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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
genoves
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 2 Mar, 2009 01:47 pm
I am sure that my posts will be more intelligible and interesting than Parados's posts. THE TITLE OF THE THREAD IS GLOBAL WARMING...NEW REPORT...AND IT AIN'T HAPPY NEWS, but Parados practically soils himself in fear when he considers that because he ego cannot stand being shown wrong.
Therefore, the same challenge to Parados.
0 Replies
 
genoves
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 2 Mar, 2009 01:49 pm

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 03:14 pm Here is more proof that Sea Level Rise needs to be looked at very carefully. The author, who has been on the IPCC, states that none of the scientists involved in the study for the IPCC were sea level experts, BUT ONLY COMPUTER SCIENTISTS.

Note:

Sea-level Expert: It's Not Rising!
Why coastal dwellers should not live in fear of inundation.
Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner was interviewed by Associate Editor Gregory Murphy on June 6. The interview here is abridged; a full version appeared in Executive Intelligence Review, June 22, 2007.

Question: I would like to start with a little bit about your background.
I am a sea-level specialist. There are many good sea-level people in the world, but let's put it this way: There's no one who's beaten me. I took my thesis in 1969, devoted to a large extent to the sea-level problem. From then on I have launched most of the new theories, in the '70s, '80s, and '90s. I was the one who understood the problem of the gravitational potential surface, the theory that it changes with time. I'm the one who studied the rotation of the Earth, how it affected the redistribution of the oceans' masses. And so on.

I was president of INQUA, an international fraternal association, their Commission on Sea-Level Changes and Coastal Evolution, from 1999 to 2003. And in order to do something intelligent there, we launched a special international sea-level research project in the Maldives, because that's the hottest spot on Earth for (this topic)"there are so many variables interacting there, so it was interesting, and also people had claimed that the Maldives"about 1,200 small islands"were doomed to disappear in 50 years, or at most, 100 years. So that was a very important target.

I have had my own research institute at Stockholm University, which was devoted to something called paleogeophysics and geodynamics. It's primarily a research institute, but lots of students came, I have several Ph.D. theses at my institute, and lots of visiting professors and research scientists came to learn about sea level. Working in this field, I don't think there's a spot on the Earth I haven't been in! In the northmost, Greenland; and in Antarctica; and all around the Earth, and very much at the coasts.

So I have primary data from so many places, that when I'm speaking, I don't do it out of ignorance, but on the contrary, I know what I'm talking about. And I have interaction with other scientific branches, because it's very important to see the problems not just from one eye, but from many different aspects. Sometimes you dig up some very important thing in some geodesic paper which no other geologist would read. And you must have the time and the courage to go into the big questions, and I think I have done that.

The last 10 years or so, of course, everything has been the discussion on sea level, which they say is drowning us. In the early '90s, I was in Washington giving a paper on how the sea level is not rising, as they said. That had some echoes around the world.

Question: What is the real state of the sea-level?
You have to look at that in a lot of different ways. That is what I have done in a lot of different papers, so we can confine ourselves to the short story here. One way is to look at the global picture, to try to find the essence of what is going on. And then we can see that the sea level was indeed rising, from, let us say, 1850 to 1930-1940. And that rise had a rate in the order of 1 millimeter per year; 1.1 is the exact figure. Not more. And we can check that, because Holland is a subsiding area; it has been subsiding for many millions of years; and Sweden, after the last Ice Age, was uplifted. So if you balance those, there is only one solution, and it will be this figure....

There's another way of checking it, because if the radius of the Earth increases as a result of sea level rise, then immediately the Earth's rate of rotation would slow down. That is a physical law, right? You have it in figure-skating: when skaters rotate very fast, the arms are close to the body; and then when they increase the radius, by putting out their arms, they stop by themselves. So you can look at the rotation and you see the same thing: Yes, it might be 1.1 mm per year, but absolutely not more. It could be less, because there could be other factors affecting the Earth, but it certainly could not be more. Absolutely not! Again, it's a matter of physics.

So, we have this 1 mm per year up to 1930, by observation, and we have it by rotation recording. So we go with those two. They go up and down, but there's no trend in it; it was up until 1930, and then down again. There's no trend, absolutely no trend.

Another way of looking at what is going on is the tide gauge. Tide gauging is very complicated, because it gives different answers for wherever you are in the world. We have to rely on geology when we interpret it. So, for example, those people in the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), choose Hong Kong, which has six tide gauges, and they choose the record of one, which gives a 2.3 mm per year rise of sea level. Every geologist knows that that is a subsiding area. It's the compaction of sediment; it is the only record which you should not use.

And if that (2.3 mm) figure is correct, then Holland would not be subsiding, it would be uplifting. And that is just ridiculous. Not even ignorance could be responsible for a thing like that. So tide gauges, you have to treat very, very carefully. Now back to satellite altimetry, which shows the water, not just the coasts, but in the whole of the ocean, as measured by satellite. From 1992 to 2002, (the graph of the sea level) was a straight line, variability along a straight line, but absolutely no trend whatsoever. We could see spikes: a very rapid rise, but then in half a year, they fall back again. But absolutely no trend, and to have a sea-level rise, you need a trend.

Data Fudged
Then, in 2003, the same data set, which in their (IPCC's) publications, in their website, was a straight line"suddenly it changed, and showed a very strong line of uplift, 2.3 mm per year, the same as from the tide gauge. And that didn't look so nice. It looked as though they had recorded something, but they hadn't recorded anything. It was the original data which they suddenly twisted up, because they entered a "correction factor," which they took from the tide gauge.

So it was not a measured thing, but a figure introduced from outside. I accused them of this at the Academy of Sciences meeting in Moscow"I said you have introduced factors from outside; it's not a measurement. It looks like it is measured from the satellite, but you don't say what really happened. And they answered, that we had to do it, because otherwise we would not have gotten any trend!

That is terrible! As a matter of fact, it is a falsification of the data set. Why? Because they know the answer. And there you come to the point: They know" the answer; the rest of us, we are searching for the answer. Because we are field geologists; they are computer scientists. So all this talk that sea level is rising, this stems from the computer modelling, not from observations. The observations don't find it!

