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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 08:54 am
blatham wrote:
gunga, omsig, cjhsa and other gun and hunting fellas consider voting democrat and the moon turns red and lions lie with lambs
Quote:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/11/us/11hunting.html


I live in MO and have for 24 years. I can vouch for this. We used to have our first snow by halloween. Instead we now have warmer weather and when we get winter weather it's more extreme. Last year's ice storm came after a long period of warmer weather and power was knocked out in parts of Springfield for months.

Just in case you missed it Months

Just in case anyone is temped to pull a Rush Lindbaugh and claim that an ice storm is proof against GW, they don't know their facts. Global warming is more or less the popular term for climate change. MO actually has it easy in comparasson to many parts of Africa in terms of climate change.

The climate change in MO has been very extreme.
K
O
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 10:05 am
ican711nm wrote:

You still haven't gotten this straight, because you continue to discuss the individual parts of the whole cycle as if they were independent!

I'll try one more time to communicate with you on this topic.

First, my definition of surface water:
surface water = ocean water (e.g., sea water) and non-ocean water (e.g., lake water) on the surface of the earth.

It is a fact that the CO2 ppm (i.e., parts per million) in surface water is not uniform over the surface of the earth. Generally the CO2 ppm in ocean water is greater than the CO2 ppm in non-ocean water.

If rain washes so much CO2 out of the atmosphere I would think the opposite should be true, don't you?
Quote:

Also, the CO2 ppm is not uniform throughout the earth's oceans. Also, the CO2 ppm is not uniform throughout the earth's non-ocean water.
Yes, that is true and it tends to put a crimp in your argument when you claim the cooling in a region can prevent GLOBAL warming. This was pointed out to you quite some time ago.
Quote:

When water evaporates from surface water it forms a water vapor mix of H2O, CO2, and other molecules that were originally contained in the surface water. The warmer is a region of surface water, the greater the rate of that evaporation, and therefore the greater is the rate of CO2 ppm increase in the atmosphere over that region of the surface.
Here you start to have problems. The warmer a region is the greater the evaporation rate but the warmer a region is the LESS CO2 the water can hold. The more water vapor in the air the lower the CO2 partial pressure is. In hotter air with higher water saturation, the CO2 partial pressure is reduced.

SO now we start to see the problems with your claim.
Hotter air is less dense.
Water saturated air is less dense.
Warm water holds less CO2
Air at the height that rain clouds form is less dense
Water takes on CO2 based on Henry's law which says lower partial pressure of CO2 means water has less CO2.

Quote:

Atmospheric winds subsequently spread these vapor mixtures throughout the many regions of the atmosphere. When sufficient relatively cold air blows through a region, the water vapor in that region condenses into clouds and/or rain. When water vapor condenses into rain, H2O and CO2 molecules mixed in that vapor enters surface water.
I guess if you ignore Henry's law. Lets assume water is evaporated at the surface at 80 degrees F (75% humidity, 29.92 inches Hg) and then rises to 5000 feet and forms clouds at 60F. (100% humidity, calculates to 24.9 inches Hg) This would mean according to Henry's law that the water at the surface would hold more CO2 since it has a higher partial pressure. The water droplets in a cloud would quickly reach their CO2 saturation point since there is a lot of surface area relative to the amount of water. What this would mean is that the water would evaporate and Henry's law would move more CO2 into the atmosphere to keep the surface water at saturation. The water would condense in the upper atmosphere but not capture as much CO2 as was released because of Henry's law. The rain would come down and then because of Henry's law the surface water would absorb the CO2 to reach saturation again.


Quote:

So on the one hand, earth warming causes more CO2 to be in the atmosphere. On the other hand, earth warming causes more CO2 to be precipitated out of the atmosphere by rains, because there is more CO2 in the atmosphere. Net, if when the earth warms, there is more CO2 in the atmosphere and less CO2 in surface water than when the earth cools.
Only if you completely ignore Henry's law. More CO2 in the atmosphere STILL requires that Henry's law be followed.
Quote:

If no additional CO2 were to be inserted into the atmosphere, almost all of it currently in the atmosphere would eventually mix with water vapor and precipitate into surface water.


