@joefromchicago,
joefromchicago wrote:We can agree that Jesus was as historical as the real people who inspired Emma Bovary, Columbo, and Michael Doonsbury (if, indeed, they were inspired by real people -- I have no clue).
I don't think we have a clue whether the New Testament's Jesus of Nazareth was inspired by real people, either. But, close enough.
joefromchicago wrote:I don't deny that theological obscurity can have a kind of "evolutionary" advantage [...] But it still strikes me as implausible that anyone starting a religion would choose that strategy by inventing a figure like Jesus.
I see we have another mismatch here, this time in our unstated assumptions. You seem to imagine the "making-up of a person out of thin air" as a process of intelligent design. Meanwhile, I imagine it as evolution all the way back. In an evolutionary dynamic, it doesn't matter who the original storyteller was or what strategy he chose, if any. Maybe it started with someone sitting in a kosher Irish pub in Jerusalem and, having had a few too many drinks, spinning some yarn about some dude he claimed to have heard about. Whether the dude was fact or fiction doesn't really matter.
What matters is that enough people in the audience like the story enough to retell it. In retelling it, they unconsciously aggrandize some bits that they liked. "He liked to splash around in the water" turns into "actually, he was a pretty good swimmer", which turns into "little-known fact: he literally
walked on water!". On the other hand, retellers instinctively omit bits they didn't like hearing. And then, of course, they also add some yarn of their own.
Ten years later, the story is utterly transformed. It has looped many thousand times through an evolutionary cycle, consisting of Chinese-whisper effect after people selecting and amplifying their favorite bits after more Chinese-whisper effect, and so on forever. The story now comes in many versions that compete for people hearing and retelling them. And the winners in this competition are entirely determined by the selective environment: What do storytellers like to listen to? And what do listeners like to retell?
Assume, as I do, that the making-up of Jesus's biography happened in such an evolutionary fashion. Where does that leave us with Occam's razor and the mess that was the Jesus character's life? It seems to me that we're good. The messiness of Jesus's story is no longer a surprise to be explained, or else to be cut out by the razor. It is, rather, an expected consequence of the underlying Chinese-whisper effect, and of obscurity being a selective advantage in many theological environments.