I have been an expert reviewer for the IPCC, both in 2000 and last year. The first time I read it (the report), I was exceptionally surprised. First of all, it had 22 authors, but none of them"none"were sea-level specialists. They were given this mission, because they promised to answer the right thing. Again, it was a computer issue. This is the typical thing: The meteorological community works with computers, simple computers. Geologists don't do that! We go out in the field and observe, and then we can try to make a model with computerization; but it's not the first thing.

So there we are. Then we went to the Maldives. I traced a drop in sea level in the 1970s, and the fishermen told me, "Yes, you are correct, because we remember""things in their sailing routes have changed, things in their harbor have changed. I worked in the lagoon, I drilled in the sea, I drilled in lakes, I looked at the shore morphology"so many different environments. Always the same thing: In about 1970, the sea fell about 20 cm, for reasons involving probably evaporation or something. Not a change in volume or something like that"it was a rapid thing. The new level, which has been stable, has not changed in the last 35 years. You can trace it so very, very carefully. No rise at all is the answer there.

The Case of Tuvalu
Another famous place is the Tuvalu Islands, which are supposed to soon disappear because they've put out too much carbon dioxide. There we have a tide gauge record, a variograph record, from 1978, so it's 30 years. And again, if you look there, absolutely no trend, no rise.

So, from where do they get this rise in the Tuvalu Islands?

We know in the Tuvalu Islands that there was a Japanese pineapple industry which extracted too much fresh water from the inland, and those islands have very little fresh water available from precipitation, rain. So, if you take out too much, you destroy the water magazine, and you bring seawater into the magazine, which is not nice. So they took out too much freshwater and in came salt water. And of course the local people were upset. But then it was much easier to say, "No, no! It's the global sea level rising! It has nothing to do with our extraction of freshwater." So there you have it. This is a local industry which doesn't pay.

You have Vanuatu, and also in the Pacific, north of New Zealand and Fiji"there is the island Tegua. They said they had to evacuate it, because the sea level was rising. But again, you look at the tide-gauge record: There is absolutely no signal that the sea level is rising. If anything, you could say that maybe the tide is lowering a little bit, but absolutely no rising.

And again, where do they (the IPCC) get it from? They get it from their inspiration, their hopes, their computer models, but not from observation, which is terrible.

Venice
We have Venice. Venice is well known, because that area is tectonically, because of the delta, slowly subsiding. The rate has been constant over time. A rising sea level would immediately accelerate the flooding. And it would be so simple to record it. And if you look at that 300-year record: In the 20th Century it was going up and down, around the subsidence rate. In 1970, you should have an acceleration, but instead, the rise almost finished. So it was the opposite.

If you go around the globe, you find no rise anywhere. But they need the rise, because if there is no rise, there is no death threat. They say there is nothing good to come from a sea-level rise, only problems, coastal problems. If you have a temperature rise, if it's a problem in one area, it's beneficial in another area. But sea level is the real "bad guy," and therefore they have talked very much about it. But the real thing is, that it doesn't exist in observational data, only in computer modelling....

I'll tell you another thing: When I came to the Maldives, to our enormous surprise, one morning we were on an island, and I said, "This is something strange, the storm level has gone down; it has not gone up, it has gone down." And then I started to check the level all around, and I asked the others in the group, "Do you see anything here on the beach?" And after a while they found it too. And as we had investigated, and we were sure, I said we cannot leave the Maldives and go home and say the sea level is not rising, it's not respectful to the people. I have to say it to Maldive television.

So we made a very nice program for Maldive television, but it was forbidden by the government (!) because they thought that they would lose money. They accuse the West for putting out carbon dioxide, and therefore we have to pay for our damage and the flooding. So they wanted the flooding scenario to go on.

This tree, which I showed in the documentary, is interesting. This is a prison island, and when people left the island, from the '50s, it was a marker for them, when they saw this tree alone out there, they said, "Ah, freedom!" ... I knew that this tree was in that terrible position already in the 1950s. So the slightest rise, and it would have been gone. I used it in my writings and for television.

You know what happened? There came an Australian sea-level team, which was for the IPCC and against me. Then the students pulled down the tree by hand! They destroyed the evidence. What kind of people are those? And we came to launch this film "Doomsday Called Off," right after that, and the tree was still green. And I heard from the locals that they had seen the people who had pulled it down. So I put it up again, by hand, and made my TV program....

They call themselves scientists, and they're destroying evidence! A scientist should always be open for reinterpretation, but you can never destroy evidence. And they were being watched, thinking they were clever.
******************************************************************

I am sure that Parados won't read this because he is fearful that he can't answer its charges.
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Previous • Post: # 3,587,044 • Next genoves

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 03:28 pm Re: parados (Post 3586699)
Yes, Parados,. I read your link. I am not like you -afraid to read evidence. and I will respond to your link. Actual Observations used to drive global climate models of course are based on the algorithms put into the models. The point still holds--Not enough is known about the clouds and their effects. If you read my post you would know that the IPCC itself acknowledges this.


0 Replies
Previous • Post: # 3,587,050 • Next genoves

1 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 03:42 pm Dr.Lindzen does not agree with the findings of CERES. Note-
********************************************************
There are two sources of thin cirrus clouds. One is the detrainment of deep convective anvil clouds, which spread, precipitate, and evaporate to become thin cirrus in the neighborhood of cumulus cloud clusters. The other is the thick cumulus clouds that are left behind propagating large-scale atmospheric disturbances and decay rapidly to become thin cirrus that contribute to the supply of water vapor in the upper troposphere. The upper-tropospheric water vapor may later form thin cirrus clouds because of atmospheric wave motions (Boehm and Verlinde 2000). These thin cirrus clouds are widespread and can persist for a long period of time because of large-scale lifting of air in the Tropics (Boehm et al. 1999). By analyzing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration High Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder radiance data, Wylie et al. (1994) estimated a global cirrus cloud cover of 40%. By taking into consideration the extended areal coverage and the low albedo of thin cirrus clouds, LCH specified the mean albedo of high-level clouds to be 0.24. With a fractional coverage of 0.25 and an albedo of 0.42 specified for the low boundary layer clouds, the albedo of the cloudy-moist region is then 0.35, which can be compared with the albedo of 0.51 as derived by Lin et al. using TRMM CERES and VIRS data. It appears that Lin et al. significantly underestimated the high-level cloud cover and overestimated the high-level cloud albedo and, hence, overestimated the sensitivity of shortwave radiation to high-level clouds.

