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Why scammers claim to be from Nigeria...

 
 
Wed 20 Jun, 2012 08:04 am
http://www.businessinsider.com/microsofts-research-scientists-finally-solved-why-scammehttp://www.businessinsider.com/microsofts-research-scientists-finally-solved-why-scammers-say-theyre-from-nigeria-2012-6rs-say-theyre-from-nigeria-2012-6


Quote:

Scam emails usually have two things in common: they're comically bad, and they're from a Nigerian prince.
You might think that's a silly strategy, but it turns out it's not.
Microsoft released a new white paper from its research division this month that explains why scammers use such a "terrible" approach.
It turns out it's a method for sifting out "false positives," — basically finding only the most gullible people so the scammer doesn't waste any time exchanging with a mark that isn't going to result in a payout.
You can read the full paper on its research site — which uses complex mathematical modeling techniques to sift out the false positive rate. But here's the most important part from the abstract:
Far-fetched tales of West African riches strike most as comical. Our analysis suggests that is an advantage to the attacker, not a disadvantage. Since his attack has a low density of victims the Nigerian scammer has an over-riding need to reduce false positives. By sending an email that repels all but the most gullible the scammer gets the most promising marks to self-select, and tilts the true to false positive ratio in his favor.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/microsofts-research-scientists-finally-solved-why-scammers-say-theyre-from-nigeria-2012-6#ixzz1yLHSdNxT

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edgarblythe
 
  1  
Wed 20 Jun, 2012 04:52 pm
@gungasnake,
Makes sense to me.
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 20 Jun, 2012 08:02 pm
@gungasnake,
This is kind of cool actually. I agree that it makes sense. I'd thought they were just that bumbling, though.

(I can't quite tell, are they genuinely that bumbling but it happens to work for them? Or are they being purposely that bumbling?)
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Wed 20 Jun, 2012 08:03 pm
@sozobe,
Maybe a little of both?
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gungasnake
 
  0  
Wed 20 Jun, 2012 09:18 pm
@edgarblythe,
I'd sort of wondered why all of those things sounded as dopey as they do, this is the basic answer.
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