blatham wrote:Last quick note before I sign off for a bit...
As regards our varying notions of the importance of the oil resource within the dynamic of present US (and others' actions), might I suggest a weaker version of what Moore suggests.
I hope that's not too abstract for here, but I'm rushed and I wanted to point more generally to something which Moore addresses but perhaps incorrectly.
I may be missing your point, but I think there very definitely is a clear link between oil and Iraq. I hasten to add that I don't believe it is quite so simplistic as Bush invading Iraq to line the pockets of oil barons. However, the importance of oil in fashioning American Middle East policy is undeniable. Of course this doesn't mean that the invasion of Iraq was unjustified.
Without oil, the Middle East would almost certainly have had a very different modern history and one that probably would not have featured the United States in such a primary role.
It is impossible to describe with certainty an alternate history of the Middle East without oil. America could have found itself drawn into conflicts in the region due to Soviet border concerns, European colonial ties, and the presence of Israel, but it would have been for ideological and political reasons, not economics, and the necessity to preserve Western access to the region would not have been any where near as intense as it is in our actually history.
In any case, it is very clearly oil that has generated our intense interest in the region. Without oil, I doubt very much there would have been the first Gulf War or the follow up invasion of Iraq. Without oil there probably would not be a war going on between the West and Islamist extremists.
For good or for bad, oil has fueled our economy for quite some time now. Once hooked, we could hardly give it up. People have benefited from this dependence but they have not created it for their own benefit. If no one in America was getting rich directly from oil we would still have an enormous strategic interest in the oil rich Middle East.
All wars have multiple causative components, and most, if not all, have, to some extent, economics as one of those components. The extremely rich and powerful munitions manufacturers of Europe provided an important economic causation for WWI, but that was not the only cause.
Oil has brought America to the Middle East. Perhaps Israel would have brought America to the US in a oil free region of an alternate history, but without oil the arab enemies of Israel would not have likely received any support or sympathy from the rest of the world.
It is impossible to deny oil's importance to the history of the Middle East and America's interactions with the region, however this doesn't mean that each and every action taken by America within the region has been based solely on oil or that the invasion of Iraq was even directly connected to oil.
Having been brought to the region by oil, America has, through valid or invalid reasons, earned the enmity of Islamic fundamentalists who have turned to terrorism in waging a war against the West. Invading Iraq was a justifiably strategic move in the conduct of that war. If, in the oil free alternate history, America found itself in the same position with Islamic terrorists, an invasion of Iraq would be just as justifiable.
History doesn't flow from single causations. Oil is an important causation, but it is not the only one.