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Wed 29 Sep, 2004 03:50 pm
I ask a three students a question.
Student A has a 80% chance to answer correctly,
Student B has a 60% chance,
and Student C has a 40% chance.
What is the probability that the question is answered correctly?
By all of them? By at least one of them?
What is the rule that a student is chosen among the three?
The probability that they all answer correctly is .192.
The probability that at least one of them answers correctly is .952.
You add each percentage together and divide by 300 (the total percentage)
So it would be 80 + 60 + 40 = 180 so it is 180/300 which leaves 60, so there is a 60% chance. Hope this helps!!
I believe MarkR is correct.
80% chance leaves 20% chance of failure.
60% chance of getting right after that leaves 8% of failure.
40% chance of getting it right after that leaves 4.8% chance of failure.
Chance of getting the right answer: 95.2% (.952 probability)
Another way to do it ...
.8+.6+.4 = probability that anyone gets it right, but this incorrectly includes the cases where 2 people get it right. so you need to subtract these cases, which is .8*.6 + .8*.4 + .6*.4 ........... but wait a minute, that takes out too much .. you have to put back the case where all 3 get it right.
.8+.6+.4 - (.8*.6 + .8*.4 + .6*.4) + .8*.6*.4 =
1.8 - 1.04 + .192 = .952 as previosly noted.
This solution can be seen more easily with a Venn diagram.