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Bush's next war? Syria implicated in death of Hariri

 
 
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 09:14 am
posted October 21, 2005 at 11:30 a.m.
Syria implicated in death of Hariri
UN investigation points finger at Damascus, but Syrian leaders deny allegations.
By Tom Regan | christian Science Monitor.com

A United Nations report that accuses Syrian and Lebanese officials of orchestrating an intricate plot to kill former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri is expected to bring a swift call for action from the UN Security Council. Reuters reports that both Syria and Lebanese President Emile Lahood are trying to distance themselves from the UN investigation.
Detlev Mehlis, head of the UN inquiry into the February assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, presented his report to United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan Thursday. In a series of comprehensive articles, The Daily Star of Lebanon writes that the investigators say evidence points to the involvement of Syrian officials. The UN report also says there is evidence of Lebanese involvement in Mr. Hariri's murder.

[Mr. Mehlis] said "the decision to assassinate former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri could not have been taken without the approval of top-ranking Syrian security officials and could not have been further organized without the collusion of their counterparts in the Lebanese security services."

Mehlis also accused Syrian officials of trying to mislead his investigation, and directly accused Syrian Foreign Minister Farouk al-Sharaa of lying in a letter about Syrian involvement he sent to investigators.
The Associated Press reports that a Syrian witness living in Lebanon, who claimed to have worked for Syrian intelligence, told the commission that "senior Lebanese and Syrian officials" decided to assassinate Hariri shortly after the UN Security Council adopted a resolution in September 2004 demanding the withdrawal of Syrian forces from Lebanon. The witness also said a senior Lebanese security official went to Syria several times to plot the murder.

Reuters also reports that the witness also said that Gen. Assef Shawkat, the brother-in-law of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, "set up" an Islamic militant, Ahmed Abu Adass, "as a decoy to claim responsibility for the plot."

Shawkat, Syria's military intelligence chief, allegedly forced Adass to confess on a videotape two weeks before the assassination. But the suicide bomber was probably an Iraqi who thought he was killing Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi, a visitor in Beirut shortly before the bombing, the report said.

The BBC reports that one of the most damning accusations made by Mehlis is that Lebanese President Emile Lahood, a key ally of Syria, received a phone call from one of the key figures in the plot, warning that the assassination was about to take place. Mr. Lahood has denied the charge and said that parts of the report are an attempt to discredit him.

Mehlis has said his report is actually "incomplete," and the UN has extended his team's work until Dec. 15.

Al Jazeera reports that Friday Syria denied the charges, saying they is "far from the truth."

"It is a political statement against Syria based on allegations by witnesses known for their hostility to Syria," Mehdi Dakhlallah, Syria's information minister, told Aljazeera in the first official reaction from Damascus to the report.

Despite Syria's rejection of the UN charges, the Toronto Globe and Mail reports that the credibility of the regime of President Bashir Assad has been heavily damaged. The paper says the findings have the potential to "build into the earthquake that shakes the foundations of the 35-year-old Baathist dictatorship."

[Anwar al-Bunni], a prominent human-rights lawyer and opposition activist who recently wrote a draft constitution for a democratic Syria, believes that as a result of the UN report, "many things will start to happen. This type of regime cannot be accepted in the world after this. Regimes like this have no future."

But even as Mr. al-Bunni and other members of Syria's tiny pro-democracy movement hope that the report will bring dramatic change to their country, they're worried about what might happen if the United States and France, who are jointly leading the effort to punish the regime, push Mr. Assad too far.

The Globe and Mail adds France would like to see targeted sanctions aimed at top Syrian officials, as well as the withdrawal of Western ambassadors from the country. The US also wants to take tough steps to isolate Syria and weaken the current regime. It has also not ruled out using force. But even in Washington there is a sense that "changing the regime" by force, as it did in Iraq, will only lead to more instability in the region.

"The problem everybody's facing here is that there are no real alternatives to Bashar Assad. Foreign intelligence agencies, over the last few months, have come to the conclusion that there's Bashar Assad or there's chaos. There's no real opposition here that can move the country forward," said Joshua Landis, a University of Oklahoma professor living in Damascus. The bloodshed in neighbouring Iraq has dramatically weakened the standing of the United States among Syrians and rallied support for Mr. Assad's regime, he said.

USAtoday.com reports that US Ambassador John Bolton said Thursday the United States had no immediate comment and would decide what to do next only after it had read the report and consulted with "other interested governments."

