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Anyone want to make a personal prediction if US attacks Iraq

 
 
Reply Sat 15 Mar, 2003 03:49 pm
I predict the following events if the US attacks Iraq:

Saddam Hussein will do the same thing that he did when George the First attacked Iraq. Hussein had a plane ready to fly him and his family out of Iraq to safety if the liberating forces came too close. He sabotaged the oil fields of Kuwait. He launched scud missles against Israel.

Hussein will flee Iraq if threatened.

Hussein will sabotage Iraq's oil fields. He will no longer be able to skim off billions of dollars from oil sales stolen from the Iraqi people---so he has no incentive to protect the oil fields, but he can temporarily prevent the US and other invaders from oil profits.

Hussein MAY launch missles against Israel and the invading forces. They may be conventional weapons or mass-destruction weapons, depending on whether or not he can deploy them fast enough to avoid prior detection by the US and their destruction by air.

If Iraq's current government falls, we will see a repeat of what happened to the former Yugoslovia and the Balkans and, currently, in Afghanistan. Nationalist, Tribal and religious sect fighting in a civil war.

Before long, the US will tire of the trouble and costs involved and will desert the Iraqi people just as they have deserted other populations, most recently in Afghanistan and the Iraqi Kurds.

Terrorist attacks against the US and it's allies will increase.

The US economy will be devastated by the costs of this war and the subsequent years of trying to resolve the conflicts in the Middle East and in Iraq.

North Korea will feel more threatened by US attack as a result of the war against Iraq---leading to dangerous games of chest-beating.

More and more politically unstable tribal-based nations will attempt to obtain nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction with which to threaten their enemies and imperilistic powers.

BumbleBeeBoogie
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PDiddie
 
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Reply Wed 19 Mar, 2003 01:22 am
How to tell if We're Winning in Iraq

Excerpt:

If Saddam Hussein still has working Scud missiles, he can be expected to fire them at Tel Aviv as soon as the war gets underway. He'll do this for the same reason he did in '91: to try to incite Israeli retaliation, which would enflame the Arab world, widen the war, complicate postwar politics?-in short, to bring the world down with him. The missiles may be tipped with chemical warheads. Saddam chose not to go chemical in '91 (though he could have), mainly because the first President Bush suggested we might retaliate with nukes. This time, knowing that defeat means his own death, Saddam might fire the CWs, if he has any; it's hard to deter a man with nothing to lose. If he does launch missiles, chemical or otherwise, he'll probably do so early because waiting is not an option. In military jargon, he's in a "use them or lose them" situation. American fighter-bombers will no doubt try to knock out Scud sites in the first wave of the attack. If we see Patriot air-defense missiles being fired from Israeli (or Kuwaiti) territory, then we will know the bombers didn't get all the Scuds. If, on the first or second night, we don't see streaks rising or warheads in-coming, then we can surmise we did destroy the Scuds?-or possibly that Iraq had no such missiles in any shape to fly. Incidentally, Scud-hunting is a very tough task. The missiles are small, mobile, and easily camouflaged. In 1991, U.S. and allied aircraft launched a few hundred air attacks on what were thought to be Scud sites, but intelligence officials concluded after the war that the strikes destroyed only a few Scuds?-possibly no Scuds at all.
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