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Probability

 
 
Reply Wed 29 Sep, 2004 03:50 pm
I ask a three students a question.
Student A has a 80% chance to answer correctly,
Student B has a 60% chance,
and Student C has a 40% chance.
What is the probability that the question is answered correctly?
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Type: Discussion • Score: 1 • Views: 758 • Replies: 8
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markr
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Sep, 2004 06:10 pm
By all of them? By at least one of them?
0 Replies
 
satt fs
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Sep, 2004 08:21 pm
What is the rule that a student is chosen among the three?
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markr
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Sep, 2004 10:24 pm
The probability that they all answer correctly is .192.
The probability that at least one of them answers correctly is .952.
0 Replies
 
Tryagain
 
  1  
Reply Thu 30 Sep, 2004 05:15 am
100%.
0 Replies
 
storm bay
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 Oct, 2004 01:47 pm
You add each percentage together and divide by 300 (the total percentage)
So it would be 80 + 60 + 40 = 180 so it is 180/300 which leaves 60, so there is a 60% chance. Hope this helps!! Smile
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DrewDad
 
  1  
Reply Fri 1 Oct, 2004 02:50 pm
I believe MarkR is correct.

80% chance leaves 20% chance of failure.
60% chance of getting right after that leaves 8% of failure.
40% chance of getting it right after that leaves 4.8% chance of failure.

Chance of getting the right answer: 95.2% (.952 probability)
0 Replies
 
pjnbarb
 
  1  
Reply Mon 4 Oct, 2004 10:36 am
Another way to do it ...
.8+.6+.4 = probability that anyone gets it right, but this incorrectly includes the cases where 2 people get it right. so you need to subtract these cases, which is .8*.6 + .8*.4 + .6*.4 ........... but wait a minute, that takes out too much .. you have to put back the case where all 3 get it right.

.8+.6+.4 - (.8*.6 + .8*.4 + .6*.4) + .8*.6*.4 =

1.8 - 1.04 + .192 = .952 as previosly noted.

This solution can be seen more easily with a Venn diagram.
0 Replies
 
CharlieA
 
  1  
Reply Wed 6 Oct, 2004 08:46 pm
95.2%
0 Replies
 
 

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