We conclude that Lin et al. greatly underestimated the areal coverage and overestimated the albedo of the cloudy-moist region. The areal coverage of high-level clouds in the Tropics should be much greater than the value of 10% as estimated by Lin et al. The albedo of 0.51 of the cloudy-moist region as estimated by Lin et al. is representative of thick anvil clouds but is not the mean albedo of high-level cloudy regions. If we assume that their estimates of the OLR in the three tropical regions are appropriate for studying the climate sensitivity, the feedback factors of high-level clouds should remain negative as suggested by LCH, although the magnitudes are somewhat smaller, typically by 20%, which is still large when compared with the weak positive feedback as estimated by Lin et al.

source- Journal of Climate--Article PP. 2713-2715
Volumen 15,18

0 Replies
Previous • Post: # 3,587,059 • Next genoves

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 03:47 pm You still have not responded to this_Parados. Is the IPCC correct when it writes about the massive problems concerning clouds and their influence on measuring global warming?

Note:

From Wikipedia--

The effects of clouds are a significant area of uncertainty in climate models. Clouds have competing effects on the climate. One of the roles that clouds play in climate is in cooling the surface by reflecting sunlight back into space; another is warming by increasing the amount of infrared radiation emitted from the atmosphere to the surface. [17] In the 2001 IPCC report on climate change, the possible changes in cloud cover were highlighted as one of the dominant uncertainties in predicting future climate change; see also [18].

0 Replies
Previous • Post: # 3,587,066 • Next genoves

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 03:53 pm Foxfyre wrote:

On Feb. 18 the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center reported that from early January until the middle of this month, a defective performance by satellite monitors that measure sea ice caused an underestimation of the extent of Arctic sea ice by 193,000 square miles, which is approximately the size of California. The Times ("All the news that's fit to print"), which as of this writing had not printed that story, should unleash Revkin and his unnamed experts.

end of quote.

A DEFECTIVE PERFORMANCE BY SATELLITE MONITORS THAT MEASURE SEA ICE CAUSING AN UNDERESTIMATION OF THE EXTENT OF ARCTIC SEA ICE BY 193,000 SQUARE MILES?

How could this be? I have not seen any comment by Parados on this matter.

Why Not?


0 Replies
Previous • Post: # 3,587,079 • Next genoves

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 04:03 pm
PARADOS THINKS A DEBATE ALLOWS A DEBATER TO PICK AND CHOOSE WHAT HE WILL RESPOND TO...THE DEBATER MAY DO THAT, AS PARADOS IS DOING BUT THE JUDGE WILL DECLARE THAT THE SNIVELING COWARD PARADOS LOST.
Parados STILL has not been able to rebut the fact that the IPCC has lowered its predictions of sea level rise after each report.

What a coward!!!!!


I am, of course, aware that the major player in these scientific studies is the IPCC, sponsored by the UN. I have clear evidence to show that the IPCC's reports in 2007 showed a REVISION DOWNWARDS of Sea Level Rise.

If the IPCC revised their predictions from their previous studies, it is not at all unlikely that there may be revisions in the future.
Note the findings of the IPCC. Note that these findings were made using models. That means that data were fed into computers by scientists to model what temperatures might be in ninety years. That means that the scientists who set up these models were able to ACCURATELY PREDICT THE ACTION OF CLOUDS, OCEAN CURRENTS AND VOLCANOES AND THE INTERACTION OF THESE FACTORS FOR THE NEXT NINETY YEARS

quote from Wikipedia on IPCC
********************************************************


There are six families of SRES Scenarios, and AR4 provides projected temperature and sea level rises for each scenario family.

Scenario B1
Best estimate temperature rise of 1.8 °C with a likely range of 1.1 to 2.9 °C (3.2 °F with a likely range of 2.0 to 5.2 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [18 to 38 cm] (7 to 15 inches)
Scenario A1T
Best estimate temperature rise of 2.4 °C with a likely range of 1.4 to 3.8 °C (4.3 °F with a likely range of 2.5 to 6.8 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [20 to 45 cm] (8 to 18 inches)
Scenario B2
Best estimate temperature rise of 2.4 °C with a likely range of 1.4 to 3.8 °C (4.3 °F with a likely range of 2.5 to 6.8 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [20 to 43 cm] (8 to 17 inches)
Scenario A1B
Best estimate temperature rise of 2.8 °C with a likely range of 1.7 to 4.4 °C (5.0 °F with a likely range of 3.1 to 7.9 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [21 to 48 cm] (8 to 19 inches)
Scenario A2
Best estimate temperature rise of 3.4 °C with a likely range of 2.0 to 5.4 °C (6.1 °F with a likely range of 3.6 to 9.7 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [23 to 51 cm] (9 to 20 inches)
Scenario A1FI
Best estimate temperature rise of 4.0 °C with a likely range of 2.4 to 6.4 °C (7.2 °F with a likely range of 4.3 to 11.5 °F)
Sea level rise likely range [26 to 59 cm] (10 to 23 inches)



An examination of the IPCC findings shows that the MEDIAN TEMPERATURE RISE WILL BE( SEE SCENARIO B2 AND A1B) AND TAKE THE MID POINT BETWEEN THEM--2.6 C. rise by 2100.

It is most important to understand that the IPCC HAS REVISED ITS FINDINGS OVER AND OVER. THESE FIGURES ARE NOT WRITTEN IN STONE AND SINCE THEY ARE FINDINGS MADE THROUGH MODELING CAN SHOW DIFFERENCES.

