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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 12:37 pm
Quote:
.. the United States will have to greatly decrease its dependance on fossile fuels over the next inext 20 years.
True ash. Especially as there wont be enough to depend on.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:03 pm
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Quote:
.. the United States will have to greatly decrease its dependance on fossile fuels over the next inext 20 years.
True ash. Especially as there wont be enough to depend on.


Not true. The U.S. enough high quality coal (a fossil fuel) to provide its forecast electrical power needs for several centuries. We also have a huge quantity of recoverable petroleum in various shales found in the intermountain regions of the country. Canada has a variant of this in the Alberta oil sands which are in large scale production right now. Finally the U.S. also has large quantities of eminentkly recoverable petroleum in off shore and coastal deposits currently held out of production due to environmental and NIMBY (= not in my back yard) opposition.

Whether these sources are recovered or not is simply a matter of relative choice.
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:05 pm
As far as disposal of nuclear waste is concerned, if they can truly build a space elevator, we could send it to the moon. The problem with dumping it in space right now is getting it safely through the atmosphere and out of earth orbit. It's much to dangerous to load it on the shuttle, for example.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:32 pm
cjhsa wrote:
As far as disposal of nuclear waste is concerned, if they can truly build a space elevator, we could send it to the moon. The problem with dumping it in space right now is getting it safely through the atmosphere and out of earth orbit. It's much to dangerous to load it on the shuttle, for example.


Well at the time we develop technology to the point we'll want a base of operations on the moon, I'm not sure we'll want a radioactive moon either.

Do you physics types know whether nuclear matter reentering the atmosphere would burn up in the atmosphere or would it arrive back on Earth still dangerous?
0 Replies
 
Amigo
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:40 pm
I think it would be much safer to launch you guys into outerspace and make room for Bush and Bin ladden.

10, 9, 8, 7, 6,......
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:43 pm
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Quote:
.. the United States will have to greatly decrease its dependance on fossile fuels over the next inext 20 years.
True ash. Especially as there wont be enough to depend on.

Not true, though there was some very real concern that English football fans would drink Germany beerless.

http://www.able2know.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=78140&highlight=

I'm glad the Portuguese fixed this severe natural resource problem for us two hours ago.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:49 pm
Thomas wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Quote:
.. the United States will have to greatly decrease its dependance on fossile fuels over the next inext 20 years.
True ash. Especially as there wont be enough to depend on.

Not true, though there was some very real concern that English football fans would drink Germany beerless.

http://www.able2know.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=78140&highlight=

I'm glad the Portuguese fixed this severe natural resource problem for us two hours ago.


I am surprised there were enough English fans left to create the problem. If you believe the papers over here, they were all in jail. Smile
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 01:53 pm
Foxfyre wrote:

I am surprised there were enough English fans left to create the problem. If you believe the papers over here, they were all in jail. Smile


Until now, not one fan of any country had been jailed - a bit about 100 English were arrested and some hours later sent back ... home or to next stadium or public viewing.

As of yesterday, five English fans are in detention while awaiting trial [that's the figure for all Germany].


Well, and more than 80,000 fans from England have been - and still are - in Gelsenkirchen today.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 02:01 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Do you physics types know whether nuclear matter reentering the atmosphere would burn up in the atmosphere or would it arrive back on Earth still dangerous?

They would still be dangerous when they arrive back on Earth. Burning is a chemical reaction; chemical reactions happen in the electron hull of the atoms involved. By contrast, radioactive decay happens in the atom's nucleus, which is not involved in any chemical reaction. Therefore, any chemical reaction a material may undergo does not affect its radioactive decay.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 02:09 pm
Thomas wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Do you physics types know whether nuclear matter reentering the atmosphere would burn up in the atmosphere or would it arrive back on Earth still dangerous?

They would still be dangerous when they arrive back on Earth. Burning is a chemical reaction; chemical reactions happen in the electron hull of the atoms involved. By contrast, radioactive decay happens in the atom's nucleus, which is not involved in any chemical reaction. Therefore, any chemical reaction a material may undergo does not affect its radioactive decay.


Hmmm, okay. Thanks.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 05:33 pm
Thomas wrote:
Steve (as 41oo) wrote:
Quote:
.. the United States will have to greatly decrease its dependance on fossile fuels over the next inext 20 years.
True ash. Especially as there wont be enough to depend on.

Not true, though there was some very real concern that English football fans would drink Germany beerless.

http://www.able2know.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=78140&highlight=

I'm glad the Portuguese fixed this severe natural resource problem for us two hours ago.


Hated to see England lose Rooney. But now we get to watch Portugal play again and that ain't bad news.