Finally, another UN report about disarming Lebanese militias has been postponed until next week to avoid "congestion."
----------------------------------------------------------

Mehlis report: V. The Commission's Investigation
Saturday, 22 October, 2005 @ 6:11 AM

Report of the International Independent Investigation Commission established pursuant to Security Council Resolution 1595 (2005)
Detlev Mehlis | Commissioner | UNIIIC
Beirut | 19 October 2005

Mehlis Report Index

V. THE COMMISSION'S INVESTIGATION

Overview

87. UNIIIC was declared operational by the Secretary General on 16 June 2005. From 16 June to 6 October 2005, 244 witness statements, 293 investigator's notes and 22 suspect statements have been issued. A number of searches have been conducted and 453 crime scene exhibits have been seized. A total of 16,711 pages of documents have been produced. Thirty investigators from 17 different nations have been involved in the UNIIIC investigative measures, as well as external experts.

THE COMPLETE REPORT:

http://yalibnan.com/site/archives/2005/10/mehlis_report_v.php
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Sturgis
 
  1  
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 09:31 am
Harriri has been dead for a while now and President Bush has not made any forward moves into this. I seriously and sincerely doubt that he would start towards a war there now.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 09:51 am
Sturgis
Sturgis wrote:
Harriri has been dead for a while now and President Bush has not made any forward moves into this. I seriously and sincerely doubt that he would start towards a war there now.


When an animal is wounded, it is more unpredictable and dangerous. Bush's brain, Karl Rove, has a pattern of attacking when in trouble. Bush is in trouble and a new war would divert attention away from his administration's corruption and incompentence. Bush won a second term based on being a war president. The war in Iraq is not going well.

I hope you are right, but Bush is a borderline wacco, a very dangerous condition for our country. The only ones who can stop him will be the Congress. Do they have what it takes to take back their right to declare war instead of giving the President unlimited power to do so? I hope so.

BBB
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 10:42 am
Bush Pushes U.N. to Move Swiftly on Syria Report
October 22, 2005
Bush Pushes U.N. to Move Swiftly on Syria Report
By WARREN HOGE
UNITED NATIONS, Oct. 21

President Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice called Friday for urgent Security Council action in response to a United Nations report implicating high ranking members of the Syrian government in the assassination of Rafik Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister.

Noting that "the report strongly suggests that the politically motivated assassination could not have taken place without Syrian involvement," Mr. Bush, in Simi Valley, Calif., said the world must "respond accordingly."

He said he had spoken to Ms. Rice about the need for prompt United Nations action on the report, which he described as "deeply disturbing."

The report, made public Thursday, called the Feb. 14 killing of Mr. Hariri a "terrorist act" and said it was carefully planned over many months by Syrian leaders with the complicity of Lebanese security forces. The main suspect has been identified by a diplomat with intimate knowledge of the inquiry as the powerful chief of Syria's military intelligence, the brother-in-law of Syria's president.

Mr. Hariri and 20 others died when a bomb blew up his convoy on a downtown Beirut street.

Ms. Rice, en route to Alabama on Friday, said that "accountability is going to be very important for the international community." The Security Council, she said, "is going to have to be the focal point."

The comments indicated that the United States was determined to rely on the report's damning of Damascus to further its campaign to isolate Syria, which it holds responsible for financing anti-Israel guerrilla groups and encouraging insurgents crossing its border into Iraq.

John R. Bolton, the United States ambassador, said the report required a "strong follow-up" from the Council's members.

The Security Council is scheduled to take up the report, written by a German prosecutor, Detlev Mehlis, on Tuesday. In his report, Mr. Mehlis said the killing was carried out by "a group with an extensive organization and considerable resources and capabilities."

The report said that "there is converging evidence pointing at both Lebanese and Syrian involvement in this terrorist act."

Syria's ambassador, Fayssal Mekdad, dismissed the report on Friday as politically motivated and not credible. He said that Damascus had offered full cooperation.

Mr. Bolton, who termed Mr. Mekdad's denials "ridiculous," accused Syria of failing to cooperate with the investigators, which, he said, was "diplospeak for obstruction of justice."

"The report concludes there is probable cause to believe that high-level Syrian officials were involved in the Hariri assassination, that there's clear evidence of obstruction of justice on the part of the Syrians, failure to cooperate," Mr. Bolton said. "That is what the Security Council needs to take up in a serious way."

Asked if sanctions against Damascus were under consideration, he said only, "We're considering still a range of options."