Bull ****. Henry's law is one of diminishing returns. As you reduce the amount of CO2 then Henry's law says that water will hold less and less CO2. But you completely ignore the fact that precipitation becomes surface water and the water MUST be evaporated to return to the atmosphere. And you just said I only discuss individual part and ignore the whole cycle.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 10:19 am
http://www.catostore.org/images/products/satanic-gases_130.gif

by
Patrick J Michaels PhD
Research Professor and AASC-designated State Climatologist at the University of Virginia; Ph.D., University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1979

Robert C. Balling Jr. PhD
former director of the Office of Climatology and is a professor of geography at Arizona State University. He received his Ph.D. in geography from the University of Oklahoma in 1979.
(Yes professor Balling in on the Sourcewatch hit list and has done research for both oil and coal companies.)
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 10:24 am
http://www.able2know.org/forums/viewtopic.php?t=108387
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 10:29 am
The charts on recent versus long term urbanization are interesting. However, I'm not so sure why he would make a distinction. The issue is about human factors into the climate change, and so making such a distinction seesm only to serve an agenda, being that he tells us to disregaurd the plot of C (recent urbanization) in terms of warming.

Honestly, it seems the data still poinnts to human factors.

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 10:42 am
Foxfyre wrote:
For instance, some of us here noticed a wide diversity of temperatures among the stations reporting on the local weatherunderground site. As the relatively short distances between sone stations made broad temperature flucuations implausible, one of our local radio station guys set out to check it out. He found recording instruments placed in the sun, placed in almost fully enclosed areas, placed near air conditioning compressors, placed near clothes dryer vents. This of course would distort the true readings.

The discussion then moved to the fact that the United States has the most temperature reporting stations than anywhere else in the world, and at least one of the longest uninterrupted history of temperature recordings.


The German Meteorological Service has 2400 weather stations, 173 of those are full time meteorological stations (100 of them manned).

A private organisation has nearly 1,500 stations, but less manned.

All these 'official stations' are situted according to ISO (whatever number) = NOT placed in the sun, placed in almost fully enclosed areas, placed near air conditioning compressors, placed near clothes dryer vents etc.

All data are shown and noted in 2 m height, shadow ...

I think that such is done internationally in the very same way. (When our boat acted as a weather reserve ship and I had to get all the various data, we had a thick rule book how to do such.)
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 11:08 am
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?

Golly! Who'd have predicted what a simple check might find? I mean, it isn't as if this happens every time or something.

Foxfyre wrote:
http://www.catostore.org/images/products/satanic-gases_130.gif

by
Patrick J Michaels PhD
Research Professor and AASC-designated State Climatologist at the University of Virginia; Ph.D., University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1979

Robert C. Balling Jr. PhD
former director of the Office of Climatology and is a professor of geography at Arizona State University. He received his Ph.D. in geography from the University of Oklahoma in 1979.
(Yes professor Balling in on the Sourcewatch hit list and has done research for both oil and coal companies.)


Quote:
FACTSHEET: Robert C. Balling Jr.
DETAILS
Director, Office of Climatology and Associate professor of Geography, Arizona State University
NCPPR scientific expert on global warming. (1996)

Dr. Balling wrote the "Heated Debate," published by the Pacific Research Institute and "True State of the Planet," published by CEI. He co-wrote "The Satanic Gases" with Patrick J. Michaels, published by the Cato Institute. Balling signed the Leipzig Declaration in 1995.

According to Harper's, Balling has recieved more than $200,000 from coal and oil interests over the past six years. Specific incidences include significant levels of funding since 1989 from the Kuwaiti government, foreign coal and mining corporations and Cyprus Minerals Company (totalling $72,554). (Kuwait has opposed the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). The Kuwaiti government paid for a release of Balling's "A Heated Debate" in the Middle East, a project originally funded by the Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy. The Kuwait Foundation for the Advancement of Science granted Balling $48,993 and the Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research granted him an undisclosed amount. British Coal Corporation gave him a total of $103,544 and the German Coal Mining Association gave him $81,780 in two separate grants. (Ozone Action, NCPPR directory)
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=5

Quote:
Balling has acknowledged that he had received $408,000 in research funding from the fossil fuel industry over the last decade (of which his University takes 50% for overhead). Contributors include ExxonMobil, the British Coal Corporation, Cyprus Minerals and OPEC. [1]

