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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:31 am
This continual hammering on "proof" doest not go along with scientific thought or methodology.

Most peer-reviewed articles, including those in more general publications such as Science are no longer available to the general public, either online or in hard copy, unless you pay fairly sizable amounts of money for the privilege.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:35 am
sumac wrote:
This continual hammering on "proof" doest not go along with scientific thought or methodology.

Most peer-reviewed articles, including those in more general publications such as Science are no longer available to the general public, either online or in hard copy, unless you pay fairly sizable amounts of money for the privilege.

There's always public libraries ...
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:41 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Evidence that the earth is warming is overwhelming. The body of expert opinion is that it is anthropogenic. Its an uncomfortable message, so lets ignore it.


Has anybody on either side said 'let's ignore it?' Can you provide a quote to that effect?
Continued disputation of the conclusions by non-expert opinion amounts to the same thing.


Does it? Or maybe those on your side who refuse to even consider opposing points of view are 'ignoring it'?
I'm not on any particular side. I'm no expert, I can only listen to experts. I wish more people would.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:48 am
sumac wrote:
This continual hammering on "proof" doest not go along with scientific thought or methodology.

Most peer-reviewed articles, including those in more general publications such as Science are no longer available to the general public, either online or in hard copy, unless you pay fairly sizable amounts of money for the privilege.


"Peer review" by a gynecologist or physicist or civil engineer or Doctor of Chemistry of a paleontological climate model is not particularly convincing to me and much of the 'peer review' cited includes professions like these. Peer review by trained climatologists that find flaws with the data is convincing to me that it all warrants further study before 'probable' should be a part of the consensus.

I keep an open mind. I recommend that to everybody.
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:54 am
Our governments are a huge failure too! Wonder how much oil we could save by just reducing the speed from 70-75 to 55?
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:57 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Peer review by trained climatologists that find flaws with the data is convincing to me ... .


But aren't "trained climatologists" those persons, you'd called "environmental wackos" earlier?
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Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 10:58 am
Foxfyre wrote:
"Peer review" by a gynecologist or physicist or civil engineer or Doctor of Chemistry of a paleontological climate model is not particularly convincing to me and much of the 'peer review' cited includes professions like these.

Please tell me, Foxfyre, which journal has gynecologists and civil engineers peer-review paleontological climate models. (Physicists and chemists are a different case. The greenhouse effect is closest to the field of spectroscopy, and the people working in spectroscopy are mostly chemists and physicists. At my university, for example, the climatology students attended the same courses as the physicists during their first three semesters. That's how close the fields are.)
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:18 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Peer review by trained climatologists that find flaws with the data is convincing to me ... .


But aren't "trained climatologists" those persons, you'd called "environmental wackos" earlier?


Nope. The 'environmental wackos' are those who make up their own criteria to spout as fact and who ignore the trained climatologists.
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okie
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:22 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Vast chunks of rock threatens to fall from Eiger as global warming opens up crack:

http://i6.tinypic.com/1zcetd1.jpg

Quote:
Crowds gather to see chunk fall off Eiger


I checked into this thread after a day, and Walter, you win the prize for one of the most humorous posts. Now that was great. Not much in the way of deep scientific revelation or pertinence to global warming, but humorous yes.

Just wondering Walter, have many of these Swiss ever visited the Grand Canyon?

After reviewing the last 2 or 3 pages, another post caught my eye, Parados asks:
Quote:
And what data do you have that global warming is not occurring? There is no scientific data that presently disputes it.


In order to get the right answers, you need to ask the right questions. Better questions would be:
Are there any conclusive data to indicate the current climatic cycles are not consistent with climatic cycles that have always occurred? Is the apparent warming, or some of the apparent warming, being recorded in recent years at various places around the globe possibly due to changes in surface use rather than actual climatic changes? Do solar cycles affect climate, and are they occurring? Given global warming is occurring, is there much evidence of catastrophic conditions ahead? Given the possibility that CO2 is causing global warming, is it realistic to expect to change the levels of CO2 in the near future?

I could think of lots more pertinent questions.

Parados asserts there is no scientific data that disputes global warming. What about no changes in temperature in upper levels of the atmosphere, as recorded by satellites? That is being ignored at present, but if there are any significant changes looming there, you could bet we will hear about it. How come we don't hear about it now? Answer: it does not fit the conclusion, so we ignore the evidence.
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Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:29 am
Thomas wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
"Peer review" by a gynecologist or physicist or civil engineer or Doctor of Chemistry of a paleontological climate model is not particularly convincing to me and much of the 'peer review' cited includes professions like these.

Please tell me, Foxfyre, which journal has gynecologists and civil engineers peer-review paleontological climate models. (Physicists and chemists are a different case. The greenhouse effect is closest to the field of spectroscopy, and the people working in spectroscopy are mostly chemists and physicists. At my university, for example, the climatology students attended the same courses as the physicists during their first three semesters. That's how close the fields are.)


On that long list of 2000 or 20000 or whatever number it is of 'scientists' who have 'peer reviewed' the data, you will find numerous professions that I think even you would find dubious as credible peer review.

I in no way discount the various disciplines that would have some knowledge of climate effects on the Earth over long periods--we're talking many thousands and millions of years here. But among my friends are a PhD chemist, a PhD geologist, and a PhD physicist plus a mathematics teacher and a very capable statistician who aren't buying the 'absolute' anthropogenic theories any more than I am, not that I have any credentials other than a deep interest in this. Nor are these people discounting the anthropogenic theories. They have an open mind.