Let us examine what the IPCC has said about Sea Level Rises---

In its report the IPCC estimates that sea levels will rise about a foot over the rest of the century..since 1860 we have experienced a sea level rise of about a foot--no major disruptions. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REALIZE THAT THE NEW PREDICTION IS L O W E R THAN THE PREVIOUS IPCC ESTIMATES AND MUCH LOWER THAN THE ESTIMATES FROM 1990 OF MORE THAN TWO FEET AND FROMTHE 1980'S WHEN THE EPA PROJECTED MORE THAN SIX FEET BY 2 100.

Note the above--Parados who is afraid of me has not rebutted the documented fact that the IPCC has lowered its predictions for sea level rise since it has been reporting>



Parados STILL has not been able to address the last paragraph of this post which is a quote from the IPCC.

Again, Ican, Parados, who is afraid of my facts and will not try to rebut them but instead posts ridiculous graphs and meaningless links. Apparently, he does not know that the questions about climate--How it changes, why it changes and the RELATIVE influence of each factor on climate and the interaction of these influences on each other---that these questions are unsettled.

Here, ICAN, is a major question which I am sure is not settled yet. Parados will not be able to answer it because he is hiding. But,I am sure you will be interested in it.

THE IPCC FOUND:

caps mine--
"Probably the GREATEST UNCERTAINTY in future projections of climate arise from clouds and their interactions with radiation...Clouds represent A SIGNIFICANT SOURCE OF POTENTIAL ERROR in climate simulations...The sign of the net cloud feedback is still A MATTER OF UNCERTAINTY, and the various models exhibit a LARGE SPREAD. Further UNCERTAINTIES arise from precipitation processes and the difficulty in CORRECTLY SIMULATING THE DIURNAL CYCLE AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND FREQUENCIES>"

ICAN-- that is a finding of the IPCC.

PARADOS IS UNABLE TO RESPOND TO THAT! Parados has not rebutted the evidence in this post. Why not?



Note_


7.2.2.2. 2001 IPCC report.

If sea-level changes occur slowly, economically rational decisions could be made to protect only property that is worth more than its protection costs. With foresight, settlements can be planned to avoid much of the potential cost of protection, given that between 50 and 100 years are expected to pass before a 1-m sea-level rise would be expected. Yohe and Neumann (1997) offer a method by which this planning might be applied. This method can reduce the costs of protection by more than an order of magnitude. Yohe et al. (1996) estimate discounted (at 3% yr-1) cumulative U.S. national protection costs plus property abandonment costs for a 1-m sea-level rise by the end of the 21st century at US$5-6 billion, as opposed to previous estimates of $73-111 billion (Smith and Tirpak, 1989)

****************************************************************

AND ACCORDING TO THE IPCC SUMMARY WHICH I HAVE POSTED SEVERAL TIMES, THE SEA LEVEL RISE IS INDEED TAKING PLACE SLOWLY..

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Previous • Post: # 3,587,082 • Next genoves

0 Reply report Sun 1 Mar, 2009 04:06 pm Parados is afraid to respond to Farmerman's challenge--

Here is another post that Parados has not addressed. He has NOT rebutted the fact that Sea Level Rise predictions are being lowered:

This post is from Farmerman:

farmerman

1 Reply report Wed 11 Feb, 2009 05:46 am TWo marine geologists, John Kraft and Rhoads Fairbridge had, in the late 1970's predicted a global sea level rise that ,since new elements of isostacy and continental movement were factored in, have since reduced their own (then) famous curves significantly. Much of these predictions of water temps and sea level elevations are WAG's at best, and downright fraudulent at worst. The rush to publish a lot of crap data is where weve gotten into a lot of messes with the entire global warming mantra. Axial precession, change in sol,ar luminosity, release of continental heat sinks and the various planetary cycles havent even been factored accurately into the equation and still many insist that global warming is human induced and weve gotta curtail all commerce to stem it.
Jeez, Im sorry, I try to be open minded about a lot but Im still not seeing the relationship even of CO2 as a "causitive element" in climate hange. ALl Im seeing in the paleoclimate data is that CO2 is a "following" indicator. (temperatures change, then CO2 is released) .
****************************************************************
PARADOS THINKS A DEBATE ALLOWS A DEBATER TO PICK AND CHOOSE WHAT HE WILL RESPOND TO...THE DEBATER MAY DO THAT, AS PARADOS IS DOING BUT THE JUDGE WILL DECLARE THAT THE SNIVELING COWARD PARADOS LOST.
Parados STILL has not been able to rebut the fact that the IPCC has lowered its predictions of sea level rise after each report.

What a coward!!!!!


I am, of course, aware that the major player in these scientific studies is the IPCC, sponsored by the UN. I have clear evidence to show that the IPCC's reports in 2007 showed a REVISION DOWNWARDS of Sea Level Rise.

If the IPCC revised their predictions from their previous studies, it is not at all unlikely that there may be revisions in the future.
Note the findings of the IPCC. Note that these findings were made using models. That means that data were fed into computers by scientists to model what temperatures might be in ninety years. That means that the scientists who set up these models were able to ACCURATELY PREDICT THE ACTION OF CLOUDS, OCEAN CURRENTS AND VOLCANOES AND THE INTERACTION OF THESE FACTORS FOR THE NEXT NINETY YEARS

parados
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Mar, 2009 07:47 pm
@ican711nm,

What does "produced" mean ican?
http://able2know.org/topic/44061-626#post-3577232
ican711nm wrote:
Clearly, a 100% x (1366-1365)/1365 = 0.073% increase in SI (i.e., Solar Irradiation) has produced the 100% x (1.0/((287.06-0.5))) = 0.35% increase in AAGT (i.e., Annual Average Global Temperature).


http://able2know.org/topic/44061-627#post-3579089
ican711nm wrote:

Clearly, a 100% x (1366-1365)/1365 = 0.073% increase in SI (i.e., Solar Irradiation) has produced the 100% x (1.0/((287.06-0.5))) = 0.35% increase in AAGT (i.e., Annual Average Global Temperature).

http://able2know.org/topic/44061-627#post-3579089

http://able2know.org/topic/44061-630#post-3583116
Quote:
AAGT generally increases with increases in SI and decreases with decreases in SI. On the otherhand CAD has not ever decreased over that same period. Consequently, CAD cannot be shown to be a causative factor 0f AAGT increases AND decreases over that same period.


Quote:
I have previously concluded that SI variations are probably the major cause of AAGT variations 1900 to 2008.
No "LIKELY" in that statement ican.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  2  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 06:19 am
@genoves,
your fanaticism mixed with personal abuse reminds me of poster "brahmin" who was banned. You're not back are you Brahmin?
parados
 
  2  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 07:58 am
@Steve 41oo,
Steve -
genoves has been here many times under other names.

At this point, he is ignored by just about everyone and will disappear to come back in 6 months under a new identity and pretend he has never been here before. He is easy to spot because he quickly attacks long time members with information that only "Possum R Fartbubbles" would have.
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 01:55 pm
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report

231
Penn State Meteorologist Paul Knight, host and founder of the program "Weather World" expressed skepticism about man-made global warming in 2007. "We have to be very careful about using global temperatures. You have very few people who do it absolutely correctly," Knight said in a April 20, 2007 interview. "I wish the climate system were simple. It is not. Listen to the facts. There is a fair bit we do not understand," Knight said. The article continued, "The southern ice cap over Antarctica has actually gotten larger since the 1970s, Knight said. And the overall average temperature on the southern tundra has actually dropped a half degree Celsius over the last two decades. To understand global climate change, the sun must be taken into account, according to Knight. He said much of the warmer temperatures the earth has experienced may be attributed to longer sunspot cycles on the sun. Some scientists argue sunspots may actually make the sun's powerful rays even stronger during cycles and may cause slightly higher temperatures on Earth."


232
Geophysicist Dr. David Deming, associate professor of arts and sciences at the University of Oklahoma who has published numerous peer-reviewed research articles, dismissed fears of man-made global warming. "Present-day temperatures are not anomalously warm. The best methods we have for estimating past temperatures are borehole temperatures and the elevation of tree lines. Both of these methods indicate temperatures during the High Middle Ages were just as warm as today. Five thousand to 7,000 years ago, temperatures were significantly warmer," Deming wrote in a January 10, 2007 op-ed in the Edmond Sun. "Ninety percent of the greenhouse effect is due to water vapor. The warming response to the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is logarithmic. That means if some global warming does occur, most of it will be at night, at winter, and at high latitudes where humidity is low. These are places and times where warmer temperatures would be beneficial, not detrimental," Deming wrote. "Neither the Greenland nor the Antarctic ice sheets are undergoing any significant ablation or melting. The polar bear population is stable," he added. "No one has ever died from global warming. What kills people is cold, not heat. For more than 150 years, it has been documented in the medical literature that human mortality rates are highest in the winter when temperatures are the coldest," he explained. "In summary, the problem is not one of skepticism, it's one of ignorance. Global warming hysteria is based on ignorance fueled by speculation and alarmism. The average person is more likely to be struck by a meteorite from outer space than harmed by global warming," Deming concluded. (LINK)

0 Replies
 
rydinearth
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 04:30 pm
@squinney,
Quote:
What I don't get is why some so vehemently deny global warming. What is the benefit of denying that it is happening or accepting that it is possible?

I bet you believe the Holocaust really happened too. :-p
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 04:34 pm
Oh, boy. Still a lot of baiting on this thread. I'll not stay.
rydinearth
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Mar, 2009 07:44 pm
I'm kidding, of course.
0 Replies
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Wed 4 Mar, 2009 07:21 am
Are you? Why?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 4 Mar, 2009 09:06 am
Squinney posted that question over four years ago. It's hard to believe that this thread has been active for all that time. But her question was pertinent then and it is pertinent now. What affect humankind has on our environment and on our climate should be scrutinized and explored and dissected and considered and, because there is such a wide diversity of opinion about it, it is important to continue to do that.

The thread hasn't dealt exclusively with global warming but has also included consideration of various ways of providing energy to a world that needs more and more of it every day. We have discussed issues of clean water, soil, and air and the best ways to accomplish that.

The specific issue of global warming takes several directions:
1. Is it happening at all and if it is happening naturally, what if anything can we do about that?
2. If it is, is the activity of humankind having any appreciable affect on that?
3. If it is occurring and humandkind has no means of affecting that, what can we do to help humankind adjust to changing climate conditions?
4. If humankind is affecting it, can we stop affecting it and/or is the effect necessarily a devastating thing?
5. If humandkind can and should reverse it, what is the best way to go about that.
6. If humankind is not affecting it or is not causing great harm to the Earth, how can we prevent people who profit from a flawed theory of global warming from taking away our choices, opportunities, and freedoms?

Sometimes the debate is civil here and, as on many such forums, there are those who seem to be incapable of civility.

I hope you guys just now checking in will stay and add your perspectives.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Wed 4 Mar, 2009 11:36 am
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report