His views have led to his enthusiastic adoption by various members of the free-market Atlas Economic Research Foundation network. He writes regularly for the Cato Institute, Tech Central Station and the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

His writings find him regularly in the company of other prominent climate change sceptics, including Sallie L. Baliunas, and S. Fred Singer of the Science and Environmental Policy Project.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Robert_C._Balling

Quote:
Writing in Harpers Magazine in 1995, author Ross Gelbspan noted that "Michaels has received more than $115,000 over the last four years from coal and energy interests. World Climate Review, a quarterly he founded that routinely debunks climate concerns, was funded by Western Fuels."[3]
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Patrick_J._Michaels

Quote:
Michaels is the Chief Editor for the "World Climate Review," a newsletter on global warming funded by the Western Fuels Association. Dr. Michaels has acknowledged that 20% of his funding comes from fossil fuel sources: (http://www.mtn.org/~nescncl/complaints/determinations/det_118.html) Known funding includes $49,000 from German Coal Mining Association, $15,000 from Edison Electric Institute and $40,000 from Cyprus Minerals Company, an early supporter of People for the West, a "wise use" group. He received $63,000 for research on global climate change from Western Fuels Association, above and beyond the undisclosed amount he is paid for the World Climate Report/Review. According to Harper's magazine, Michaels has recieved over $115,000 over the past four years from coal and oil interests. Michaels wrote "Sound and Fury" and "The Satanic Gases" which were published by Cato Institute. Dr. Michaels signed the 1995 Leipzig Declaration. In July of 2006, it was revealed that the Intermountain Rural Electric Association "contributed $100,000 to Dr. Michaels." (http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/GlobalWarming/story?id=2242565&page=1) ALEC advisor. http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=11310 and http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=3558
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=4
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 11:11 am
Diest TKO wrote:
The charts on recent versus long term urbanization are interesting. However, I'm not so sure why he would make a distinction. The issue is about human factors into the climate change, and so making such a distinction seesm only to serve an agenda, being that he tells us to disregaurd the plot of C (recent urbanization) in terms of warming.

Honestly, it seems the data still poinnts to human factors.

T
K
O


The distinction is, of course, that urbanization absolutely changes the dynamics of average temperature in any area. It will always be at least a degree or two, or maybe a lot cooler in the middle of an alfalfa field than it will be in the middle of a large paved parking lot on any summer day. A plowed field will be warmer than one covered in native grasses and wild flowers.

If no allowance is made for the changing land mass use, could it be possible that humans are not significantly affecting the climate, but rather urbanization is changing the immediate average temperature where the measuring equipment is located?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 11:17 am
blatham wrote:
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?


Yes, as I referenced in my post along with observations that some prefer to play 'gotcha' and/or discredit those with whom they disagree rather than consider the information offered.
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 11:17 am
Urbanization is sure ruining hunting opportunities. First the idiots build subdivisions the middle of prime hunting areas, then they are all afraid of guns and love the little bambis like pets. Retarded.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 11:27 am
cjhsa wrote:
Urbanization is sure ruining hunting opportunities. First the idiots build subdivisions the middle of prime hunting areas, then they are all afraid of guns and love the little bambis like pets. Retarded.


Well while I am a dedicated 'bambi lover' and couldn't shoot one unless there was a desperate need for food, those subdivisions taking up more and more open space, including hunting areas, almost certainly significantly change the immediate environment of the area. A temperature measuring station in the middle of it may have been recording temperatures for decades but would indicate much different conditions after urbanization than it recorded prior to it.

If that is not taken into account when the overall big picture is analyzed, how much distortion do you think we might get?

From another stance, would a measurement taken in the middle of a Columbian rain forest that had not been populated for centuries indicate a substantial increase in mean temperatures?

Also, hopefully your new thread will generate some interest. I hope you don't mind if I steal the link to the article supporting it and post it here:
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=c9554887-802a-23ad-4303-68f67ebd151c

There are some who won't like this source either, but the information in the article belongs here.
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 01:14 pm
How fast could GW be proved to be coming down upon us if the temperature recordings were taken within 3 m of Al Gore after a good lunch.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 01:33 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Diest TKO wrote:
The charts on recent versus long term urbanization are interesting. However, I'm not so sure why he would make a distinction. The issue is about human factors into the climate change, and so making such a distinction seesm only to serve an agenda, being that he tells us to disregaurd the plot of C (recent urbanization) in terms of warming.

