down. Reality doesn't support this, however - just your theory.
I'm not sure how my theorizing is a whole lot different from your theorizing about a scenario where people can pay for fire services whenever they have a fire, except that my theorizing is much more reasonable.
It isn't more reasonable, because real-world experience shows us that people do not act in the way that you assert they will. In short, your Game Theory example doesn't hold up to reality.
Quote:Cycloptichorn wrote:Neither am I. However, your original post seems to posit that the FD did the correct thing by allowing his house to burn down. They did not do the correct thing, morally or ethically, and certainly not financially; they could have set up a system to fully cover their costs while ensuring that houses don't burn down.
Of course the fire department did the correct thing. If it allowed an exception for Mr. Crainick, it would have had to allow an exception for everyone else.
An expensive exception - one that likely would
profit the FD. I don't think they would care too much if more people chose to pay them higher rates - they would be servicing those same fires in any case, for less money!
Quote:That would have spelled an end for the fire department, since everyone would have simply emulated Mr. Crainick's example.
No, they wouldn't have. This is simply a false assertion on your part which is not born out by the reality of our experiences with other forms of insurance.
Not only that, but your situation is so far away from reality as to not match what we were describing at all. The FD in question
didn't rely upon the $75 fees for its existence. The FD in question was paid for out of local town tax funds in a neighboring town. The $75 was for extended service to outlying areas. So, no; charging people in outlying areas on the spot wouldn't have put an end to the FD in any fashion.
This is what I mean when I say that the ideological situation you posit doesn't match reality: it really doesn't. I'm sure there's some perfect simulacra of a libertarian FD in your head, but that's not what we are talking about at all.
Quote:In this case, the rule was much more important than the house.
It most certainly was not. The FD profitted in no way by not putting out the fire; hell, they even had people on the scene! They were paying for them to be out there in any rate! No money was saved, by anyone, for letting the house burn down, and no greater point was proven to anyone - other than that Libertarians are some of the biggest dicks out there.
I must say, for a sharp guy, you haven't thought this one out very well.
Cycloptichorn