The question -- "How do we know the Universe hasn't existed forever?" has come up on a number of threads. The fact is we know quite a bit about the beginning of the Univserse.
First, a brief note on what it means to "know" a scientific fact. Of course we can never prove anything, but there are ways that we can be "darn sure". Certain scientific "fact" are widely accepted since based on evidence it is very improbable that they are incorrect.
Scientific facts have the following qualities (this is not a complete list):
- They are not contradicted by any experiment.
- They are testable and tested. Someone can make a prediction -- "if this is true than this will happen" -- then make a measurement that matches the predicted results.
- There is no other rational way to explained what is observed.
- They are peer reviewed. Scientific facts are discussed and questioned by the scientific community before they are accepted.
It also helps if they are explained by more than one area of science. If people working on cosmology get the same results as those working on thermodynamics, it is even more likely that they are correct.
The fact that the Universe has not been around forever is very certain and it accepted by the scientific community as fact. This fact has passed all of the criteria above.
HUBBLE AND THE BIG BANG
Edwin Hubble brought the "Big Bang" into public consciousness. He was studying the speed of galaxies and noticed something which at the time seemed strange. The further a galaxy was from us, the faster it was moving. Think about this for a moment. If the galaxies where all moving around randomly, this would not happen.
The only way to explain this is that the galaxies are moving away from a single place. If you think about what happened in the past, the galaxies must have been in the same place at one time.
This became known at the time as the "Big Bang" theory, and at the time it was just a theory. However what we have done since makes it much more than a theory.
THE PHYSICS OF THE BIG BANG
Scientists took this idea and used mathematics and physics to understand how the Big Bang could have happened. Especially interesting are Einsteins General Relativity and Chemistry.
The model (set of equations) that physicists used to describe the Big Bang say definitively that time started when the Big Bang happened. Of course this mathematical model was only a theory until it was tested by the criteria above. (I can explain more if you would like, but at this point it gets very technical and mathematical).
"But how do we test this?", you ask. Good question.
LOOKING BACK TOWARD THE BEGINNING
With the advent of very powerful telescopes we can look back in time. This is because light tkes time to travel. If we look at a star that is 1 light year the light we are seeing now left the star 1 year ago. We are not seeing the star as it is now, we are seeing it as it was in the past. We are looking back in time.
Of course with the Hubble telescope (the name is not a coincidence) we can see billions of light years away. We see the galaxies that are 10 billion light years away as they were 10 billion year ago. This lets us see how galaxies, and the universe, evolve over time. The very fact that no matter what direction we look the galaxies that are 10 billion years away are all at the same level of development is itself a pretty powerful confirmation of Hubble's "theory".
Looking back also gives us many more clues to the physics. We test the physics by saying, "If this theory is true, we should expect these frequecies of light from galaxies at this distance". Measurements taken by modern telescopes have proven these predictions correct.
BLACK HOLES - A TRIUMPH OF MODERN PHYSICS
One of the major victories for these theories was the prediction of black holes. Physicists predicted them and described them long before they were detected. Incidently our scientific understanding of time, including the fact it is finite, is crucial to understanding black holes. I highly recommend "A Brief History of Time" - by Stephen Hawkings, if you would like a good laymans understanding of this.
HEARING THE BIG BANG
Another powerful confirmation of the Big Bang theory is Cosmic Background Radiation. In the late 1940's physicists predicted that if our understanding of the Big Bang were correct, there should be leftover radiation from this event.
Twenty years later, two engineers discovered and measured this radiation by accident. We now have a satellite (COBE) that was built to study this radiation for even more clues to the Big Bang. A good link for this (and other topics ) is
http://map.gsfc.nasa.gov/m_uni/uni_101bbtest3.html
THERMODYNAMICS - AN INDEPENDENT CONFIRMATION
The field of thermodynamics also agrees with the fact the Universe can not exist forever. The laws of thermodynamics (which have their own set of very convincing confirmations) say that there is a finite amount of things that can happen in our Universe (the actual law is mathematical and too technical for the scope of this discussion).
But, it should be reassuring that we get the same answer from a completely different approach to the problem.
THE PROVEN FACT
Scientifically the fact that the Universe has not existed forever has been proven as much as anything can be proven. People have the right to doubt anything -- some people still insist that the Earth is flat -- but there is overwhelming evidence to say that we have it right.
- There is no other reasonable alternative that does not break fundamental scientific laws.
- This implications of the fact has been tested and has passed every test.
- This fact has been studied and tested by scientiests for some 50 years. It has be debated and written about extensively. After this has been accepted as fact by the scientific community.
DEBATABLE AREAS
It is clear that the Universe has not existed forever. There are auxilliary questions that are still being debated.
Questions about other Universes, or what happened "Before" the Big Bang are wide open. However they are impossible to study with science and therefore are currently more philosophical questions than scientific.
If there is an infinite creator, it is clear that She lives outside the Universe(or she would not be infinite). There is no way for science to prove or disprove the existance of such a creator.
There are some interesting scientific questions about the nature of the Universe that have to do with how it started and how it will end. Questions about whether we are in an "Inflationary" universe, its exact age, and its future are still open scientific questions. It may be that we prove scientific facts about these issues in the future.
Eric Brown-Munoz