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London think tank: al Qaeda Has 18,000 Militants for Raids

 
 
Reply Tue 25 May, 2004 11:20 am
al Qaeda Has 18,000 Militants for Raids - Think Tank
Tue May 25, 2004
By Paul Majendie

LONDON (Reuters) - Al Qaeda has more than 18,000 militants ready to strike and the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq has accelerated recruitment to the ranks of Osama bin Laden's network, a leading London think-tank said on Tuesday.

Al Qaeda's finances were in good order, its "middle managers" provided expertise to Islamic militants around the globe and bin Laden's drawing power was as strong as ever, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said.

It warned in its annual Strategic Survey that al Qaeda would keep trying to develop plans for attacks in North America and Europe and that the network ideally wanted to use weapons of mass destruction.

"Meanwhile, soft targets encompassing Americans, Europeans and Israelis, and aiding the insurgency in Iraq, will do," the institute said.

"Galvanized by Iraq if compromised by Afghanistan, al Qaeda remains a viable and effective network of networks," it said.

The IISS said al Qaeda lost its base after the toppling of the Taliban in Afghanistan in late 2001 but had since adapted to become more decentralized, "virtual" and invisible in more than 60 countries.

"The Afghanistan intervention offensively hobbled but defensively benefited al Qaeda," it said.

The institute said 2,000 al Qaeda members and more than half of the group's 30 leaders had been killed or captured.

The IISS said the 1,000 al Qaeda militants estimated to be in Iraq were a minute fraction of its potential strength.

"A rump leadership is still intact and over 18,000 potential terrorists are at large with recruitment accelerating on account of Iraq," the IISS said. It gave no source for the figure.

Purported video and audio tapes by bin Laden have appeared from time to time despite a U.S.-led manhunt since the September 11, 2001 attacks on New York and Washington to capture him "dead or alive."

"Bin Laden's charisma, presumed survival and elusiveness enhance (al Qaeda's) iconic drawing power," the IISS said.

It said al Qaeda was reported to be exporting extremism on a global scale with "middle managers" providing planning, logistical advice, material and financing to smaller groups in Saudi Arabia and Morocco and probably Indonesia and Kenya.

The IISS said the Madrid train bombings in March suggested al Qaeda had now fully reconstituted and had set its sights firmly on the United States and its closest allies in Europe.
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Terror Groups Raising Funds Through Counterfeit Goods
May 25, 2004
AP Interview: Interpol Chief Warns Terror Groups Raising Funds Through Counterfeit Goods
By Paul Geitner
The Associated Press

BRUSSELS, Belgium (AP) - Terror groups increasingly are turning to the lucrative trade in counterfeit goods - from brake pads to music CDs - to finance their operations, but governments are only slowly waking up to the threat, the head of Interpol warned Tuesday.

Interpol Secretary General Ronald Noble cited the seizure of $1.2 million worth of counterfeit German brake pads and shock absorbers in Lebanon last October. A subsequent inquiry found that profits were destined for supporters of Hezbollah, considered a terrorist organization by Washington.

"Right now we're at the tip of the iceberg," Noble told The Associated Press in an interview at the First Global Congress on Combatting Counterfeiting. "If law enforcement and governments focused on it more we'd find more evidence of it."

Last year, Danish customs intercepted a container filled with counterfeit shampoos and other toiletries allegedly sent by a member of al-Qaida. Danish, British and U.S. investigators were unable to determine how much, if any, of the profits went directly to the terror group.

Paramilitary groups in Northern Ireland and Colombia's main rebel army, FARC, also benefit from sales of counterfeit goods, including CDs and cigarettes, he said.

"There's evidence and it's increasing," said Noble, adding it was almost inevitable that terrorists would follow organized crime into the counterfeiting business.

"It's a low-risk, high-profit crime area that for most governments and most police forces is not a high priority. And therefore criminals are more likely to want to get involved in this area rather than drug trafficking."

The Brussels-based World Customs Organization, which organized the congress, estimated trade in counterfeit products exceeded 6 percent of global trade last year, or more than $500 billion.

That includes an estimated 10 percent of all pharmaceuticals sold (up to 60 percent in developing countries), 10 percent of car parts sold in Europe and 2 percent of the 26 million airline parts installed each year around the world.

"The general public often views these infractions as 'victimless crimes' limited to luxury goods," said World Customs Organization secretary general Michel Danet. "However, we all know that counterfeiting not only harms the economy and society but can also seriously affect consumers and even kill them."

Business leaders sponsoring the event said more had to be done to raise public awareness - and rejection - of a problem that Unilever Foods marketing president Anthony Simon described as having reached "crisis dimensions."

"Suddenly this is a huge criminal industry," he said. Counterfeits of his company's brand, ranging from Dove soap to Calvin Klein perfumes, are rising 30 percent a year and spreading from parts of Asia, Russia and the Middle East to Latin America and Africa.

Yet Noble, Interpol's first American chief, said he felt "no pressure" from governments to step up anti-counterfeiting efforts. Counterfeiters also generally face a low risk of prosecution if caught and relatively light penalties if convicted.

"The effort going into fighting the problem pales in comparison to the profit and the harm caused," he said. "There does have to be a change in philosophy in terms of the laws, but also in terms of the law enforcement."

Noble is trying to drum up $1.7 million from the agency's 181 member countries for an initiative to document the scale of the problem globally and assist in combatting it.

In the meantime, he said, governments should make more use of existing Interpol resources, such as a nearly 2-year-old database for stolen travel documents that was endorsed by Group of Eight ministers two weeks ago.

Only 40 countries have signed on - including the United States just this month - but already 1.5 million documents are listed and agencies checking it have had a 10 percent "hit rate," he said.

"Intelligence gathering and intelligence sharing and then acting in a coordinated fashion is the future," he said.
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This story can be found at: http://ap.tbo.com/ap/breaking/MGBM3G69OUD.html
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