@sword,
sword;121138 wrote:I appreciate your comments; however, that is not everything. The mathematical possibility that the universe and life may have been developed by chance is so small that is practically nonexistent.
What alternatives are there?
And what are the mathmatical probabilities of the alternatives?
And how did you work them out?
Unlikely things happen every single day.
Quote:Even accepting the supposed 16 billion years of antiquity that is attributed to the universe, that time would not be sufficient for all the complex universal order that surrounds us to become real.
How so?
How long do we need and how did you calculate that time?
Quote:Of course before the evident failure of the theory of Darwin there appear other curious hypotheses like the one called "punctuated equilibrium" but they are like signs of despair of someone about to be drowned; they try to cover the sun with a finger, in fact it just has no scientific foundation.
Well, punctuated equilibrium isn't an alternative hypothesis to evolution, it's just a (tiny) suggested alteration to a single facet of the theory.
Prior to Punctuated Equilibrium (PE) evolution was depicted as a steady process - organisms were thought of as tending to change gradually but steadily at the same sort of rate regardless of circumstance.
Stephen J Gould and some other paeleontologists noted that this steady change wasn't mirrored in the fossil record.
He put forward the idea that certain populations change very quickly under the right circumstances.
So if - for example - a meteor hit Russia and wiped out most of the organisms there - new organisms colonising Russia would change
relatively quickly in order to take advantage of the unoccupied ecological niches they discovered there - according to PE.
PE is NOT a major revision of evolution - nor was it hypothesised in order to account for an "evident failure" of Darwin's (and other scientists) thoughts on the topic. PE is a revision of a tiny aspect of the theory - evolution will be much the same whether or not PE becomes accepted by biologists as a gestalt (and I can't see why it wouldn't - it's a perfectly good hypothesis with lots of evidence to support it).
You're maybe falling into a common trap - which is to look at a revision of a theory and say "it needed revised - therefore it's wrong".
Numerous problems with this attitude:
- You're assuming PE overturns evolution - it does not - it supports it.
- You're assuming that PE has been accepted over evolution - it has not, and it wouldn't supplant evolution if it was.
- Compared to evolution other scientific ideas - such as gravity - have undergone major restructuring. Yet gravity does not get called an "evident failure".
All science starts off as unproven hypothesis and works it's way into accepted theory through demonstration, evidential support, peer review and debate, etc...
What is unusual about Darwin isn't how shaky his ideas on evolution were - but on how much he theorised or speculated upon that was shown to be relevant. Moreso than the ideas of people like Newton - which have needed major revisions/addendums.
But even if many of his ideas were overturned - it wouldn't make a modern conception of evolution wrong.
So it's a strawman to attack "the theory of Darwin" - when modern biologists know much more about the subject than he did (even if much of what they now know affirms speculaton made by Darwin, Wallace and their contemporaries).