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Predictions for 2012

 
 
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 03:08 am
1) Mitt Romney wins the GOP presidential nomination
2) He doesn't pick a white female conservative for his running mate
3) Obama channels Jimmy Carter and becomes a One Term President
4) Obama campaign plays the race card like an Irish fiddle.
5) GOP holds the House and wins the Senate
6) Eric Holder resigns
7) The Supreme Court rules Obamacare is constitutional
8) The Arab Spring results in the Islamist Spring
9) OWS protesters are a major story in the coverage of the two political conventions. There will be blood.
10) The DOW will exceed 13,000 by year end
11) Israel will attack Iran
12) "Who lost Iraq" will attempt to become a major story, but the MSM will bury it.
13) Hilary Clinton will replace Joe Biden on the 2012 Obama ticket
14) Michelle Obama will be responsible for a major gaff during the campaign, and it will have to do with charges of racism
15) Cameron's decision to give the finger to the EU will be widely accepted as a triumph
16) Major break-through in cancer fighting drugs will become headline news
17) 1,250 more Mexicans will die because of "Fast & Furious"
18) Democrats won't care one whit
19) China's economy tanks
20) Indonesia is the next big Asian opportunity
21) Russia sustains at least three major terrorist attacks
22) The Carolina Panthers make it to the NFC championship game and lose
23) The NY Rangers win the Stanley Cup
24) The Yankees win the World Series
25) North Korea fires missiles on South Korea
26) War Horse wins the Best Picture Oscar
27) The Big One will hit California
28) Illinois will default on its debts
29) Warren Beatty, Prince, and Dan Rather die
30) Voice recognition finally comes into its own and drives tech sales
sales
 
realjohnboy
 
  3  
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 06:28 am
@Finn dAbuzz,
31) The Mayans turn out to be right
izzythepush
 
  3  
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 07:35 am
En route to a tea party rally, Finn has a Damascene conversion, and runs naked down Wall Street screaming 'Reclaim the streets.'
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  2  
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 08:52 am
The nation elects only tea party candidates. Nation tanks.
parados
 
  4  
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 09:32 am
@edgarblythe,
edgarblythe wrote:

The nation elects only tea party candidates. Nation tanks.

Tea Party takes the country into 3 new wars. Lowers taxes to pay for them.
roger
 
  1  
Reply Sun 1 Jan, 2012 02:33 pm
@parados,
Not bad, parados. Not bad.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  2  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2012 04:46 pm
@realjohnboy,
32) The Mayans won't be right but their dread prediction will quickly be replaced with one by attributed to Druids.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2012 05:43 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Nice post Finn. I'll try as well with the caveat that this are very US centric predictions.

1) Mitt Romney wins the GOP presidential nomination; he picks a Southern tea party champion as his VP (Rubio?)
2) Biden retires allowing Obama to pick a new number two. It is not H. Clinton.
3) The economy slowly gains strength through the year as businesses that were holding off hiring due to economic uncertainty can't hold off any more. Unemployment remains high as businesses continue to do more with less.
4) President Obama continues to fight a Clinton like rear-guard action against the Republican House, hammering at them for their obstructionism.
5) Going into the election unemployment is in the mid 7% range, Obama squeaks out a win. Both houses move toward neutral with the Democrats gaining seats in the House and the Republicans in the Senate.
6) Iran does not take any military action to restrict oil and is not militarily attacked. A face saving way of bringing Iran back to the negotiating table is taken but no real results come from it. The British reopen their embassy.
7) There continues to be violence in Iraq, but both sides, tired from 10 years of fighting, are only just gong through the motions. Something like a civil government starts to emerge.
8) Syria continues to degrade. Resistance starts to look like civil war and the economy tanks.
9) Europe stabilizes but continues to be in an economic slump driven by a high Euro and debt crisis drain. Germany will be the best performing economy in Europe but with only 2% growth in GDP. Britain and the EU continue to grow apart and neither thinks this is a bad thing.
10) China growth slows but continues upward. Japan continues to be stagnant. India explodes. Brazil continues to be very strong.
11) Oil continues around $100/barrel. Saudi Arabia works hard to keep prices stable ahead of the US elections.
12) The new government in N. Korea does something provocative to show they are not to be trifled with (like missiles in the sea of Japan) and then enters a period of warming relations with S. Korea ending 2012 with some level of cross border visits.
13) The 2012 Olympics have tight security and go off without incident. The US has the top medal count followed closely by China.
maxdancona
 
  2  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2012 05:52 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
1) When Mitt Romney gets in the White House he signs gun control legislation, calls for national recognition of same sex marriages and raises taxes to pay for free government-funded abortions.

2) No one is very surprised.
maxdancona
 
  1  
Reply Mon 2 Jan, 2012 06:08 pm
1) Mitt Romney will win the GOP nomination.

2) Obama will win reelection ...

3) ... partly because there will be a conservative third party candidate that will get at least 4% of the vote. This will lead to some amusing fireworks.

4) The Hispanic vote will continue to grow as an election story and will be a big part of the election post-mortems.

5) The House and the Senate will flip-flop. The Democrats will win the House, the Republicans will win the Senate.