233
Dr. Mel Goldstein, a PhD Meteorologist on Connecticut's TV News Channel 8, questioned the long-range climate models used by the UN's IPCC. "When you are in the trenches and forecasting each and everyday, you begin to realize the inadequacies of our computer models," Goldstein wrote in a March 9, 2007 blog. "I become skeptical when atmospheric models are used to project conditions 100 or 200 years from now," he noted. Goldstein, who established the first and only Bachelor's degree program in meteorology at Connecticut Western Connecticut State University and authored the book The Complete Idiot's Guide to Weather, also questioned how the IPCC could account for the range of variables that go into long range climate projections. "There are many important variables we just can't handle with confidence. For example in the IPCC report, the cooling effect of clouds is given a low level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The range of possibilities is so great that the highest estimate of reflectivity from clouds can completely balance the highest estimate of warming from carbon dioxide. Then, there is the whole issue of water vapor which is a powerful greenhouse gas. It can range from 0.2 to 2% in the atmosphere. Whereas, carbon dioxide is about .03%. Sadly, we know so little about water vapor and the heat it generates," Goldstein wrote. (LINK) In a June 29, 2007 blog post, Goldstein continued his critique of the shortcoming of climate predictions. "Long range forecasts are often short on reality. Sure, we have great mathematical equations applied to predicting our weather. But not all is known about our weather. We don't understand how water vapor comes into the equations, and that is a big deal. Heat sources represent other major unknowns, after all, heat drives the atmosphere. We make assumptions about these unknowns, and as long as these fit for the moment, the forecast looks good. But a slight error will only magnify as the forecast is further extended," Goldstein wrote. "We can get an idea of a trend, but specifics 30 days or 90 days out are seldom correct. Most of what we know about the atmosphere was known a hundred years ago. No doubt, technology has advanced faster than our basic understanding of the atmosphere. There are times when even a 24-hour forecast leaves something to be desired," he concluded.

ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Wed 4 Mar, 2009 11:52 am
@ican711nm,
REBUT THIS IF YOU CAN

ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_mlo.txt
http://biocab.org/Solar_Irradiance_is_Actually_Increasing.html
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2007/ann/global.html
YEAR . CAD /\ only SI /\ & \/ A-AAGT /\ & \/ AAGT /\ & \/

1988 352.16 1366.09 0.180 287.240
1989 353.56 1366.66 0.103 287.163
1990 355.15 1366.56 0.254 287.314
1991 355.91 1366.45 0.212 287.272
1992 356.27 1366.31 0.061 287.121
1993 357.59 1366.04 0.105 287.165
1994 359.65 1365.81 0.171 287.231
1995 361.29 1365.71 0.275 287.335
1996 362.78 1365.62 0.137 287.197
1997 364.89 1365.62 0.351 287.411
1998 367.61 1365.75 0.546 287.606
1999 368.59 1366.11 0.296 287.356
2000 370.33 1366.67 0.270 287.330
2001 371.83 1366.40 0.409 287.469
2002 374.45 1366.37 0.464 287.524
2003 376.71 1366.07 0.473 287.533
2004 378.31 1365.91 0.447 287.507
2005 380.87 1365.81 0.482 287.542
2006 382.64 1365.72 0.422 287.482
2007 384.64 1365.66 0.405 287.465
2008 386.33 1365.60 0.324 287.384

CAGT = CENTURY AVERAGE GLOBALTEMERATURE,1901-2000, in °K
AAGT= ANNUAL AVERAGE GLOBALTEMPERATURE in °K
A-AAGT = ANOMALIES of AAGT = AAGT - CAGT in °K
SI = SOLAR IRRADIANCE in W/M^2
CAD = CO2 ATMOSPHERIC DENSITY in PPM
AMAD = AVERAGE MISCELLANEOUS ATMOSPHERIC DENSITIES in PPM???

It is a fact that during the specific 90 year period,
1908 to 1998, CAD increased, SI increased, A-AAGT
increased, and AAGT increased. It is also a fact that
during the specific 11 year period, 1998 to 2008,
CAD increased, SI decreased, A-AAGT decreased, and
AAGT decreased. Because of these facts, SI increases
and decreases are likely to be the major causes of
A-AAGT and AAGT increases and decreases.

genoves
 
  -2  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 12:35 am
@ican711nm,
Ican-Where is Parados? He did not rebut your post>
0 Replies
 
genoves
 
  -2  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 12:35 am
@ican711nm,
Ican- Where is Parados- He did not rebut your post.
0 Replies
 
genoves
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 12:42 am
@rydinearth,
If you read the evidence on these threads, rydinearth,You will discover why there are many questions as to global warming . Of course,you may bring your own level of expertise. I invite you to read and try to rebut some of the posts which are skeptical about Global Warming. If you read my posts, you will find that I do not say there is NO Global Warming--I say that the Global Warming may be a natural phenomenon so we can do nothing about it OR that any so called warming does not seem to be causing any great harm.

The IPCC( I hope you know that is the UN's arm for Climate study) has itself LOWERED its predictions of Sea Level Rise each time it has issued a report since 1995--Three reports in all--The IPCC's last report says that Sea Level Rise( Median estimate) will be about a FOOT by 2100. That is about as much as the sea has risen since 1850 with no great problem being caused.

Welcome to the debate!!!
0 Replies
 
genoves
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 12:43 am
@sumac,
Welcome to the debate-sumac--read my last post.
0 Replies
 
genoves
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 12:44 am
@parados,
Parados has been here for a long time with the same name. He has,however, resolutely refused to answer questions put to him, but I will try again.

He thinks that he will frighten me away by calling me names. He is sadly mistaken. I have been on these threads before and I have not been able to stay.

Parados and his leftwing friends know why. This is a left wing site. If you are not part of the left wing group of chimpanzees who sit there grooming themselves and saying--Isn't it terrible that the USA is murdering all of those poor people in Iraq--You are not welcome.

I know why some have excoriated me.

l. I called a person a Nazi--He is definitely Nazi like. That was not politic to say on these threads.

2. I made a joke. I said that the actors in Brokeback Mountain would be remaking the movie, Bang the Drum Slowly--but they hadn't decided who would be the pitcher and who would be the catcher.

That was not a joke that would be accepted on these threads.

So,.Parados is safe because he is a left winger. But, I will not stop asking him to read and try to rebut my posts.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  0  
Reply Thu 5 Mar, 2009 07:27 pm
Quote:

http://www.kusi.com/weather/colemanscorner/38574742.html

The Amazing Story Behind the Global Warming Scam

By John Coleman

The key players are now all in place in Washington and in state governments across America to officially label carbon dioxide as a pollutant and enact laws that tax we citizens for our carbon footprints.
...
At the same time, that Maurice Strong was busy at the UN, things were getting a bit out of hand for the man who is now called the grandfather of global warming, Roger Revelle. He had been very politically active in the late 1950's as he worked to have the University of California locate a San Diego campus adjacent to Scripps Institute in La Jolla. He won that major war, but lost an all important battle afterward when he was passed over in the selection of the first Chancellor of the new campus.