Jack Straw, Britain's foreign secretary, after arriving in Birmingham, Ala., with Ms. Rice, said of the findings, "you cannot leave a report like this on the table."

"We have to consider it and consider it actively," he said.

He and Ms. Rice were careful not to recommend any specific possible actions against Syria.

Though the report transmitted to Security Council members on Thursday evening did not name the key conspirators, an electronic version of it that included five names was distributed to some media outlets. The names included those of Maher Assad, brother of the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, and their brother-in-law Asef Shawkat, the chief of military intelligence, who is considered the most powerful man in the country after the president.

They and three others met periodically to plot the killing, with their last gathering in the home of Mr. Shawkat 7 to 10 days before the assassination, the report said. The report cited as its source for the officials' names an unnamed Syrian who lives in Lebanon and has had contact with high-level Syrian officers posted there.

Syria dominated Lebanese politics for nearly three decades until earlier this year, when, in response to a Security Council resolution proposed by the United States and France, it withdrew some 20,000 troops and intelligence officers. Mr. Hariri was opposed to continued Syrian influence in Lebanon, and many Lebanese believed that position led to his death and suspect Syria of ordering it.

The last-minute adjustments to the report, made Thursday morning when Mr. Mehlis was meeting with Secretary General Kofi Annan, raised questions among reporters of whether the United Nations chief had asked that the report be toned down and made less accusatory of individuals.

Mr. Mehlis held a news conference and Mr. Annan released a statement on Friday, both vigorously denying there had been any interference.

Stepháne Dujarric, Mr. Annan's spokesman, said that the secretary general had insisted from the start on the independence of Mr. Mehlis's report. "The secretary general has at no time made any attempt to influence the content of the report," he said.

Mr. Mehlis said, "No one outside of the report team influenced these changes and no changes whatsoever were suggested by the secretary general or anyone at the U.N."

He said he himself had taken the step once he realized the report was to be made public Thursday night. He explained that he thought it was important to maintain their "presumption of innocence" since they had only been accused by an anonymous source.

Otherwise, he said, "It could give the wrong impression that this was an established fact."

The published report makes a single reference to Mr. Shawkat, saying he tried to force Ahmad Abu Adass, a member of a militant Islamic group, to make a false confession at gunpoint. The Mehlis report said that Mr. Adass had nothing to do with the crime.

The report said that the Syrian authorities, after initially resisting, had cooperated "to a limited degree." It specifically accused the country's foreign minister, Farouq al-Shara, of misleading the investigators.

Mr. Mehlis, a 25-year veteran of the Berlin prosecutor's office with a record of solving high-profile terror cases, has had his investigation extended until Dec. 15. It is currently four months old and involves 30 investigators and 70 staff.

In an interview this week with the German news magazine Stern, Mr. Mehlis acknowledged that he knew his report would fuel the American-led campaign against Syria. "I don't want to compare myself to Hans Blix, but I know now how he must have felt," he said. His reference was to the former United Nations arms inspector in Iraq whose findings that there were no unconventional weapons were contested by Washington.

Steven R. Weisman contributed reporting from Birmingham, Ala., for this article.
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 04:04 pm
A wounded animal oftimes attacks. Bush certainly is badly wounded.
0 Replies
 
Sturgis
 
  1  
Reply Sat 22 Oct, 2005 06:33 pm
No he's not.
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Sun 23 Oct, 2005 07:58 am
Sturgis
There is none so blind as he who will not see.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Sun 23 Oct, 2005 09:49 am
Attack Syria? Invade Iran? By What Constitution?
Attack Syria? Invade Iran? By What Constitution?
By Jeremy Brecher and Brendan Smith
t r u t h o u t | Perspective
Friday 21 October 2005

Testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on October 19, Condoleezza Rice was asked whether the Bush administration was planning military action against Syria. She answered, "I don't think the President ever takes any of his options off the table concerning anything to do with military force."

Last time we read the US Constitution, the grave decision to use military force against another country was a matter for Congress to decide - not an "option" for a President.

And last time we read the UN Charter, it provided that "all members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state."

We've been here before. President Bush used trumped-up fears (like mushroom clouds over American cities) and frauds (like imaginary "yellowcake" uranium) to fool the American people into attacking Iraq. Now we and the Iraqi people are paying the price.

With the American military bogged down in what Lt. Gen. William Odom, director of the National Security Agency under Ronald Reagan, calls "the greatest strategic disaster in United States history," and with a majority of the American people saying the US made the wrong decision in using military force against Iraq, it may be hard to believe that the Bush administration is really contemplating further adventures.

