Re: Family ties
whimsical wrote:How big is the chance that the father of my granddad, the same person is as the grandad of my father?
Whim
So, basically, we are looking for how many Great Grandads are available to each statement.
1. Grandad of my father.........MUST follow MY Paternal line.
2. Father of my grandad.........Follows BOTH Paternal AND Maternal lines, as one of "my grandads" could be my MUMS dad.
So, therefore, the chances of 1(....from one line) being the same as 2 (......from two lines) = 1 in 2, which = 50%.
Looking at it logically, the difference between the statements 1 and 2 is that:-
In total, there are TWO Great grandads available at the top of the chain in statement 1. (Paternal line only)
....But there are FOUR Great grandads at the top of the chain in statement 2. (Both lines to be considered).
It therefore comes out as a 2 in 4 chance, ie 50%.