I have looked at a lot of stuff from expert climatologists, however, that do question much of the data that some wish to consider to be gospel based on the sheer numbers who have 'peer reviewed' it. You no doubt agree that it is a logical fallacy to assume that the number of people who believe a thing is proof that the thing is true.

I try to keep an open mind. I recommend that.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:32 am
Foxfyre wrote:
I keep an open mind. I recommend that to everybody.
But not so open that your brains fall out. And not kept open as a feint to avoid making a painful decision.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:47 am
okie wrote:
...Just wondering Walter, have many of these Swiss ever visited the Grand Canyon?...

...Answer: it does not fit the conclusion, so we ignore the evidence.


Clearly the concentration level of CO2 in the atmosphere is inversely proportional to the numbers of Swiss tourists at the Grand Canyon.

You have it completely the wrong way around Okie. You dont like the conclusion and so you try to pick holes in the evidence, which you are not qualified to do. Do you think climatologists have come to the conclusions they have just for fun?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:48 am
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I keep an open mind. I recommend that to everybody.
But not so open that your brains fall out. And not kept open as a feint to avoid making a painful decision.


But open enough to not be a sheep swallowing the poltically correct line that is fed to me. Open enough to not agree to policy based on faulty science or being manipulated by those who have less interest in the science than they do in using it to coerce others for political purposes. Open enough not to see the hypocrisy where it exists and the unworkable solutions that are proposed and/or policies implemented. And open enough to sort out the good science from the bad science and to recognize real issues and problems and be willing to work toward real solutions as necessary to deal with them.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 11:54 am
Foxfyre wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I keep an open mind. I recommend that to everybody.
But not so open that your brains fall out. And not kept open as a feint to avoid making a painful decision.


But open enough to not be a sheep swallowing the poltically correct line that is fed to me. Open enough to not agree to policy based on faulty science or being manipulated by those who have less interest in the science than they do in using it to coerce others for political purposes. Open enough not to see the hypocrisy where it exists and the unworkable solutions that are proposed and/or policies implemented. And open enough to sort out the good science from the bad science and to recognize real issues and problems and be willing to work toward real solutions as necessary to deal with them.
In that case you are truly wasting your prodigious abilities and time on a2k

and mine bye.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:01 pm
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I keep an open mind. I recommend that to everybody.
But not so open that your brains fall out. And not kept open as a feint to avoid making a painful decision.


But open enough to not be a sheep swallowing the poltically correct line that is fed to me. Open enough to not agree to policy based on faulty science or being manipulated by those who have less interest in the science than they do in using it to coerce others for political purposes. Open enough not to see the hypocrisy where it exists and the unworkable solutions that are proposed and/or policies implemented. And open enough to sort out the good science from the bad science and to recognize real issues and problems and be willing to work toward real solutions as necessary to deal with them.
In that case you are truly wasting your prodigious abilities and time on a2k

and mine bye.


Well I might be wasting my time in attempting civil discourse with those who don't have open minds, but those that do keep coming up with really good information that I very much appreciate having. So I'll stick around I think. But by all means, bye.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:40 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
[On that long list of 2000 or 20000 or whatever number it is of 'scientists' who have 'peer reviewed' the data, you will find numerous professions that I think even you would find dubious as credible peer review.

Which long list are you talking about? Perhaps someone posted it when I wasn't paying attention to this thread, but in any case I don't know which list you are referring to.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:42 pm
okie wrote:
I checked into this thread after a day, and Walter, you win the prize for one of the most humorous posts.


I'll give it to the Swiss Federal Geological Society, whose president made the comments and to the Geological faculty of Bern university.

okie wrote:
Just wondering Walter, have many of these Swiss ever visited the Grand Canyon?


You mean, the don't know that the climate there is the same as at the Eiger? Well, well, that really should be common knowledge ...
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Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:46 pm
Thomas wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
[On that long list of 2000 or 20000 or whatever number it is of 'scientists' who have 'peer reviewed' the data, you will find numerous professions that I think even you would find dubious as credible peer review.

Which long list are you talking about? Perhaps someone posted it when I wasn't paying attention to this thread, but in any case I don't know which list you are referring to.


Geez Thomas. I don't want to have to go back through hundreds of pages of posts here or on other boards to find it. Where are you getting YOUR list indicating peer review on this issue?
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:47 pm
http://i6.tinypic.com/1zd7l6x.jpg

Some thousand spectators waited today in vain, btw, just smaller pieces of rock came down.

Yes, you certainly have greater spectatcles than that, more often etc etc.

But European geologists think this to be unique. (BernharR will certainly now tell that they don't have any knowledge at all and ask at place their univerity is listed etc)
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sat 8 Jul, 2006 12:50 pm
okie wrote:

Parados asserts there is no scientific data that disputes global warming. What about no changes in temperature in upper levels of the atmosphere, as recorded by satellites? That is being ignored at present, but if there are any significant changes looming there, you could bet we will hear about it. How come we don't hear about it now? Answer: it does not fit the conclusion, so we ignore the evidence.

Would you care to present current satellite data that shows no warming in the upper atmosphere? All the current data I have seen shows warming in the upper atmosphere.
0 Replies
 
 

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