Pity about Brazil as well. Yet we get more Zidane.

fun fun fun
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 10:17 pm
For the first time since I have been posting on these threads I must admit that I am disappointed and disillusioned. When I decided to post PROOF that the Global Warming theory so prized by the left wing was far from correct, I had some apprehensions. I knew that the most erudite and learned Mr. Blatham was also posting on these threads and that if he used his massive intellect and unsurpassed writing ability, he would easily show that I was wrong.

But, he has disillusioned me. The only conclusion that I can reach is that he is still smarting from the time I eviscerated one of his arguments totally leaving him agape.

I must beg his pardon and promise not to be too hard on him if he will only engage in attempting to meet the subject of this thread head on.

In an effort to help I will repost one of my many rebuttals to the theory of "Global Warming".
0 Replies
 
JustanObserver
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 10:27 pm
BernardR wrote:
But, he has disillusioned me. The only conclusion that I can reach is that he is still smarting from the time I eviscerated one of his arguments totally leaving him agape.

I must beg his pardon and promise not to be too hard on him if he will only engage in attempting to meet the subject of this thread head on.


Careful. You don't want to pull a muscle from jerking yourself off with such vigor.
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 10:34 pm
I must confess that I am stunned by the reason and logic applied by the l last poster. None the less I shall repost the material which I am sure that the learned and most erudite Mr. Blatham must have missed. I await, partly in fear and trepidation, his masterful rebuttal--


I will repost my evidence on part of the topic and will ask for rebuttals.

If the below cannot be shown to be in error, IT STANDS!!


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Let us begin--

NOTE: I HAVE ALREADY GIVEN EVIDENCE BUT I CAN REPOST EVIDENCE FROM SCHOLARLY ARTICLES AND THE IPCC ON ANY OF THE POINTS BELOW IF REQUESTED.


l. Some state that"Evidence from Proxies" show that the earth is warming.

This is incorrect. The Ipcc, in its own reports, said that it is debatable whether there is enough temperature proxy data to be representative of hemispheric, let alone global climate changes given the lack of large spatial scale coherence in the data

2. The last 400 years were mentioned, but the Medieval Warm Period seems to have been overlooked. That was the period in 700 to 900AD when Greenland and Iceland was so warm that the Vikings farmed it.
I do not believe there were any SUV's in Greenland at the time.

3. If you read Mr. Walter Hinteler's link(I DID) you will find that it says that the s u r f a c e temperatures were level from 1856 to 1910, then rose to 1945, then declined slightly to 1974, then rose to the present.

The question must be asked Why did the temperatures rise from 1910 to 1945? If CO2 is the cause, there was very little put into the air during that period. If CO2 is the cause, why was there not a larger rise beween 1945 to 1974 when industry began to boom all over the world???

4.And JUST HOW LARGE WAS THE TEMPERATURE RISE WORLD WIDE THIS LAST CENTURY?

O.6C six tenths of a degree centigrade SAYS MR. HINTLER'S LINK!!!

AND, DO NOT FORGET A MOST IMPORTANT POINT-

These were surface measurments.

5. Were they thorough surface measurements?

No, Not according to Mr. Hinteler's link which said:

QUOTE:

"The stations( those that measure temperature) are not spatially distributed to monitor all land areas with equal density. Unpopulated and undeveloped areas always tend to have poor coverage"


6. Mr.Hinterer's own link says that the stations do not monitor all land areas with equal density. Could there be a problem with S U R F A C E temperature monitoring?

Certainly-- according to the United States Climatological Network, New York City's average yearly temperature went up l degree Fahrenheit since 1930 while Albany,New York's temperature went down l degree F. since 1930.


Why? Scientists have named it the "Heat Island Effect"--Large cities generate so much of their own heat that they raise the temperature. The heat island effect is not caused by Co2.

7> Is there another way to measure Temperature changes?

Yes, a much better one. It is the measurement of temperatures from satellites which do not have the failings mentioned concerning surface measurement mentioned in No. 5 above by the IPCC themselves. IT IS VITAL TO UNDERSTAND THAT THE IPCC( THOSE WHO ARE PREDICTING GLOBAL WARMING) PREDICT THAT, ACCORDING TO THEIR COMPUTER MODELS, THE TEMPERATURE IN THE TROPOSPHERE SHOULD INCREASE AS FAST OR FASTER THAN THEIR SURFACE MEASUREMENTS.

AS A MATTER OF FACT THEY DO NOT!!!


I have provided 7 sections which show that the evidence provided in Mr. Walter Hinteler's link is not only weak but almost nonexistent.
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Sat 1 Jul, 2006 11:47 pm
I note that Mr. Foxfyre and Mr. Thomas both indicate that Nuclear Power is viable. I believe that also. The same type of hysteria generated by ALGORE with regard to the alleged global warming was generated by the mass media with regard to four mile island.

It is a fact that France generated over half of its electrical power from Nuclear Power Stations.