He left Scripps finally in 1963 and moved to Harvard University to establish a Center for Population Studies. It was there that Revelle inspired one of his students to become a major global warming activist. This student would say later, "It felt like such a privilege to be able to hear about the readouts from some of those measurements in a group of no more than a dozen undergraduates. Here was this teacher presenting something not years old but fresh out of the lab, with profound implications for our future!" The student described him as "a wonderful, visionary professor" who was "one of the first people in the academic community to sound the alarm on global warming," That student was Al Gore. He thought of Dr. Revelle as his mentor and referred to him frequently, relaying his experiences as a student in his book Earth in the Balance, published in 1992.

So there it is, Roger Revelle was indeed the grandfather of global warming. His work had laid the foundation for the UN IPCC, provided the anti-fossil fuel ammunition to the environmental movement and sent Al Gore on his road to his books, his move, his Nobel Peace Prize and a hundred million dollars from the carbon credits business.

What happened next is amazing. The global warming frenzy was becoming the cause celeb of the media. After all the media is mostly liberal, loves Al Gore, loves to warn us of impending disasters and tell us "the sky is falling, the sky is falling". The politicians and the environmentalist loved it, too.

But the tide was turning with Roger Revelle. He was forced out at Harvard at 65 and returned to California and a semi retirement position at UCSD. There he had time to rethink Carbon Dioxide and the greenhouse effect. The man who had inspired Al Gore and given the UN the basic research it needed to launch its Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was having second thoughts. In 1988 he wrote two cautionary letters to members of Congress. He wrote, "My own personal belief is that we should wait another 10 or 20 years to really be convinced that the greenhouse effect is going to be important for human beings, in both positive and negative ways." He added, "…we should be careful not to arouse too much alarm until the rate and amount of warming becomes clearer."

And in 1991 Revelle teamed up with Chauncey Starr, founding director of the Electric Power Research Institute and Fred Singer, the first director of the U.S. Weather Satellite Service, to write an article for Cosmos magazine. They urged more research and begged scientists and governments not to move too fast to curb greenhouse CO2 emissions because the true impact of carbon dioxide was not at all certain and curbing the use of fossil fuels could have a huge negative impact on the economy and jobs and our standard of living. I have discussed this collaboration with Dr. Singer. He assures me that Revelle was considerably more certain than he was at the time that carbon dioxide was not a problem.

Did Roger Revelle attend the Summer enclave at the Bohemian Grove in Northern California in the Summer of 1990 while working on that article? Did he deliver a lakeside speech there to the assembled movers and shakers from Washington and Wall Street in which he apologized for sending the UN IPCC and Al Gore onto this wild goose chase about global warming? Did he say that the key scientific conjecture of his lifetime had turned out wrong? The answer to those questions is, "I think so, but I do not know it for certain". I have not managed to get it confirmed as of this moment. It's a little like Las Vegas; what is said at the Bohemian Grove stays at the Bohemian Grove. There are no transcripts or recordings and people who attend are encouraged not to talk. Yet, the topic is so important, that some people have shared with me on an informal basis.

Roger Revelle died of a heart attack three months after the Cosmos story was printed. Oh, how I wish he were still alive today. He might be able to stop this scientific silliness and end the global warming scam.

Al Gore has dismissed Roger Revelle's Mea culpa as the actions of senile old man. And, the next year, while running for Vice President, he said the science behind global warming is settled and there will be no more debate, From 1992 until today, he and his cohorts have refused to debate global warming and when they are asked about we skeptics, they insult us and call us names.

So today we have the acceptance of carbon dioxide as the culprit of global warming. It is concluded that when we burn fossil fuels we are leaving a dastardly carbon footprint which we must pay Al Gore or the environmentalists to offset. Our governments on all levels are considering taxing the use of fossil fuels. The Federal Environmental Protection Agency is on the verge of naming CO2 as a pollutant and strictly regulating its use to protect our climate. The new President and the US congress are on board. Many state governments are moving on the same course.

We are already suffering from this CO2 silliness in many ways. Our energy policy has been strictly hobbled by no drilling and no new refineries for decades. We pay for the shortage this has created every time we buy gas. On top of that the whole thing about corn based ethanol costs us millions of tax dollars in subsidies. That also has driven up food prices. And, all of this is a long way from over.
And, I am totally convinced there is no scientific basis for any of it.

Global Warming. It is the hoax. It is bad science. It is a high jacking of public policy. It is no joke. It is the greatest scam in history.

John Coleman
1-28-2009

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=f80a6386-802a-23ad-40c8-3c63dc2d02cb

As of December 20, 2007, over 400 prominent scientists--not a minority of those scientists who have published their views on global warming--from more than two dozen countries have voiced significant objections to major aspects of the alleged UN IPCC "consensus" on man-made global warming.

Quote:

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport#report

234
Dr. Anthony Lupo, Professor of Atmospheric Science, University of Missouri-Columbia, wrote in a May 18, 2007 email to EPW, "I don't believe that the climate change issue is an emergency, or that there is compelling evidence to blame humanity for the current warming. Warming is undoubtedly occurring, but it may have nothing (0%), or a little (0-10%) to do with human activity." Lupo continued, "There is abundant scientific evidence demonstrating that the climate changes cyclically on time-scales ranging from a few years, to hundreds of thousands of years. There is plenty of evidence to suggest that the climate is not ‘stagnant' either. The climate has been relatively cool for the last few hundred years and has warmed to levels which are at or below an inferred maximum approximately 1000 years ago." "There are too many unknowns (e.g., the nature of solar and internal variability). There are too many things we don't understand about the current climate (e.g., the carbon cycle, atms - ocean interactions)," he added. Lupo has also critiqued Gore's movie. "[Gore's] whole tone of this was, ‘We've got to make radical changes in our lifestyle, and we have to make them now, and that's because the science on the issue is settled,'" Lupo said in a July 13, 2006 article in the Columbia Tribune. "Well that's not entirely the case. The science, for one thing, is not settled." Lupo disputes the reason for warming temperatures and says recent temperatures are within natural variability. "One thing I can agree with Gore on is the world is getting warmer," he said. "One thing I can't agree on is the cause."



