@Caroline,
Caroline;90260 wrote:If Hitler hadn't been born some other psycho would've taken over, it was the right climate, the masses follow.
Quote:If Hitler hadn't been born some other psycho would've taken over, it was the right climate, the masses follow
That point, valid as it seems, makes this whole thread rather redundant. And it takes us back to the intractable philosophical problem, which I mentioned before, of whether men make history, or whether individuals like Hitler and Stalin just happen to come along at the right time.
In my view, there is no easy answer for that problem. I agree with Alan McDougall that individuals such as Hitler
are historically rare, the exception to the rule that history is usually governed by larger and wider developments, beyond the influence or control of mere mortals,
not solely by the whims of people. Yet the opposite argument also holds true that, had Adolf Hitler, Joseph Stalin, Winston Churchill, Napoleon Bonaparte, Genghis Khan, Julius Caesar, Alexander the Great - in effect, pretty much any "great" person in history - come along at any other time, they would almost certainly have been consigned to the footnotes, or more likely not remembered at all. Intelligence, power, and ambition are not qualities that are in short supply - to put it in some perspective,
billions of men have walked this earth, and only a few of those have ever risen to the ranks of "greatness" - but it takes opportunity, the will to power, the right conditions and the right
means to exploit them, to accomplish anything meaningful. That is what all these men did - all of them were driven, focused, ambitious individuals; but why did they succeed where others, no less gifted, failed? Why did Hitler rise to become the head of the Nazi Party, and not drift into ignominious oblivion in the bars and restaurants of Vienna? Why did Stalin after Lenin's death ascend to become the leader and Grand Marshal of the Soviet Union, the supreme pontiff of international Marxism, and not fade into the background, or even return to his old vagabond ways?
Because they were opportunists, they were possessed of no small amount of patience, and they did not hesitate to seize their moment when the opportunity arose.
Here is how I like to look at any historical problem:
CONDITION+REASON+CAUSE = EFFECT
Every event, big or small, needs a
condition, a
reason, and a
cause. The "condition" is the gunpowder, and in some cases the most important factor of all - it is rarely simple or one-sided. The "reason" is the cannon, if you will, and the "cause" the match that sets the whole thing in motion. Hitler's
reasons for starting a war are clear enough - the pursuit of power; the redressing of past perceived wrongs; racial and ideological fanaticism; the complementary goals of
lebensraum and racial extermination; last of all the desire to build a "great" Germany, a Thousand Year Reich to rule over its traditional enemies to the West and the "inferior" peoples to the East. As for the
causes, they are more complex, but I believe the "match" that started the fire - that catapulted Hitler into the Reichstag, in effect - was the burning of the Reichstag in 1934, by supposed "Communist" agitators, which led swiftly to the Enabling Act granting Hitler near-dictatorial powers, and the banning of the Communist and SD parties, further increasing the Nazis' share of the popular vote, and ensuring them a victory in the next election. But for that cause, it is uncertain whether Hitler and the Nazis would have become as popular and as powerful as they did; certainly it sealed the deal. Now the "match" that started the Second World War was, of course, the invasion of Poland, and the failure of the Allies (Britain and France) to react to Hitler's intentions earlier - they had already granted him the Sudetenland, the Rhineland, and Austria, and had turned a blind eye to his military build-up, in spite of obvious and repeated warnings. The absence or replacement of this crucial "spark" - say, a more disciplined opposition, in Britain, the US and France, to German ambitions - could have meant the end of Hitler's ambitions long before 1939.
That just leaves the
conditions, which I believe are the most important factor here. The absence of even one of these "conditions" could, in theory, have stalled or prevented Hitler's rise to power altogether - with significant and resounding consequences. One may subscribe to the view that Adolf was merely a "cipher" of history, the agent of events and not their master; equally, however, there can be no denying the fact that he, personally, was a tremendous influence on the course and outcome of those events. The
conditions for WWII, the Holocaust, even the Cold War, were present long before Hitler's rise to power - the Versailles Treaty, and the suspicion it aroused between the European nations; nationalist fervor, deepened rather than dissipated by the ashes of 1918; the inherent weakness of the nascent Weimar Republic, its unpopularity and its failure to respond to the crises of the 1930s; the belief of the German people, validated by Versailles, that they had been the "victims" of circumstance, defeated in 1918 not in the proper sense but rather by a "stab in the back" back home; their consequent determination to recapture this squandered glory, a dream which took shape in the grandiose figure of Adolf Hitler; the fragile structure of Europe post-1918, further undermined by the vacuum left by the collapse of the old Habsburg and Ottoman Empires, and by the growth of a dominant super-state to the East (the Soviet Union); the relative decline (predating even 1914) of the dominant imperial Powers, Britain and France, and the ascendancy of the US and Germany; the widespread growth of anti-semitism and the rise of "radical" political regimes and ideologies throughout Europe; the Great Depression, and in Germany especially its damaging effect on an entire generation of youth; a simultaneous and almost worldwide "culture of violence", created it seems by the aftershock of 1914, and fuelled by the dreams of despots such as Stalin; the corroding influence of communism in Western Europe, and the ideological hatred of capitalism fostered by the certainty that they were predestined to collide; the long-held territorial ambitions of nations such as Germany, which even before Hitler had desired to reclaim Austria, its perceived "birthright", as well as the USSR, whose plans were less clear, but certainly included the annexation of Poland, to serve as a "buffer zone" against the West; and various other factors, too numerous to list here.
These, then, are our conditions. Europe in the 1930s was an inherently unstable system, destined sooner or later to explode, or to collapse. It was by no means certain what would happen. Some say World War Two was inevitable; I choose, rather, to say that
a conflict was inevitable, but not necessarily the conflict
we got. History could have transpired in any of a number of ways - I have already suggested one, in my opinion the most likely, the rise and dominance of communism in Germany (which in 1930 the most serious contender for a communist revolution), and the subsequent "domino effect" on its neighbours, leading to a pseudo-Cold War in the heartland of Europe. Many other hypotheses might be devised. Yet, it fell to individuals like Hitler, and a few other contemporaries - men who, like Churchill, were not necessarily destined for greatness, but rather had greatness thrust upon them - to translate those conditions into reality.
Here is my conclusion, if you think such a philosophical conundrum is capable of receiving a conclusion. Men sometimes make history; but at the same time, it is often history that makes men. Well, that is as good a solution as I can contrive. Any better ones?