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2018 midterms

 
 
Lash
 
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 07:32 am
As a more casual observer than in my past, I have expected - until very recently - a repudiation of Trump in the form of a blue congressional wave.

Certainly, the news-readers’ constant anti-Trump slant would lead most people to believe Republicans will be ushered out of DC. (My CBS morning news-readers smirk and add personal asides, barely containing their personal opinions...)

Voting is at an all time high, they tell us, and traditionally, that spells Democrat victories. But, polling looks like both parties are coming out in droves.

Ted Cruz still appears to be holding sway in TX; GA may be purple now—which is a big deal, but Stacey is still behind.

Bold enough to make a prognostication? New voting trends you’ve noticed?
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Type: Discussion • Score: 0 • Views: 665 • Replies: 11
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edgarblythe
 
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Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 07:38 am
Speaking from Texas, we haven't learned our lesson yet. More Democrats are voting, but after being an endangered species so long they no longer know how to win. Beto comes close, but he, like so many of the ilk, does not go for the jugular when it counts most.
Lash
 
  0  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 07:44 am
@edgarblythe,
He seemed pretty tough to me during a bit of the debate I saw. Totally called Ted on some dishonest gaslighting rhetoric. I guess he could’ve humiliated him a bit more, but sometimes the overkill blows back.

He’s so close.
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Lash
 
  0  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 07:46 am
Gillum’s up.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/fl/florida_governor_desantis_vs_gillum-6518.html
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Lash
 
  0  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 08:03 am
Looks like Republican/Democrat hybrid Manchin keeps his job.
McCaskill is in a dead heat.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/
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McGentrix
 
  -1  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 09:52 am
I predict Republicans make gains in Senate and lose ground in House, but keep a slim majority.
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edgarblythe
 
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Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 11:41 am
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edgarblythe
 
  0  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 01:15 pm
saw on Twitter
Larry Sabato
Just had the umpteenth reporter and Texas political veteran from both parties tell me they think the polls are wrong on Texas Senate. Latest guy has reported from 7 @BetoORourke rallies recently & believes an upset will happen. As we saw in ‘16, polls are imprecise instruments.
Lash
 
  0  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 02:11 pm
@edgarblythe,
After 2016, I’ll never be so certain about reading the political landscape. Very interested, tho.

I’d like very much to see Cruz defeated.
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Sturgis
 
  2  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 03:23 pm
Recent gerrymandering has been and will continue for some time to be a boon to the Republicans.
McGentrix
 
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Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 03:52 pm
@Sturgis,
Sturgis wrote:

Recent gerrymandering has been and will continue for some time to be a boon to the Republicans.


Only til the Dems do it.
Sturgis
 
  2  
Reply Sun 4 Nov, 2018 03:56 pm
@McGentrix,
That'll happen again. It's an annoying fact.
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