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Lebanon's Government Quits in Face of Mass Protest

 
 
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Thu 10 Mar, 2005 05:16 pm
I think many of us are going to be watching this with interest.
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Community Card
 
  1  
Reply Fri 11 Mar, 2005 04:48 am
timberlandko wrote:
I doubt very much - given current conditions and apparent trendin's, that direct US military intervention wil be a factor.


We agree on this point. I'm sure you also mean that French or other military intervention is out of the question as well, to which I will also agree. Mind the word military, since other kinds of interventions are omnipresent.

timberlandko wrote:
The matter of internal conflict within Lebanon cannot be discounted ... in fact, bombings and assassinations would be entirely unsurprisin'


This is where I do not agree. I mean it is certainly an option, but too far fetched for my understanding. I can imagine quite a few derivation from the current situation, but the civil war you are implying seems a bit hard to believe.
Reasons for that would be the following :
-The country is disarmed as far as political parties are concerned. It is only the Hezbollah which have kept possession of its arms, while as you find nothing more than some hunting riffles in the opposition's camp.
-Just like you agree that it is not in the interest of the US to engage in arms, it is hardly in the interest of Hezbollah. I do not know how you perceive this party by the way, but I have a far different image of them than that merchandised by the US which insists on showing them as one brutal terrorist bunch who will opt for violence every chance they get.
-This people know a thing or two about civil war atrocities. They have all had the sad experience of witnessing it for long years in the past, and are hardly willing to go down this road again, especially after all the effort they put to rebuild the country in the last 14 years.

It is in the interest of some parties to see this happening though, and I am referring to Syria for that matter, but the Lebanese people have already fallen for this trap in the past. They should be well informed by now, and avoid such a cheap manipulation they would dearly pay for. It is most importantly on this point that I would bet my money against a new civil war.
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dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Fri 11 Mar, 2005 10:00 am
This timeline sets out some key events to understanding what is happening: (I have been reading about it - and it is very complex)

BBC Source



Timeline: Lebanon
A chronology of key events:

1920 1 September - After the League of Nations grants the mandate for Lebanon and Syria to France, the State of Greater Lebanon is proclaimed. It includes the former autonomous province of Mount Lebanon, plus the provinces of north Lebanon, south Lebanon and the Biqa, historically part of Syria.



1926 23 May - Lebanese Representative Council approves a constitution and the Lebanese Republic is declared.

1940 - Lebanon comes under the control of the Vichy French government.

1941 - After Lebanon is occupied by Free French and British troops in June 1941, independence is declared on 26 November.

1943 March - The foundations of the state are set out in an unwritten National Covenant which states that Lebanon is an independent Arab country with ties to the West but which cooperates with other Arab states while remaining neutral. The 1932 census which had shown that Christians were 54% of the population is used as the basis for the distribution of seats in the Chamber of Deputies (later to be called the National Assembly) on a ratio of six to five (later extended to other public offices). The president is to be a Maronite Christian, the prime minister a Sunni Muslim, and the Speaker of the Chamber of Deputies a Shia Muslim.

Independence

1943 December - France agrees to the transfer of power to the Lebanese government with effect from 1 January 1944.




1957 - President Kamil Shamun accepts the Eisenhower Doctrine, announced in January, which offers US economic and military aid to Middle Eastern countries to counteract Soviet influence in the region.

1958 14 July - Faced with increasing opposition which develops into a civil war, President Shamun asks the US to send troops to preserve Lebanon's independence.

1958 15 July - The US, mindful of Iraq's overthrow of its monarchy, sends marines to re-establish the government's authority.

Arab-Israeli war

1967 June - Lebanon plays no active role in the Arab-Israeli war but is to be affected by its aftermath when Palestinians use Lebanon as a base for activities against Israel.

1968 28 December - In retaliation for an attack by two members of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) on an Israeli plane in Athens, Israel raids Beirut airport, destroying 13 civilian planes.

1969 November - Army Commander-in-Chief Emile Bustani and Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) Chairman Yasser Arafat sign an agreement in Cairo which aims to control Palestinian guerrilla activities in Lebanon.

1973 10 April - Israeli commandos raid Beirut and kill three Palestinian leaders, close associates of Arafat. The Lebanese government resigns the next day.

