@maporsche,
maporsche wrote:
Cyclops, I'm having trouble with your numbers.
Saving $500 / month for 15 years an 8% interest rate will equal about $175k in savings. That's equalivent to about $135k in today's dollars (adjusting for 3% inflation). And let's assume that home prices only grow at 3% over this time frame, now you're talking about $104k in today's dollars.
On the other hand, if you able to pay $2100 (your current rent + $500 that you're saving) you'd be able to buy a home worth $250k and have a 15 year mortgage (assuming a 1.25% property tax rate, and 6% interest rate). In addition, you'd have paid $120k in interest over 15 years, but due to the tax breaks, you'd have received about 40k of that back.
So, with your plan at the end of 15 years you end up with about 104k in todays dollars and no home.
In my plan, at the end of 15 years you'll have paid the same amount of money, but will have a home worth 250k in today's dollars (assuming a 3% inflation rate and 3% increase in home prices) and you'll have saved 40k in income taxes.
If I were you, I'd rethink this plan.
Now, if you plan on moving repeatedly then I wouldn't buy a home, but if you think in 15 years you'll still be living where you are now...well.
First, you used 500 a month instead of 1000. That's certainly a critical part of the plan; if you don't save enough, it doesn't work. I have some pre-existing savings that also weren't accounted for in your calculations, as I've been saving like this for a while.
Second, there are no homes worth 250k here. Period. I'd have to be on a mortgage three times that big just to have a simple place.
Third, you didn't account for insurance or upkeep of the home once you own it; and also, I don't know who pays 1.5% in property tax fees, but here it's much higher.
Fourth, the value of homes go up and down, not just up. When you own no home, you are never underwater - a situation which I am sure you can appreciate. This housing market downturn has not affected me personally in the slightest. How much is that stress worth?
Cycloptichorn