But regimes facing military embarrassment are notorious for expanding the theater of war - witness Nixon's expansion of the Vietnam War into Cambodia. And the same delusions that got us into Iraq - from imaginary threats of illicit weapons to dreams of welcome from cheering crowds - are being repeated about Iran and Syria.

War with Syria is already dangerously close. A series of clashes between US and Syrian troops have killed Syrians and, according to current and former US officials, raise the prospect that cross-border military operations may become a dangerous new front in the Iraq war. According to press accounts, US forces have crossed the border into Syria, sometimes by accident, sometimes deliberately. An October 1 meeting of top Bush officials in the White House considered "options," including "special operations" against Syria. Bush administration officials are already laying the groundwork for attacks with the kinds of justifications they used to ensnare the US in Iraq.

The Bush administration seems to believe that the President has the power to make war on anybody it chooses without even having to consult with Congress. Senator Chafee observed to Secretary Rice, "Under the Iraq war resolution, we restricted any military action to Iraq." Then he asked, "So would you agree that if anything were to occur on Syrian or Iranian soil, you would have to return to Congress to get that authorization?" Rice's reply? "Senator, I don't want to try and circumscribe presidential war powers. And I think you'll understand fully that the President retains those powers in the war on terrorism and in the war on Iraq."

The provisions of the Constitution that limit the power of the President to make war are wisely designed to protect the people of our country from just the kind of dubious war that the Bush administration conducted against Iraq - and that the great majority of Americans now believe was a mistake. Similarly the restrictions on aggressive war in the UN Charter protect not only countries that might be attacked, but also the people of countries whose leaders may be tempted to conduct such attacks. Nothing could do more for American's national security today than a reinvigoration of these constraints on military adventurism.

While we are debating how to extricate ourselves from our quagmire in Iraq, the Congress and the American people need to make one thing perfectly clear: Attack on Iran, Syria, or any other country without the explicit endorsement of the US Congress and the UN is not an "option" for the President.

As the old saying goes, "fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me!" Congress and the American people allowed President Bush to fool us into war with Iraq. Shame on us if we allow him to do it again in Syria, Iran, or anywhere else!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Legal scholar Brendan Smith and historian Jeremy Brecher are the editors, with Jill Cutler, of In the Name of Democracy: American War Crimes in Iraq and Beyond.

[Sources: Anne Gearan, "Rice: US May Still Be in Iraq in 10 Years," Associated Press, October 19, 2005. / Evan Lehman, "Retired general: Iraq invasion was 'strategic disaster,'" Lowell Sun, September 30, 2005 / Princeton Survey Research Associates/Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, interviews conducted October 6-10, 2005. / James Risen and David E. Sanger, "GI's and Syrians in Tense Clashes on Iraqi Border," New York Times, October 15, 2005. / CQ Transcriptions, October 19, 2005.]
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Oct, 2005 08:43 am
The wounded animal reacts


Bushies feeling
the boss' wrath

Prez's anger growing in hard times - pals


BY THOMAS M. DeFRANK
DAILY NEWS WASHINGTON BUREAU CHIEF




Quote:
WASHINGTON - Facing the darkest days of his presidency, President Bush is frustrated, sometimes angry and even bitter, his associates say.With a seemingly uncontrollable insurgency in Iraq, the White House is bracing for the political fallout from a grim milestone that could come any day: the combat death of the 2,000th American G.I.

Last week alone, 23 military personnel were killed in Iraq, and five were wounded yesterday in a relentless series of attacks across the country.

This week could also bring a special prosecutor's decision that could shake the foundations of the Bush government.

The President's top political guru, Karl Rove, and Vice President Cheney's right-hand man, Lewis (Scooter) Libby, are at the center of a two-year criminal probe into the leak of a CIA agent's identity. Many Bush staffers believe indictments are likely.

"He's like the lion in winter," observed a political friend of Bush. "He's frustrated. He remains quite confident in the decisions he has made. But this is a guy who wanted to do big things in a second term. Given his nature, there's no way he'd be happy about the way things have gone."

Bush usually reserves his celebrated temper for senior aides because he knows they can take it. Lately, however, some junior staffers have also faced the boss' wrath.

"This is not some manager at McDonald's chewing out the help," said a source with close ties to the White House when told about these outbursts. "This is the President of the United States, and it's not a pleasant sight."