Civil war begins


Civil war in the 1970s reduced the heart of Beirut to ruins

1975 13 April - Phalangist gunmen ambush a bus in the Ayn-al-Rummanah district of Beirut, killing 27 of its mainly Palestinian passengers. The Phalangists claim that guerrillas had previously attacked a church in the same district. (These clashes are regarded as the start of the civil war).

1976 June - Syrian troops enter Lebanon to restore peace but also to curb the Palestinians.

1976 October - Following Arab summit meetings in Riyad and Cairo, a ceasefire is arranged and a predominantly Syrian Arab Deterrent Force (ADF) is established to maintain it.

Israel controls south

1978 14/15 March - In reprisal for a Palestinian attack into its territory, Israel launches a major invasion of Lebanon, occupying land as far north as the Litani river.

1978 19 March - UN Security Council (UNSC) passes Resolution 425, which calls on Israel to withdraw from all Lebanese territory and establishes the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to confirm the Israeli withdrawal, restore peace and help the Lebanese government re-establish its authority in the area.

1978 - By 13 June Israel hands over territory in southern Lebanon not to UNIFIL but to its proxy mainly Christian Lebanese militia under Maj Sa'd Haddad.

Israel attacks

1982 6 June - Following the attempted assassination of Shlomo Argov, Israeli ambassador to Britain, Israel launches a full-scale invasion of Lebanon, "Operation Peace for Galilee".



1982 14 September - President-elect, Bashir al-Jumayyil, is assassinated. The following day, Israeli forces occupy West Beirut, and from 16 to 18 September, the Phalangist militia kill Palestinians in Sabra and Shatila refugee camps in West Beirut.

1982 21 September - Bashir's elder brother, Amin al-Jumayyil, is elected president.

1982 24 September - The first contingent of a mainly US, French and Italian peacekeeping force, requested by Lebanon, arrives in Beirut.

Buffer zone set up

1983 17 May - Israel and Lebanon sign an agreement on Israeli withdrawal, ending hostilities and establishing a security region in southern Lebanon.

1983 23 October - 241 US marines and 56 French paratroopers are killed in two bomb explosions in Beirut, responsibility for which is claimed by two militant Shia groups.



SLA was led by Lebanese Christians
Force was financed, trained by Israel


2000: Analysis - Role of the SLA
1985 - By 6 June most Israeli troops withdraw but some remain to support the mainly Christian South Lebanon Army (SLA) led by Maj-Gen Antoine Lahd which operates in a "security zone" in southern Lebanon.

1985 16 June - A TWA plane lands in Beirut after having been hijacked on a flight from Athens to Rome by two alleged members of Hezbollah demanding the release of Shia in Israeli jails. The crisis is resolved with the help of Syrian mediation.

1987 21 May - Lebanon abrogates the 1969 Cairo agreement with the PLO as well as officially cancelling the 17 May 1983 agreement with Israel.

1987 1 June - After Prime Minister Rashid Karami is killed when a bomb explodes in his helicopter, Salim al-Huss becomes acting prime minister.

Two governments, one country

1988 22 September - When no candidate is elected to succeed him, outgoing President Amin al-Jumayyil appoints a six-member interim military government, composed of three Christians and three Muslims, though the latter refuse to serve. Lebanon now has two governments - one mainly Muslim in West Beirut, headed by Al-Huss, the other, Christian, in East Beirut, led by the Maronite Commander-in-Chief of the Army, Gen Michel Awn.



Walid Jumblatt, leader of Lebanon's 200,000-strong Druze community
Smaller communities live in Israel, Syria
Religious system is kept under wraps, known only to an elite
Conversion, inter-marriage not allowed


Lebanon's religious red lines

1989 14 March - Awn declares a "war of liberation " against the Syrian presence in Lebanon.

1989 28 July - Shaykh Abd-al-Karim Ubayd, Hezbollah leader in Jibshit, is abducted by Israeli forces.

1989 22 October - The National Assembly, meeting in Ta'if, Saudi Arabia, endorses a Charter of National Reconciliation, which reduces the authority of the president by transferring executive power to the cabinet. The National Assembly now has an equal number of Christian and Muslim members instead of the previous six to five ratio.

1989 November - President-elect Rene Mu'awwad is assassinated on 22 November and succeeded by Ilyas al-Hirawi on 24 November. The following day, Salim al-Huss becomes prime minister and Gen Emile Lahoud replaces Awn as Commander-in-Chief of the Army on 28 November.

