Lash wrote:I It wouldn't take much to blow it asunder. Russia is suffering. I bet Putin is getting reamed on a regular basis by the old timers. He may be forced to strike out somehow.
You've mentioned twice that Putin is probably being "forced" to take hardline positions by some force of oldtimers.
Tiny mistake.
Putin IS the oldtimer.
He is the one who's a former KGB chief. A former KGB chief who has never in his political career distanced himself from those times or his position back then. What is more, ever since he took over from Yeltsin he's been stuffing the power organs with other ex-KGB people, especially from among the ones he used to work with himself. Strong clan sense.
Nothing Putin has done politically when it comes to the (ever less free) media, (ever less free) elections, relationships with the (ever more powerless) parliament, (ever harsher) treatment of opposition-minded business people, (ever greater) recentralisation of power (a reversal of the Yeltsin era decentralisation) - etc etc etc - shows any disinclination towards the old ways. On the opposite,
from day one he has presided over recentralisation of a re-authoritarianised power.
No other political force of significance was pushing him. Instead, he created his own, a slavishly loyal party that now dominates parliament, a movement that includes practical youth brigades that might remind one of the old Komsomol.
Now with Gorby, one could still say he was torn by the reformers on his left and the orthodox communists on his right (sorry, that was how "left" and "right" were used there back then) - he was a relatively weak leader, pushed and egged on by powerful factions here and there. But Putin listens to noone - and
needs not listen to noone, because he has long eliminated or coopted all rivals that had a significant power base of their own. All there's left now is Zhuganov's nostalgia-club of angry communist pensioners and a bunch of ever reasonable, but mostly-unheard and utterly powerless free-market, pro-democracy liberal intellectuals like Nemtsov or Yavlinsky.
Putin is not being pushed. Unlike Gorby, he has no such excuse. Putin IS the restoration.
The EU has faced up to that some time ago, but is too bloody cowardly to do much about it but accept the odd symbolic declaration of disagreement. Time for Bush to better the Europeans. Glad to see his administration seemingly taking a tough stance on developments in the Ukraine now.