Honestly, it seems the data still poinnts to human factors.

T
K
O


The distinction is, of course, that urbanization absolutely changes the dynamics of average temperature in any area. It will always be at least a degree or two, or maybe a lot cooler in the middle of an alfalfa field than it will be in the middle of a large paved parking lot on any summer day. A plowed field will be warmer than one covered in native grasses and wild flowers.

If no allowance is made for the changing land mass use, could it be possible that humans are not significantly affecting the climate, but rather urbanization is changing the immediate average temperature where the measuring equipment is located?


One class in Heat transfer will tell you that no amount of heat is eve3r localized.

Think about where most of our cities are located. Think about how many there are. Think about the forrested areas that are being cut down and where they are.

Even if the human factors contributing to climate change aren't uniform, they are present and very abundant. Remember it's not just the amount of CO2 being put out, but also human deforrestation and the pollution of the world's water that helps manage the CO2 increase.

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 01:48 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?


Yes, as I referenced in my post along with observations that some prefer to play 'gotcha' and/or discredit those with whom they disagree rather than consider the information offered.


Well, as your president could have told you (given, of course, that he had the slightest shred of honesty or integrity about him) a pre-emptive strategy easily fails when what you are shoving out into the world is a lousy product.

I'm happy to have you back on a2k, but there's no reason I'll sit aside politely where you forward industry-funded propaganda.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:08 pm
Diest TKO wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Diest TKO wrote:
The charts on recent versus long term urbanization are interesting. However, I'm not so sure why he would make a distinction. The issue is about human factors into the climate change, and so making such a distinction seesm only to serve an agenda, being that he tells us to disregaurd the plot of C (recent urbanization) in terms of warming.

Honestly, it seems the data still poinnts to human factors.

T
K
O


The distinction is, of course, that urbanization absolutely changes the dynamics of average temperature in any area. It will always be at least a degree or two, or maybe a lot cooler in the middle of an alfalfa field than it will be in the middle of a large paved parking lot on any summer day. A plowed field will be warmer than one covered in native grasses and wild flowers.

If no allowance is made for the changing land mass use, could it be possible that humans are not significantly affecting the climate, but rather urbanization is changing the immediate average temperature where the measuring equipment is located?


One class in Heat transfer will tell you that no amount of heat is eve3r localized.

Think about where most of our cities are located. Think about how many there are. Think about the forrested areas that are being cut down and where they are.

Even if the human factors contributing to climate change aren't uniform, they are present and very abundant. Remember it's not just the amount of CO2 being put out, but also human deforrestation and the pollution of the world's water that helps manage the CO2 increase.

T
K
O


Exactly. So if that thermometer in the middle of the Columbian jungle isn't showing any appreciable or unexplainable increase in mean temperatures as compared to say 50 or 100 years ago, then would an increase in mean temperatures indicated by hundreds of devices located near those dryer vents or near paved parking lots or newly plowed ground or deforested hillsides or within subdivisions, all of which were once open countryside, be reliable as a guage for overall global warming?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:11 pm
blatham wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?


Yes, as I referenced in my post along with observations that some prefer to play 'gotcha' and/or discredit those with whom they disagree rather than consider the information offered.


Well, as your president could have told you (given, of course, that he had the slightest shred of honesty or integrity about him) a pre-emptive strategy easily fails when what you are shoving out into the world is a lousy product.

I'm happy to have you back on a2k, but there's no reason I'll sit aside politely where you forward industry-funded propaganda.


So, after I already indicated the source and the bias of which they are accused, you felt it necessary to post a half page of defamatory material from more biased sources that those that are being rebutted? Very Happy

Anyhow, thanks for the oh so warm welcome.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:33 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Diest TKO wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Diest TKO wrote:
The charts on recent versus long term urbanization are interesting. However, I'm not so sure why he would make a distinction. The issue is about human factors into the climate change, and so making such a distinction seesm only to serve an agenda, being that he tells us to disregaurd the plot of C (recent urbanization) in terms of warming.

