spendius wrote:ican-
Quote:The 300 million people of the US consume 7.7 billion barrels of oil per year.
So, let's say there's 6 billion taking your advice. If they all consumed at your rate it would come to 154,000,000,000 barrels per year.
Are you still betting on 3000 AD? That would come to 1,540,000,000,000,000 barrels. I think. Assuming no disturbances to the trends.
Aha! "Assuming no disturbances to the trends."
Well now, I think you may have grasped it!
Over the next 1000 - 8 = 992 years, there are potentially many probable what you call "disturbances to the trend." Not the least is the likelihood that practical alternate energy sources will be developed to supplement oil. Also, what some predict for this the nth time to be the world's shortage of oil reserves, are again unlikely to be the actual oil reserves of what is yet to be discovered. Furthermore, we are likely to experience significant reduction in energy consumption per individual due to far more efficient technology to help feed, transport, warm, and cool us.
Of course, if over the next 992 years we decide instead to minimize our differences by murdering each other in horrific quantities, energy shortages would then be the least of our problems.