Civil war ends

1990 13 October - The Syrian air force attacks the Presidential Palace at B'abda and Awn takes refuge in the French embassy. This date is regarded as the end of the civil war.

1990 24 December - Umar Karami heads a government of national reconciliation.

1991 - The National Assembly orders the dissolution of all militias by 30 April but Hezbollah is allowed to remain active and the South Lebanon Army (SLA) refuses to disband.

1991 22 May - A Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation and Coordination is signed in Damascus by Lebanon and Syria and a Higher Council, co-chaired by their two presidents, is established.

1991 1 July - The Lebanese army defeats the PLO in Sidon so that it now confronts the Israelis and the SLA in Jazzin, north of the so-called "security zone".

1991 26 August - The National Assembly grants an amnesty for all crimes committed during the civil war, 1975-1990. Awn receives a presidential pardon and is allowed to leave for France.

1991 30 October - Lebanon participates in the Middle East Peace Conference launched in Madrid.

1992 16 February - Shaykh Abbas al-Musawi, Secretary-General of Hezbollah, is killed when Israeli helicopter gunships attack his motorcade on a road south-east of Sidon


RAFIQ HARIRI

Billionnaire and former PM was killed by a car bomb in 2005


2004: Hariri - A hard act to follow
2005: Obituary - Rafiq Hariri

By 17 June all Western hostages held by Shia groups have been released.

1992 20 October - After elections in August and September (the first since 1972), Nabih Birri, secretary-general of the Shia Amal organisation, becomes speaker of the National Assembly.

1992 31 October - Rafiq Hariri, a rich businessman, born in Sidon but with Saudi Arabian nationality, becomes prime minister, heading a cabinet of technocrats.

1993 25 July - Israel attempts to end the threat from Hezbollah and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command (PFLP-GC) in southern Lebanon by launching "Operation Accountability", the heaviest attack since 1982.

1994 21 May - Mustafa Dib al-Dirani, head of the Believers' Resistance, a breakaway group from the Shia Amal organisation, is abducted by Israeli commandos from his house in eastern Lebanon.

Israel bombs Beirut

1996 11 April - "Operation Grapes of Wrath", in which the Israelis bomb Hezbollah bases in southern Lebanon, the southern district of Beirut and the Biqa.

1996 18 April - An Israeli attack on a UN base at Qana results in the death of over 100 Lebanese refugees sheltering there.

1996 26 April - US negotiates a truce and an "understanding" under which Hezbollah and Palestinian guerrillas agree not to attack civilians in northern Israel, and which recognises Israel's right to self-defence but also Hezbollah's right to resist the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon. Lebanon and Syria do not sign the "understanding" but the Israel-Lebanon Monitoring Group (ILMG), with members from the US, France, Israel, Lebanon and Syria, is set up to monitor the truce.

1998 1 April - Israel's inner cabinet votes to accept UN Security Council Resolution 425 of 1978 if Lebanon guarantees the security of Israel's northern border. Both Lebanon and Syria reject this condition.

Lahoud is president

1998 24 November - Army head Emile Lahoud is sworn in as president, succeeding Ilyas al-Hirawi.


ISRAELI WITHDRAWAL

1978: First Israeli invasion
1982: Second Israeli invasion
1985: Israel pulls back to self-declared security zone
May 2000: Israel pulls out of south Lebanon


On This Day 2000: Hezbollah celebrates Israeli retreat
2000: Q&A - Leaving Lebanon
2001: Analysis - Legacy of Israel's withdrawal
1998 4 December - Salim al-Huss becomes prime minister heading a cabinet which includes no militia leaders and only two ministers from the previous administration.

1999 3 June - South Lebanon Army (SLA) completes its withdrawal from the Jazzin salient (north of the "security zone") occupied since 1985.

2000 5 March - Israeli cabinet votes for the unilateral withrawal of Israeli troops from southern Lebanon by July 2000.

2000 18 April - Israel releases 13 Lebanese prisoners held without trial for more than 10 years but extends the detention of Shaykh Abd-al-Karim Ubayd and Mustafa Dib al-Dirani.

Troops pull out

2000 24 May - After the collapse of the SLA and the rapid advance of Hezbollah forces, Israel withdraws its troops from southern Lebanon, more than six weeks before its stated deadline of 7 July.


