Of dices and Gods

I've got a bit of time to waste, so I figured I'd have another go at articulating the reasoning behind my being an atheist rather than an agnostic.

If I were to announce that I was about to roll ten fair dices I am sure no one, not even Frank, would suggest that eight or more dices having six eyes face up would be just as likely as less than eight dices having six eyes face up. Even with no evidence concerning my dices he would agree that that would be unlikely to occur. If I was to specify that my dices were of different colours, and that all dices apart from the red and the purple one had to have six eyes face up most of you would consider it even less likely for my event to occur. I could add the condition that I get heads in one coin flip following the dice throwing, and my event would be considered even less likely to occur. The more conditions I set the less likely I am to be right.

Some conditions reduce my chances more than others though, I think we can all agree that the coin flip condition has less of an impact than the "six eyes facing up on eight or more dices" condition. So in what way do we determine the impact of each condition, or sum of conditions? I propose that the probability of an event occurring is inversely proportional to the amount of information offered.

In considering the possibility of the existence of deighties I think along these lines. I recognise that, just as with the dices, I possess no evidence helpful in determining whether my event (deighty/deighties existing) has occurred or not. Then however I do not simply jump to the conclusion, as Frank would have me do, that deighties existing and deighties not existing are equally likely. Instead I scrutinise the proposed event, trying to determine whether a lot of information has been presented, or only a little. It seems to me that any structure, or mechanism, capable of processing signals in ways that generate consciousness and awareness has to be quite complex, due to the complexity of the processes facilitated. Since specifying such a complex structure involves presenting quite a lot of information I consider the event specified unlikely.