I was asked this question over PM, and an hour or so later I had 4,000 characters too many to send my answer in PM. So, I'll post it here. There are a number of issues being (however confusedly) discussed.
The ID thread can be found here:
http://www.philosophyforum.com/forum/philosophy-forums/branches-philosophy/philosophy-religion/4004-intelligent-design.html
click here wrote:In your reply to me in the Intelligent Design thread you mentioned that there are more Christians currently today with a figurative interpretation of Genesis. I am curious as to what sources you use to know this information.
Hey!
That's a great question, and I'm glad you asked.
Gallup, perhaps the most significant American polling firm, released this report in 2007:
One-Third of Americans Believe the Bible is Literally True
The following article, from 2005, makes a strikingly different claim about Americans and their Bible beliefs:
Poll: 63% of Americans <br>think Bible literally true
The problem with this report is that the link to the supposed Rasmussen Report poll simply links to the said group's homepage rather than to the actual report. Luckily, with a bit of perseverance, if something has been published online, it can be found:
Religion
According to this poll, "Sixty-three percent (63%) of Americans believe the Bible is literally true and the Word of God".
In this Rasmussen article, from August 2006:
Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Data Anywhere
We find the claim that "Earlier this summer, a national survey found that 54% of American adults believe the Bible is literally true." This is a massive shift in public opinion for a mere one year The link provided as support for this claim leads to this article:
Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Data Anywhere
In this article, from July 2006, we find the claim again and the American opinion summed up:
"Fifty-four percent (54%) of all Americans believe the Bible is literally true while 32% disagree and 13% are not sure."
At the bottom of the page of the last article, there is the line: "Crosstabs are available for Premium Members." And when you click on "Crosstabs", you will be directed to the following link:
http://legacy.rasmussenreports.com/MembersOnly/2006%20National%20Polls/US_062206%20Crosstabs%20Church.htm
This final Rasmussen link contains a chart with the aforementioned Rasmussen statistics as well as some other interesting statistics relating to "Likely voter" religious perception.
You are probably wondering: why in the world did this guy throw up so many links? It's an important query.
The Rasmussen statistics, according to the
chart provided, claims the information is derived from a survey of 1,000
likely voters. However, this contradicts the claim that 54% of
all Americans believe that the Bible is literally true. "Likely voters " is not tantamount to "all Americans". I do not argue that Rasmussen has some sinister motive for this semantic shift; my point is simply that Rasmussen has, at least, made an important oversight.
Now what? What are we to believe?
The 2005 Rasmussen survey claims 63% and the 2006 survey claims 54%. But, as we have found, the 54% applies to likely voters, not all adult Americans, a point Rasmussen has left out in the articles. The 2005 survey claim of 63% claims, like the 2006 54% claim, that Rasmussen is speaking of "all Americans". However, we know that Rasmussen sometimes uses "all Americans" and "likely voters" interchangeably. This, perhaps, explains the remarkable one year, 9 point change: 2005 likely voters were more likely to believe the Bible is literally true than likely 2006 voters. This should be expected: in 2006, Democrats turned out to push Republicans, who are more likely to believe that the Bible is literally true, out of office. The opinion of "all Americans" did not change by nine points, it was the opinion of likely voters that shifted.
Do we go with Rasmussen's "likely voter" tally and say that 54% of
all Americans believe the Bible is literally true? I'm not comfortable with that equivocation. Rasmussen did not ask 1,000 adult Americans, they polled 1,000 likely voters.
Now we get to the Gallup Poll. According to Gallup, twice between 1976 and 1984 "40% of Americans agreed with the literal interpretation view of the Bible" while the average during that period was 38%. The 1991-2007 average is 31%. Not only does Gallup have a longer history of keeping up with this question, but their numbers appear to be more realistic given their relative stability when compared to the wild shifts found in Rasmussen numbers.
While the Rasmussen survey covers "likely voters", the Gallup survey covers "adult Americans." Given the enlightening breakdown of who believes what provided by Gallup, a feature neglected by Rasmussen, I think we can also say that the Gallup survey is simply more informative.
The Baptist Press uses Gallup numbers:
Baptist Press - CULTURE DIGEST: United Methodists approve transgender pastor; poll examines Bible beliefs - News with a Christian Perspective
Given the two options of Gallup and Rasmussen regarding the question of whether or not a majority of Americans belie the Bible is literally true, the Gallup Poll seems to provide, not only a more complete picture of the issue, not only more consistent and therefore likely statistics, but Gallup also seems to be the option of the two that actually addresses the question: Gallup asks adult Americans, Rasmussen asks likely voters and then stamps likely voter data as data which is true for all Americans.
Now that I think we have settled this, and have agreed that the Gallup numbers best represent the beliefs of Americans regarding the way in which the Bible is to be read, I realize that I have not really answered your question. You did not ask about Americans specifically, you asked about Christians, "currently today": you wanted to know about contemporary Christians world-wide. Again, great question. Where do I get this stuff from?
Unfortunately, no poll exists, to my knowledge, that could shed any light on this question. We might look at polls like the ones I have provided which cover one particular nation, but even here we are limited and would not be able to cover even a third of the world's population in compiling such polls.
So what else can we do?
The only thing I know to do is to look at how many Christians belong to what denomination, reference the official dogma of the various denominations, assume that adherents to a particular denomination believe the dogma of their denomination, and then crunch the numbers. Of course, this method, like the polls, is not completely accurate. However, complete or even near accuracy is impossible, so we have to be comfortable with finding the most likely answer and, in giving that answer, be careful not to make over-extended claims.
The largest denomination is the Roman Catholic Church which represents just over half of all Christians. While the Catholic Church does stress the importance of the "literal sense" of the Bible, that denomination's dogma clearly shows that the Bible is not to be taken as literally true, word for word. It has a "literal meaning" and a "spiritual meaning". Let's be careful with the semantics, though: by literal meaning, the RCC does not mean that the book is literally true, only that these stories have a 'face value', the "literal meaning". The "spiritual meaning" is the significance of the "literal" stories. Some of this confusion comes from one of the definitions of "literal": 'according with the letter of the scriptures'. To be literal, in that way, means to be in accordance with scripture: but surely this is not what we are after because scripture necessarily accords with itself.
Scripture has literal meaning, just as
Moby Dick contains the literal meaning that Ahab had a wooden leg, and also both have a spiritual meaning, what his wooden leg represents. Whether or not Ahab actually existed is an entirely different matter.
Biblical literalists have begun to use a new phrase for their belief: the historical-grammatical method. This method calls for
one correct interpretation of each passage of the Bible. This notion runs contrary to the RCC's dogma, runs contrary to the opinion of most Anglican communities, and runs contrary to most denominations. Even the most traditional of Lutherans, who believe in Biblical inerrancy, would reject the notion that there is one correct interpretation for scripture.
Many denominations do take
some aspects of the Bible in a literal way, according to historical-grammatical hermeneutics; one could argue that this is true of the RCC and perhaps even the Anglican community. This is certainly true of the Eastern Orthodox Church: they take the resurrection of Jesus to be a true, historical event. But that some portions of the Bible are literally true according to a denomination's dogma does not mean that the whole of the text is literally true. Going back to Genesis, the book in question, I have seen no evidence that RCC dogma demands that the Book of Genesis has one correct interpretation and is historically accurate down to the last detail. The RCC does allow for personal interpretation, does allow for more than one correct interpretation, and does not label Genesis a purely historical account. Neither does the Anglican community, neither does the EOC. The RCC represents over half of the world's Christian population, 1.147 billion people. The Anglican community has over 70 million members. The EOC has 225 million members. I think we've hit our mark on the numbers.