HEZBOLLAH

'Party of God' sees itself as defender of southern Lebanon


Who are Hezbollah?
2004: New era for Hezbollah

2000 25 May - 25 May declared an annual public holiday, called "Resistance and Liberation Day".

2000 October - Rafiq Hariri takes office as prime minister for a second time.

2001 March - Lebanon begins pumping water from a tributary of the River Jordan to supply a southern border village despite opposition from Israel.

2002 January - Elie Hobeika, a key figure in the massacres of Palestinian refugees in 1982, dies in a blast shortly after disclosing that he held videotapes and documents challenging Israel's account of the massacres.

2002 September - Row with Israel over Lebanon's plan to divert water from a border river. Israel says it cannot tolerate the diversion of the Wazzani, which provides 10% of its drinking water, and threatens the use of military force.

2003 August - Car bomb in Beirut kills a member of Lebanon's militant Hezbollah group. Hezbollah and a government minister blame Israel for the blast.

Spotlight on Syria

2004 September - UN Security Council adopts a resolution - aimed at Syria - demanding that foreign troops leave Lebanon. Syria dismisses the move.



Syria has come under pressure to pull its troops out of Lebanon


2004: UN urges Syria to leave Lebanon
2004: Syria feels squeeze over Lebanon

Parliament votes to extend President Lahoud's term by three years. Weeks of political deadlock end with the unexpected departure of Rafiq Hariri - who had at first opposed the extension - as prime minister.

2005 February - Former prime minister Rafiq Hariri is killed in a massive car bomb attack in Beirut. The cabinet of Prime Minister Omar Karami resigns after two weeks of anti-Syrian rallies sparked by the assassination. There are growing calls for Syria to withdraw its troops.

2005 March - Hundreds of thousands of Lebanese rally in Beirut to show support for Syria.

Days after his resignation, pro-Syrian former PM Omar Karami is asked by the president to form a new government. Opposition politicians had not fielded a candidate.
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Fri 11 Mar, 2005 10:07 am
Info on Hezbolah - perhaps a little more complex a force than they are being portrayed:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4314423.stm

BBC Question and Answer on Syria's involvement in Lebanon:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4308823.stm

Israel's invasion and occupation of Lebanon - words and pictures!

HERE!
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Sun 13 Mar, 2005 04:04 am
Intereting article from Foreign Policy:

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/files/story2815.php

(Not that anyone is reading - lol!)
0 Replies
 
Community Card
 
  1  
Reply Sun 13 Mar, 2005 04:55 am
dlowan wrote:


(Not that anyone is reading - lol!)


Oh but I am dlowan !
Thing is that I do my reading all over the net, and if I see any use for forums, it's mainly to debate the issues as opposed to reading some more.
Do not take this the wrong way, but too much articles and links doesn't help much in elaborating discussions.
God knows I've tried one too many times to engage in lively exchange of input related to different topics, but it would just die off shortly after.
In other words now, maybe you would care to phrase your own understanding of the situation related to the topic so we could talk it over some more.
0 Replies
 
dlowan
 
  1  
Reply Sun 13 Mar, 2005 07:19 am
Fair comment - I haven't really had time to do a lot of digesting of information and opinion forming - I guess I am using this thread to deposit information on.

I am very interested in others' informed opinion, though, and hope to formulate and note some of my own later.
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Sun 13 Mar, 2005 07:57 am
Community Card, don't discount the possibility of Syrian-fomented internecine violence, and should it occur, the only indigenous entity possessed of the organization and assets required to effect same is Hezbolah. Just since the 1950s, Lebanon has undergone over a dozen unpleasantries significant enough to be termed "Armed Conflicts"; the 1952 Maronite coup, the '58 civil war, the '68 Israeli response to Lebanese-based attackers, the Palestinian-Lebanese clashes of '69, the Christian-Shia clashes of '69-'70, the Palestinian-Lebanese clashes of '70, and again in '71, the '73 Israeli reactive incursion, the '73 Lebanese-Palestinian clashes, the '75-'76 civil war, the '78 and '82 Israeli reactive incursions, and the '90 Phalangist coup with its resulting Syrian takeover. All that apart from assorted minor sectarian violence, bombings, and assassinations which have been a feature Lebanese life for more than half a century. With that as history, any assumption regarding the possible developments of current Lebanese events that does not admit the potential for violence is at best disingenuous.
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