Raul-7 wrote:timberlandko wrote:If "mere chance" were operative, likelihood would be small. However, no matter how small the likelihood (the likelihood of surviving a lightning strike, a great fall, or a shark attack is very small - but now and again, someone manages to do it), if it could happen it might happen, and here we are.
The calculations of British mathematician Roger Penrose show that the probability of universe conducive to life occurring by chance is in 10^123. The phrase "extremely unlikely" is inadequate to describe this possibility.
1^50 is usually take to mean 'zero possibility', now 10^123 is trillions less than that. Meaning coincidence is an impossibility.
Roger Penrose comments:
"This now tells how precise the Creator's aim must have been, namely to an accuracy of one part in 10^10^123. This is an extraordinary figure. One could not possibly even write the number down in full in the ordinary denary notation: it would be 1 followed by 10^123 successive 0's. Even if we were to write a 0 on each separate proton and on each separate neutron in the entire universe- and we could throw in all the other particles for good measure- we should fall far short of writing down the figure needed."
What your objection demonstrates, Raul, is that neither you nor whomever authored the misinformation you quote understands Penrose. The thrust of Penrose" mathematic excercise simply is that the universe we inhabit very most likely could not have come about any other way than he says he thinks it did.
What Penrose failed to take into consideration is that there is no reason to assume - as he did and on which is predicate his calculation - that ours is the only universe possible or extant. In fact, mathematically it may be demonstrated ours is not the only possible universe, and further it may be demonstrated that - at least mathematically - there may be many, perhaps even must be, incalculably many, many universes, while no known mathematical proof excludes the possibility of other universes than our own. That apart, Penrose's calculation incorporated a number of assumptions the validity of which, while unproven, all, each and every in every particular and in concert, prove critical to the conclusion his calculation would present. Among these assumptions were particular parameters for the nature and mechanics of time, and of the properties and attributes of infinity.
What Penrose "Proved" is that given the specific particular set of specific circumstances necessary for his calculation to be valid, his calculation would be valid so far as it goes.
Now, apart entirely from all of that, Penrose himself does not dispute evolution at any scale from the cosmologic through the subatomic, rather, through his work, particularly but not singularly his collaborations with Hawking, he confirms it specifically in reference to the cosmologic. He himself may have a belief in a god, but he does not let that belief blind him to science. Furthermore, in more recent work, Penrose offers an elegant "Proof", incorporating his famous 10^10^123, wherein he demonstrates ours is the only possible universe for us to be in, is the only possible development of a universe from the circumstances predicate to The Big Bang as currently we understand things, and depends for its formation and clearly evidenced, observed, multiply verified, and well confirmed evolution on the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics. Listen to him in his own words, in his own voice, deliver a roughly 75 minute (including brief concluding question & answer session) lecture outlining this hypothesis
HERE (note: approx 28MB .mp3 download)
Accompanying slideshow
HERE (note: 80 page .pdf download)
In short, what Penrose says is that as we know are here, what must have happened is that regardless of probability, circumstances as observed to pertain and obtain mandate that we be here, where, when, and as we are.
Quote:Now answer this-
"We did not create heaven and earth and everything between them to no purpose. That is the opinion of those who are disbelievers." (Surah Sad: 27)
True?
Certainly I'll answer that - you offer a bit of scripture, and you ask, reference that bit of scripture, "
True?" ... do I have that right?
If so, then the answer is that having no claim to authority other than that self claimed and self referenced, scripture has no no authority other than that wich it claims for itself - the ultimate in circular reasoning. Now, whether or not that which is alleged by scripture might be "True" is immaterial, in no way may be used scripture, by itself, without independent corroborative evidence - actual, objectice, empirical, severally verifiable and reproducible evidence, not further claim, not further scripture, not opinion, not anecdote, but hard, outside evidence - to establish that such as is alleged in scripture be so, as the claim may not be part of the proof. All that may be proved via scripture, by itself, is that scripture exists.
What your referrenced offering illustrates, Raul, is terminally flawed understanding of science, mathematics, logic, and forensics; it demonstrates itself to proceed from and consequently to be an aburdity.
In short, you know not whereof you speak.