According to an article in US News & World Report May 21, 2001, headed
YOU ARE LEAVING A NUCLEAR FREE ZONE---QUOTE

"New, simpler and more cost efficient technology known as "pebble-bed" promises to revolutionize nuclear power generation and avoid the threat of catastrophe'...the first commercial pebble bed reactor will be( or is) built outside Cape Town...the new technology uses helium instead of water to cool the nuclear fuel, absorb heat and spin the turbines to generate power, Instead of bundled uranium fuel rods, the new design uses "pebbles" made up of thousands of uranium particles, each enclosed in a mis of ceramic materials, These coated particles are then encased in graphite spheres the size of billiard balls. the fuel balls theoretically wont melt even at the highest temperatures, precluding the possibility of a radiation leak or a runawy nuclear reaction."


I note that Mr.Foxfyre said that many of the huge windmills were not turning even when there was some wind. He most probably is aware that hypocrites like Ted Kennedy who complain about the alleged "Global warming" will not allow windmills to be put in around Nantucket because it would "Spoil the view"

The always asute and informative Mr. Asherman is convinced that Global warming is a threat. I wish to assure Mr. Asherman that:

l. Climate always changes-We are coming out of a little Ice Age

2. As recently as 1975, scientists were warning of another Ice Age

3.The computer simulations used by the IPCC to predict future warming are just that-COMPUTER SIMULATIONS.

4. The means utilized by the IPCC to measure past temperatures are, in the recent past, surface temperature measurements, and in the more distant past, Proxy measurements. The problem with surface temperature measurements, which,of course, are then used for computer simulations, is that they do not cover all of the earth's surface but that they ignore the satellite temperature measurements which do not agree with the findings of the surface measurements.

The findings above come from Scientific Journals and, more significantly, from the findings last published by the IPCC.


Nuclear Power; Solar Power; new fuel technology--certainly---but in a measured way so as not to destroy our economy......
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 2 Jul, 2006 12:47 am
http://i3.tinypic.com/16glbnb.jpg

Bjorn Lomborg, a professor at the Copenhagen Business School, is the author of The Skeptical Environment and organiser of the Copenhagen Consensus. His new book How To Spend $50 Billion to Make the World a Better Place, is published at Cambridge University Press on July 6.

Very interesting thoughts in my opinion.

He's published a Comment on today's Observer (page 25), the online version of that is the source for the article quoted below.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 2 Jul, 2006 12:48 am
Quote:
Climate change can wait. World health can't

With $50bn, we could make the planet a better place but money spent on global warming would be wasted


Bjorn Lomborg
Sunday July 2, 2006
The Observer


A city council has a £10m surplus, which it wants to allocate to a good cause. Ten groups clamour for the cash. One wants to buy new computers for an inner-city school. Another hopes to beautify a park. Each puts a persuasive case for the benefits they could achieve. What should the councillors do? The straightforward answer might seem to be to divide the cash into 10. But the obvious answer is wrong.
Some options will always be better than others. If we know which causes produce the greatest social benefits, then it is reasonable to propose the money goes to those causes.

On a larger scale, governments and United Nations agencies have massive - but finite - budgets to reduce suffering in the world. They, too, tend to distribute money thinly across different causes, often following the media's roving attention. A little extra is spent battling HIV/Aids, malaria and malnutrition. Some more is devoted to stamping out corruption and conflict. Other cash is set aside to holding back climate change and warding off avian flu.

After all, if politicians give everyone something, nobody complains. But like the council with a surplus, they, too, would do better with a rational framework which would help determine explicit priorities. For policy-makers, the list of spending possibilities is like a huge menu at a restaurant. But it is a menu without prices or serving sizes.

Currently, there is considerable momentum to ensure governments commit to combating climate change. Former US Vice-President Al Gore has turned movie-maker, creating a documentary called The Inconvenient Truth

Yet the really inconvenient truth, demonstrated by a group of economists who gathered in Denmark in 2004, is that combating climate change through the Kyoto Protocol has a social value of less than a dollar for each dollar spent. These economists, who included four Nobel laureates, took part in a project called the Copenhagen Consensus which compared the social value of solutions to different challenges facing humankind. The question that they strove to answer was: 'How could you spend $50bn to achieve the most good possible?'

The costs and benefits of different ways of combating HIV/Aids, starvation, global conflict, climate change, corruption and other challenges were studied in detail. With access to specially commissioned research, the team came up with a concrete, prioritised 'to do' list that outlined how policy-makers could achieve the most good possible.

The economists found that spending $27bn on an HIV/Aids prevention programme would be the best possible investment for humanity. It would save more than 28 million lives within six years and have massive flow-on effects, including increased productivity.