6) There may be dramatic events in North Korea, Iran and Afganistan, but at the end of 2012 nothing will have significantly changed in any of these places.

7) The world does not end.


Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 04:05 pm
@engineer,
engineer wrote:

Nice post Finn. I'll try as well with the caveat that this are very US centric predictions.

1) Mitt Romney wins the GOP presidential nomination; he picks a Southern tea party champion as his VP (Rubio?)
Or Haley
2) Biden retires allowing Obama to pick a new number two. It is not H. Clinton.
Please please please: Debbie Wasserman Schultz.
3) The economy slowly gains strength through the year as businesses that were holding off hiring due to economic uncertainty can't hold off any more. Unemployment remains high as businesses continue to do more with less.
Agreed
4) President Obama continues to fight a Clinton like rear-guard action against the Republican House, hammering at them for their obstructionism.
Agreed, since he can't run on his pitiful record. Bet that makes Obama supporters feel good.
5) Going into the election unemployment is in the mid 7% range, Obama squeaks out a win. Both houses move toward neutral with the Democrats gaining seats in the House and the Republicans in the Senate.
Disagree, disagree and disagree.
6) Iran does not take any military action to restrict oil and is not militarily attacked. A face saving way of bringing Iran back to the negotiating table is taken but no real results come from it. The British reopen their embassy.
Agree with your first prediction until Israel attacks Iran. The British will reopen their embassy in a Democratic (or reasonable facimile thereof) Iran.
7) There continues to be violence in Iraq, but both sides, tired from 10 years of fighting, are only just gong through the motions. Something like a civil government starts to emerge.
Couldn't disagree more with the second part of your prediction. 10 years of strife is nothing.
8) Syria continues to degrade. Resistance starts to look like civil war and the economy tanks.
Agreed
9) Europe stabilizes but continues to be in an economic slump driven by a high Euro and debt crisis drain. Germany will be the best performing economy in Europe but with only 2% growth in GDP. Britain and the EU continue to grow apart and neither thinks this is a bad thing.
Essentially agree
10) China growth slows but continues upward. Japan continues to be stagnant. India explodes. Brazil continues to be very strong.
Disagree, disagree, disagree and agree
11) Oil continues around $100/barrel. Saudi Arabia works hard to keep prices stable ahead of the US elections.
But fails thanks to Iran. Price skyrockets
12) The new government in N. Korea does something provocative to show they are not to be trifled with (like missiles in the sea of Japan) and then enters a period of warming relations with S. Korea ending 2012 with some level of cross border visits.
Agree and disagree.
13) The 2012 Olympics have tight security and go off without incident. The US has the top medal count followed closely by China.
Didn't think of this one but I'm afraid I disagree. The Olympics are due for an incident; probably something on the periphery...like the Atlanta bombing. USA, USA, USA!
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 04:06 pm
@maxdancona,
I guess you're planning on voting for Mitt then because the Big O never managed such changes.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 04:15 pm
@maxdancona,
maxdancona wrote:

1) Mitt Romney will win the GOP nomination.

Agreed

2) Obama will win reelection ...

You've contradicted your prior prediction and doomed your progressive causes.

3) ... partly because there will be a conservative third party candidate that will get at least 4% of the vote. This will lead to some amusing fireworks.

Not going to happen. Ron Paul is at the end of his career and his son is at the beginning of his. If the father runs as a 3rd party candidate, Rand will be forced to declare for him or oppose him. If he does the former, he's a deadman walking in the GOP.

Trump is a egomaniac but he has way too much to keep hidden. He will bluster, but he will not run.

There's no other conceivable 3rd party Candidate. You couldn't be more wrong.


4) The Hispanic vote will continue to grow as an election story and will be a big part of the election post-mortems.

As when everyone is amazed at how influential Rubio was in attracting Hispanic votes.

5) The House and the Senate will flip-flop. The Democrats will win the House, the Republicans will win the Senate.

Never

6) There may be dramatic events in North Korea, Iran and Afganistan, but at the end of 2012 nothing will have significantly changed in any of these places.

Agree, disagree and disagree.

7) The world does not end.

Agree only because Marty McFly went back to a future of 2015.
engineer
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 07:01 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
OK, we're on. We'll have to compare notes this time next year.
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 09:14 pm
@engineer,
Indeed
0 Replies
 
maxdancona
 
  1  
Reply Tue 3 Jan, 2012 11:11 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Quote:
You've contradicted your prior prediction and doomed your progressive causes.


I prefer the term "liberal causes". "Progressive" sounds so wishy-washy.

Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Jan, 2012 04:34 pm
@maxdancona,
I wish you lefties would agree on what you want to be called.
0 Replies
 
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Fri 6 Jan, 2012 04:47 pm
@Finn dAbuzz,
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
7) The world does not end.

Agree only because Marty McFly went back to a future of 2015.
Ha! True and I feel so much better now Smile
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Sat 7 Jan, 2012 01:14 am
@Irishk,
Problem is that sooner or later some half-wit is going to advise us all that the Scythians predicted the world would end in 2016.
0 Replies
 
 

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