georgeob1 wrote:Setanta,
A well-known and repeatedly tested strategic principle of warfare is that one must consider all that the enemy can do, and not just what you expect him to do. To this I added the following proposition;
Quote:Common enemies have frequently united otherwise antithetical allies in the march of history.
You wrote that:
It is also worth noting that the series of al Qaeda attacks on the USA, which began at least in 1993 with the first attack on the WTC, also involved a pronounced international dimension - including Saudis, Yemenis, Moroccans and others. We knew the network had links throughout the Islamic world. Even then it wasn't just Afghanistan.--and then followed with your casual statement to suggest that Hussein could have been considered a potential supporter of such terrorism. You did so without any referential statement of the reason Hussein would have taken such a course.
Quote:I offered a few illustrative examples of this proposition (history offers very many more). You followed with a torrent of objections, and have, in my view, lost sight of the basic idea before us in an odd, vitriolic outpouring of often-irrelevant detail. An interesting demonstration of virtuosity on your part, but I'm unable to see where you are going with it.
Your "illustrative examples" were not analogous. There was no torrent of objections, that is a example of a florid locution which attempts to blur the meaning of exactly what did occur--a demonstration that your attempt at analogy failed, because the comparisons were not analogous. There was nothing either odd, and certainly nothing vitriolic, in providing a description of exactly why it is that your attempt at analogy failed. Where i went with it (a proper form of the noun, given that i did in fact arrive) was to demonstrate the falsity of your attempted analogy.
Quote:I have already made the point that the basic foe is not terrorism itself - this is but a technique in warfare - but rather a reactionary, mostly Islamist, awakening in the Moslem world. I have noted that the causes of this discontent range from a reaction to injustices and defeats inflicted on them over the last several centuries; some lingering after effects of the destruction of the Ottoman Empire 90 years ago; the failures of most contemporary governments in the Moslem world; and a pervasive sense that the modern world is passing them by among the people. I suggested that the possibility of collusion, either ongoing or to come, among disparate elements in that world, as we confront the reaction and attempt to redirect their political evolution was and is a valid consideration in the formulation of our strategy.
This is right out of the PNAC play book for convincing the average boob on the street that we are in a holy war with Islam. I do not consider the American people to be boobs. Saddly, they are sufficiently given to a parochial view (understandable in view of the large size of their nation and economy) that such simple-minded rhetoric is often successful. Certainly people cherish grudges which reach back centuries--for example, the Serbian resentment against the Turk over a definitive defeat occuring more than six centuries ago. Such propogandizing is, however, the handiwork of those who wish to create and exploit fanaticism. Just as most Serbs in the 1990's cannot be considered guilty or even complicit in the murders and crimes of Milosevich, Karadzic and the others accused of war crimes, the majority of the population of the Muslim world does not deserve to be tarred with the brush of fanaticism. The antidote to the fanaticism of the Muslim world lies in the amelioration of their flawed systems of governance. No part of this administrations policy has addressed this. The PNAC imperative to establish military bases in southwest Asia has no reference to such a solution. Your suggestion about collusion is meaningless if it is predicated upon a notion that all Muslims are alike the potential perpetrators or tools of reactionary religious fanaticism. In particular, my response has been to point out that in the case of Hussein prior to the Iraq invasion, there was not only no reason to assume that he was in league with AQ and other religiously-motivated fanatics, but that there was good reason to believe that he was not involved with them. Therefore, my purpose was to demonstrate why it is that this is a flawed thesis.
Quote:You countered with an irrelevant comparison of the characters of Louis XVI and Saddam Hussein and other arcane details, including Stalin's given name. So what? I am not attempting to prove there was significant collusion between Saddam and any of the several terrorist organizations that have sprung up in the Moslem world. Rather to suggest that this was a possibility of sufficient import to warrant serious consideration in our strategy. It is simply a fact that this became one of several factors motivating our intervention in Iraq.
You provided the irrelevant comparison of Louis XVI and Stalin to Hussein and by inference to Bin Laden--i just shot it down for the ludicrous nature of such a facile attempt to create an historical analogy. Your bald suggestion that such a possibility existed does not make it true that such a possiblity existed. Absolutely no one contended as much until the Shrub and Company began casting about for means to convince the American public to back their implementation of the agenda of the PNAC--and redirecting American frustration and anger to Iraq could be accomplished if such a link between Hussein and AQ were established in the collective public mind. Unfortunately for our soldiers and the Iraqi people, the effort was largely successful. But as Anatole France observed, that fifty thousand people believe a wrong thing does not alter that the thing is wrong. It is not a simple fact that this became one of our motivating factors in invading Iraq. It was a contentious point, loudly objected to by many before the war, myself included in these fora, and it was shouted down by the gung-ho, ready to go (since they didn't actually have to fight and die themselves) conservative cheerleaders of the administration. I have responded as i have because such a collusion was never a serious possibility. I restate that Hussein had a sufficiently well-developed instinct for self-preservation to never had misstepped in so obvious a fashion as to have given us that
causus belli.
Quote:Perhaps you believe that you have proven that there was not and never would have been any collusion between Saddam and any of the several Islamist movements (or nationalist or gangster movements masquerading as Islamist) that infect the Moslem world. I do not believe that you have even approached such a proof, and most certainly would not have bet my fate on such a proposition. Inference, based on supposition does not constitute knowledge.
It is not inference to state that Hussein tortored and murdered hundreds of Wahabbis. It is not inference to state that Hussein tortured and murdered thousands of Shi'ites. It is not inference to point out that AQ is an organization derived from among Saudi and Yemeni Wahabbis, and supported by those, and by Shi'ites among the Egyptian, Sudanese and Morrocan descendants of the Fatamid Shi'ites. It is not inference to state that prior to this invasion, Bin Laden publicly condemned the secular regime of Hussein. It is not inference to point out that there was never any support among the religiously motivated fanatics of the Muslim world for Hussein or Iraq, until after the United States had invaded that country. It is the most reasonable form of inference to point out that it was that decision which has made the United States so much more hated and distrusted in the Muslim world. It is gross inference to casually suggest that there was a potential threat from Hussein working in concert with those whom he hated, and those who hated him, as though this were a given fact, a known probability--which is nothing other than a false attempt to justify after the fact the implementation of a self-interested agenda of the PNAC. "Inference, based on supposition does not constitute knowledge." is something which you ought to print in large block letters, and paste to the top of your monitor, so that you may consider that contention before posting such tripe again. If you wish to be a shill for the PNAC agenda in southwest Asia, it would be refreshing, at least, so see you admit as much honestly.