0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Mar, 2009 12:51 pm
This was in my email this morning. I didn't take time to hunt up the link but can do so if anybody requests that. I think it should be required reading for this debate:

Quote:
MARCH 4, 2009, 11:18 P.M. ET
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123621221496034823.html#printMode

Let's Get Real About Renewable Energy
We can double the output of solar and wind, and double it again. We'll still depend on hydrocarbons.
By ROBERT BRYCE

During his address to Congress last week, President Barack Obama declared, "We will double this nation's supply of renewable energy in the next three years."

While that statement -- along with his pledge to impose a "cap on carbon pollution" -- drew applause, let's slow down for a moment and get realistic about this country's energy future. Consider two factors that are too-often overlooked: George W. Bush's record on renewables, and the problem of scale.

By promising to double our supply of renewables, Mr. Obama is only trying to keep pace with his predecessor. Yes, that's right: From 2005 to 2007, the former Texas oil man oversaw a near-doubling of the electrical output from solar and wind power. And between 2007 and 2008, output from those sources grew by another 30%.

Mr. Bush's record aside, the key problem facing Mr. Obama, and anyone else advocating a rapid transition away from the hydrocarbons that have dominated the world's energy mix since the dawn of the Industrial Age, is the same issue that dogs every alternative energy idea: scale.

Let's start by deciphering exactly what Mr. Obama includes in his definition of "renewable" energy. If he's including hydropower, which now provides about 2.4% of America's total primary energy needs, then the president clearly has no concept of what he is promising. Hydro now provides more than 16 times as much energy as wind and solar power combined. Yet more dams are being dismantled than built. Since 1999, more than 200 dams in the U.S. have been removed.

If Mr. Obama is only counting wind power and solar power as renewables, then his promise is clearly doable. But the unfortunate truth is that even if he matches Mr. Bush's effort by doubling wind and solar output by 2012, the contribution of those two sources to America's overall energy needs will still be almost inconsequential.

Here's why. The latest data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration show that total solar and wind output for 2008 will likely be about 45,493,000 megawatt-hours. That sounds significant until you consider this number: 4,118,198,000 megawatt-hours. That's the total amount of electricity generated during the rolling 12-month period that ended last November. Solar and wind, in other words, produce about 1.1% of America's total electricity consumption.

Of course, you might respond that renewables need to start somewhere. True enough -- and to be clear, I'm not opposed to renewables. I have solar panels on the roof of my house here in Texas that generate 3,200 watts. And those panels (which were heavily subsidized by Austin Energy, the city-owned utility) provide about one-third of the electricity my family of five consumes. Better still, solar panel producers like First Solar Inc. are lowering the cost of solar cells. On the day of Mr. Obama's speech, the company announced that it is now producing solar cells for $0.98 per watt, thereby breaking the important $1-per-watt price barrier.

And yet, while price reductions are important, the wind is intermittent, and so are sunny days. That means they cannot provide the baseload power, i.e., the amount of electricity required to meet minimum demand, that Americans want.

That issue aside, the scale problem persists. For the sake of convenience, let's convert the energy produced by U.S. wind and solar installations into oil equivalents.

The conversion of electricity into oil terms is straightforward: one barrel of oil contains the energy equivalent of 1.64 megawatt-hours of electricity. Thus, 45,493,000 megawatt-hours divided by 1.64 megawatt-hours per barrel of oil equals 27.7 million barrels of oil equivalent from solar and wind for all of 2008.

Now divide that 27.7 million barrels by 365 days and you find that solar and wind sources are providing the equivalent of 76,000 barrels of oil per day. America's total primary energy use is about 47.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Of that 47.4 million barrels of oil equivalent, oil itself has the biggest share -- we consume about 19 million barrels per day. Natural gas is the second-biggest contributor, supplying the equivalent of 11.9 million barrels of oil, while coal provides the equivalent of 11.5 million barrels of oil per day. The balance comes from nuclear power (about 3.8 million barrels per day), and hydropower (about 1.1 million barrels), with smaller contributions coming from wind, solar, geothermal, wood waste, and other sources.

Here's another way to consider the 76,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day that come from solar and wind: It's approximately equal to the raw energy output of one average-sized coal mine.

During his address to Congress, Mr. Obama did not mention coal -- the fuel that provides nearly a quarter of total primary energy and about half of America's electricity -- except to say that the U.S. should develop "clean coal." He didn't mention nuclear power, only "nuclear proliferation," even though nuclear power is likely the best long-term solution to policy makers' desire to cut U.S. carbon emissions. He didn't mention natural gas, even though it provides about 25% of America's total primary energy needs. Furthermore, the U.S. has huge quantities of gas, and it's the only fuel source that can provide the stand-by generation capacity needed for wind and solar installations. Finally, he didn't mention oil, the backbone fuel of the world transportation sector, except to say that the U.S. imports too much of it.

Perhaps the president's omissions are understandable. America has an intense love-hate relationship with hydrocarbons in general, and with coal and oil in particular. And with increasing political pressure to cut carbon-dioxide emissions, that love-hate relationship has only gotten more complicated.

But the problem of scale means that these hydrocarbons just won't go away. Sure, Mr. Obama can double the output from solar and wind. And then double it again. And again. And again. But getting from 76,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day to something close to the 47.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day needed to keep the U.S. economy running is going to take a long, long time. It would be refreshing if the president or perhaps a few of the Democrats on Capitol Hill would admit that fact.

Mr. Bryce is the managing editor of Energy Tribune. His latest book is "Gusher of Lies: The Dangerous Delusions of 'Energy Independence'"(Public Affairs, 2008).


 

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