Honestly, it seems the data still poinnts to human factors.

T
K
O


The distinction is, of course, that urbanization absolutely changes the dynamics of average temperature in any area. It will always be at least a degree or two, or maybe a lot cooler in the middle of an alfalfa field than it will be in the middle of a large paved parking lot on any summer day. A plowed field will be warmer than one covered in native grasses and wild flowers.

If no allowance is made for the changing land mass use, could it be possible that humans are not significantly affecting the climate, but rather urbanization is changing the immediate average temperature where the measuring equipment is located?


One class in Heat transfer will tell you that no amount of heat is eve3r localized.

Think about where most of our cities are located. Think about how many there are. Think about the forrested areas that are being cut down and where they are.

Even if the human factors contributing to climate change aren't uniform, they are present and very abundant. Remember it's not just the amount of CO2 being put out, but also human deforrestation and the pollution of the world's water that helps manage the CO2 increase.

T
K
O


Exactly. So if that thermometer in the middle of the Columbian jungle isn't showing any appreciable or unexplainable increase in mean temperatures as compared to say 50 or 100 years ago, then would an increase in mean temperatures indicated by hundreds of devices located near those dryer vents or near paved parking lots or newly plowed ground or deforested hillsides or within subdivisions, all of which were once open countryside, be reliable as a guage for overall global warming?

Which columbian jungle? The one just cut down, or the one slated to be cut down? Cool

Further, I'd rather see the temperature variation in a forrest in say Canada or Yellowstone National Park, one outside of the tropics. Small variation in temp near the equator translate to large temp variation near the further away you get from the equator.

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:37 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?


Yes, as I referenced in my post along with observations that some prefer to play 'gotcha' and/or discredit those with whom they disagree rather than consider the information offered.


Well, as your president could have told you (given, of course, that he had the slightest shred of honesty or integrity about him) a pre-emptive strategy easily fails when what you are shoving out into the world is a lousy product.

I'm happy to have you back on a2k, but there's no reason I'll sit aside politely where you forward industry-funded propaganda.


So, after I already indicated the source and the bias of which they are accused, you felt it necessary to post a half page of defamatory material from more biased sources that those that are being rebutted? Very Happy

Anyhow, thanks for the oh so warm welcome.

Unless you can refutte the facts about the authors of your source, your complaint really doesn't mean much. Also, since when is sourcewatch a biased source?

T
K
O
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:54 pm
Diest TKO wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
blatham wrote:
Hmmmm...so who are these guys? Are they perhaps funded by oil/energy industries? Maybe associated with, say, Cato?


Yes, as I referenced in my post along with observations that some prefer to play 'gotcha' and/or discredit those with whom they disagree rather than consider the information offered.


Well, as your president could have told you (given, of course, that he had the slightest shred of honesty or integrity about him) a pre-emptive strategy easily fails when what you are shoving out into the world is a lousy product.

I'm happy to have you back on a2k, but there's no reason I'll sit aside politely where you forward industry-funded propaganda.


So, after I already indicated the source and the bias of which they are accused, you felt it necessary to post a half page of defamatory material from more biased sources that those that are being rebutted? Very Happy

Anyhow, thanks for the oh so warm welcome.

Unless you can refutte the facts about the authors of your source, your complaint really doesn't mean much. Also, since when is sourcewatch a biased source?

T
K
O


Give me some facts to refute, and I'll try. I didn't present any 'facts' from my sources. I used the source as an illustration for the point I was making. I am pretty darn sure both Professor Balling and Professor Michaels are far more qualified to discuss the topic than those who attempt to impune them.

If I limited my sources to those acceptable to Blatham, I would be pretty much limited to Salon.org, Mediamatters, Chomsky, and Air America.

Nothing is wrong with Sourcewatch for what it is, unless you count their dishonesty in how they present their information and the fact that, to the best of my knowledge, they've never had an unkind word to say about any leftist or leftist organization or anything good to report about anything or anybody right of center. They are an arm of Center for Media & Democracy that is described HERE
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Dec, 2007 02:57 pm
And, sigh, I apologize again to the others for allowing detractors to pull me off topic. I'll try very hard to be good.
0 Replies
 
 

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