Providing micronutrient-rich dietary supplements to the malnourished was their second-highest priority. More than half the world suffers from deficiencies of iron, iodine, zinc or vitamin A, so cheap solutions such as nutrient fortification have an exceptionally high ratio of benefits to costs.

Third on the list was trade liberalisation. Although this would require politically difficult decisions, it would be remarkably cheap and would benefit the entire world, not least the developing world. A staggering GDP increase of $2,400bn annually would accrue equally to developed and developing countries with free trade.

The economists would then focus on the huge benefits possible from controlling malaria with chemically treated mosquito nets. Next on their list would be agricultural research and improving sanitation and water quality for a billion of the world's poorest people. The benefits of these ventures far outweigh the costs.

Forty dollars of good would be achieved for every dollar spent on HIV/Aids prevention. In other words, a dollar's worth of condoms in the right place would bring benefits an Aids-affected community would value at $40.

Some will ask why, then, that community doesn't spend the dollar itself? Typically, the answer is because the spending power lies elsewhere, in wealthier nations or with the UN. Information about risks are often hard to come by. Also, the effects of HIV/Aids are far-reaching. One infection today will cause more infections in the future and devastate families and communities. Yet the individual investment in prevention rarely takes these downstream costs into consideration.

The panel examined proposals relating to climate change, including implementing the Kyoto Protocol and taxing carbon dioxide emissions. All ranked badly. Spending the world's limited resources combating climate change would achieve good, but would cost more than it would achieve. That money could be better spent elsewhere.

That's why the Copenhagen Consensus economists crossed drastic climate change measures off the list of things that the world needs to do right now.

The prioritising exercise undertaken by these economists must go beyond being an academic exercise. It has to become part of the political discourse if decisions about reducing suffering are to have greater transparency and legitimacy.

Last month, at Georgetown University, a distinguished group of UN ambassadors gathered to come up with its own 'to do' list. The occasion brought together representatives from countries which collectively represent about half of humanity, including the US, China, India and Pakistan.

Their choice? They came out with a list of priorities surprisingly close to the Copenhagen Consensus economists. They agreed that the world's top spending priorities should be around the areas of health, water, education and hunger. And, perhaps more courageously, they also said what should not come at the top - financial instability and climate change ranked at the bottom of the list.

The project was a significant step towards putting the concept of prioritisation on the agenda for global decision-makers. And they were all keen on taking the exercise further, hoping to have 40 or 50 UN ambassadors participate in a similar exercise in New York in the autumn. But, at the end of the day, priorities are not the ones Nobel economists or UN ambassadors set; they are something societies debate and democracies decide.

In a world where politicians and voters are faced with ever-increasing and competing demands for time and money, the Copenhagen Consensus process can help decision-makers focus on those initiatives with the greatest benefits, rather than just the ones with the most vocal advocates.

The provision of a principled framework for decisions could ultimately ensure that the world's limited resources are spent doing the most for humanity. And that option is very hard to ignore.
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Sun 2 Jul, 2006 01:01 am
Mr. Walter Hinteler-- I MUST COMMEND YOU--SINCERELY--NOT ONLY HAVE YOU HIT UPON A MOST VALUABLE ARTICLE YOU HAVE REFERENCED ONE OF THE PEOPLE WHO IS VIEWED AS A GENIUS.

If Bjorn Lomborg has a weakness, it would be only that he is from the same area as Nimh. Would that Nimh had one one hundredth of the intellect and skill as Mr.Lomborg.

As you are probably aware, Mr. Hinteler, Mr.Lomborg is primarily a statistican from the department of Political Science in the University of Aarhus, Denmark. He has written a book called "The Skeptical Environmentalist" in which, if I may attempt a difficult task( to summarize a very large book) he says, there are some problems in the world but none of them are quite as serious as the doomsday progonsticators say.

The line in your post from his quote which should be made prominent is:

"Combating climate change through the Kyoto Protocol has a social value of less than a dollar for each dollar spent."

Thank you for providing the quote from the writings of a very brilliant man!!
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 2 Jul, 2006 01:05 am
BernardR wrote:
If Bjorn Lomborg has a weakness, it would be only that he is from the same area as Nimh. Would that Nimh had one one hundredth of the intellect and skill as Mr.Lomborg.


I don't know what this report has to do with someone's - here: nimh's - opinion.

Besides, your geographical memory needs some updates: neither The Netherlands nor Hungary are thought to be a Scandinavian country.

But I'm honestly very glad that you agree here:

"The provision of a principled framework for decisions could ultimately ensure that the world's limited resources are spent doing the most for humanity. And that option is very hard to ignore."
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Sun 2 Jul, 2006 01:13 am
I am sorry, Mr. Hinteler, I read my post again and I do not find where I said that" the Netherlands or Hungary were a Scandanavian Country"
0 Replies
 
 

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