Montana, she probably will learn. I think the more time you can "supervise" them, the better they respond.
Boris Kitten has always had his own room (so spoiled!). So when I'm not here, he can't scratch the furniture, just his little carpeted house.
When he was out of his room, when he was younger, I'd watch him pretty closely, and correct him when he scratched the furniture. He's an easy cat, though, and listens very well....even did as a kitten.
Anyway, point was that if you're not there to correct her, maybe you can limit her to a certain area where the furniture is scratch-able, or she just has her scratch toys.
The good news is, once kitty is trained, she'll never forget! And hopefully you'll have a good 15 years with little buskie.
I just love cats!