The specter of losing Rove, his only truly irreplaceable assistant, lies at the heart of Bush's distress. But a string of political reversals, including growing opposition to the Iraq war, Hurricane Katrina's aftermath and Harriet Miers' bungled Supreme Court nomination, have also exacted a personal toll.

Presidential advisers and friends say Bush is a mass of contradictions: cheerful and serene, peevish and melancholy, occasionally lapsing into what he once derided as the "blame game." They describe him as beset but unbowed, convinced that history will vindicate the major decisions of his presidency even if they damage him and his party in the 2006 and 2008 elections.

At the same time, these sources say Bush, who has a long history of keeping staffers in their place, has lashed out at aides as his political woes have mounted.

"The President is just unhappy in general and casting blame all about," said one Bush insider. "Andy [Card, the chief of staff] gets his share. Karl gets his share. Even Cheney gets his share. And the press gets a big share."

The vice president remains Bush's most trusted political confidant. Even so, the Daily News has learned Bush has told associates Cheney was overly involved in intelligence issues in the runup to the Iraq war that have been seized on by Bush critics.

Bush is so dismayed that "the only person escaping blame is the President himself," said a sympathetic official, who delicately termed such self-exoneration "illogical."

A second senior Bush loyalist disagreed, saying Bush knows "some of these things are self-inflicted," like the Miers nomination, where Bush jettisoned contrary advice from his advisers and appointed his longtime personal lawyer.

"He must know that the way he did that, relying on his own judgment and instinct, was not good," another key adviser said.

Despite the turmoil, Bush is determined to soldier on, already preparing for two major overseas trips in November and helping shape next year's legislative agenda.

"I've got a job to do," he told reporters last week. "The American people expect me to do my job, and I'm going to."
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Oct, 2005 08:48 am
W's legacy threatened

BY THOMAS M. DeFRANK
DAILY NEWS WASHINGTON BUREAU CHIEF




Quote:
WASHINGTON - Top White House imagemakers and Republican political operatives say the steadily rising Iraq death toll is a sobering reminder that an unpopular war not only threatens the remainder of President Bush's term, but also jeopardizes his legacy. Presidential defenders say the Oct. 15 election approving a draft Iraqi constitution was new evidence democracy is finally taking root in a nation long repressed by Saddam Hussein.

Yet some of these same sources acknowledge that U.S. and Iraqi deaths from a persistent insurgency have trumped the progress made toward democracy, Iraqi-style.

"Until the American people see something that persuades them we're winning, Iraq is going to continue to plague him," a source close to Bush said, "and they won't believe anything positive is happening unless they see an end to the violence."

"The election was a real accomplishment," a Bush foreign policy adviser said. "And we didn't get any [positive] bump from it at all."

Ever since Bush's infamous "Mission Accomplished" speech from the deck of the carrier Abraham Lincoln in May 2003, his defenders have repeatedly said the situation on the ground was about to turn the corner.

"I don't see public concerns getting worse," a top Bush election strategist said again last week, "and my instinct is that by this time next year, things will look better."

But with Bush's political support sinking and critical mid-term elections 13 months away, the President faces increasing pressure from Republican strategists and nervous candidates for a major U.S. troop withdrawal.

"We need a lot fewer troops to be there," one 2006 GOP election planner said, "or we're going to get killed."

Bush officials have said a major U.S. pullout is in the works by next summer. But with a majority of Americans now believing the war was a mistake, Operation Iraqi Freedom likely will remain a drag on Bush's political standing.

In the long run, moreover, many Bush aides believe his legacy will rise or fall largely on how Iraq plays out.

"If a year from now they have a functional government with even a semblance of democracy and U.S. deaths are lower, that will give Bush a huge boost," said a senior Republican political strategist. "But if there's a civil war and Americans are still dying, Bush will end his term as one of the most unpopular Presidents in history."
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Oct, 2005 08:59 am
BBB
Bush sure has his priorities straight, right?

Nearly 2,000 US troops have died and thousands more wounded. Bush worries about his legacy.

The American economy is headed for the tank. Bush worries about retaining Republican power in the Congress.

Yes, the really important thing is to assure that Bush can point with pride at his legacy for eight years in office as one of our great presidents.

BBB
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Mon 24 Oct, 2005 03:59 pm
http://www.nydailynews.com/ips_rich_content/914-graves.JPG

Bush's legacy
Graves of those killed in Bush's war
0 Replies
 
 

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