timberlandko wrote:The Continent's latest excersize in its nascent version of the "Grand Experiment" has yielded unexpected, not exactly salutory results, it would appear.
Hmmmm ....
Well, first off lemme correct myself. Earlier I said that turnout had actually gone up in the EU again, compared to last time. Well, it did in Holland, but not in Europe as a whole. I was still lazily going on au's news item, which said that "Average EU turnout is expected to rise to around 52% from a record low of 49.8 last time around." But the results are in now, and turnout actually dropped to 44,2%, a new low. And it was by far the lowest in some of the new member states.
OK, now for whether this suggests the end of Europe as we know it, as Timber playfully suggests. Well, perhaps a comparison with the US is in order <grins>.
Couldnt find state-by-state turnout percentages for 2002 on the FEC site, so les' take your 1998 parliamentary elections. (We dont have a president, so 2000 would be an unfair comparison).
Overall turnout EU: 44% (of voting-age population).
Overall turnout US: 36% (of voting-age population). (2000: 51%).
Countries in EU with turnout below 30%:
Slovakia, Poland, Estonia, Czech Republic and Slovenia
States in US with turnout below 30%:
Arizona, Mississippi, New Jersey, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia.
OK, different indicator. Share of the vote of non- or anti-establishment candidates.
Rough estimation, cause I hafta recalculate a percentage on the basis of the number of seats gained (luckily, we have proportional representation).
"Established" parties (Christian-Democrats/Conservatives, Socialdemocrats, Liberals, Greens): 80%
Other parties/candidates (Communists, Nationalists, Far Right, Anti-Europe, Independents): 20%.
So, err, how much did Perot get in '92? :wink:
Nah, seriously - much in the results of these elections sucks. Some scary advances for the far-right. Some flippant anti-Europe votes (UK). Both partly offset by some losses for both those kinds of parties elsewhere, but only partially. And looow turnout. But err, despite the papers going "the sky is falling! the sky is falling!", I dont think we need to ponder "what is to follow the European Union?" quite yet :wink: