Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 05:55 pm

What R the Odds ?

Last nite at around 2 am, I went outside
to look at the Perseid Meteor Showers.
I saw no meteors,
but while looking up, I noticed that a tall tree
in front of my house was conspicuously dead, above a certain height.

I considered having cut at that point.
It is clearly alive n green below that point.
I felt mildly uneasy qua a chance of lightning touching the top of the tree.
When I bought this house, Ike was the President.
Since then, I have never thawt of cutting that tree, until c. 2 am last nite.

This morning at around 8:15, a truck comes down the street
and stops at MY house. It cut the tree at the point
that I 'd thawt to do it and left.

What R the Odds ?





David

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Type: Discussion • Score: 3 • Views: 2,091 • Replies: 16
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rosborne979
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:19 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
Let's ask this question a different way: What are the odds that at various times in your life you will observe random coincidences? Any one of which when perceived in isolation would appear extremely unlikely, but when perceived from the larger perspective would be inevitable.
farmerman
 
  2  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:35 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
1.The tree service used by the DOT is routinely more observant regarding tree health than you had been until last night

2The work had probably been scheduled and the coincidence was that you only considered that tree last night.

3The tree was on the R.O.W. and was , technically the DOT's problem.

4It was some kind of Maple or a tulip poplar Ill bet.
ossobuco
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:51 pm
@farmerman,
What's that, a Liriodendron?
ossobuco
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:53 pm
@ossobuco,
Also, David, you must be older than I am. Good going, man..
ebrown p
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 08:58 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
Quote:

What R the Odds ?


Obviously, the odds were 100%-- given that the men were responsible to cut the tree and were there with chainsaws.
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 09:06 pm
@OmSigDAVID,
My mother died just over two months ago. The last conversation I had with her revolved around a family joke to do with lilacs. When I posted about my mother's death on the rainforest thread, I talked about the lilacs and posted a photo of a bouquet including lilacs.

Yesterday, in the course of conversation with a colleague I told her about my mother's recent death (I hadn't mentioned it to anyone but my manager at work when it happened). I didn't tell her anything about that final conversation.

When I came back from lunch, there was an envelope in my in-tray. It held a card from my colleague. The flowers on the card - a bouquet heavy with lilacs. I asked her how she knew about the importance of lilacs. She didn't know - she said it just felt right. I know firsthand how many variants of sympathy cards there are out there. Lilacs aren't that common. Lilies are the flowers most often seen on those cards.

What are the odds?
ossobuco
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Aug, 2009 10:11 pm
@ehBeth,
Beth, I don't know how to respond without seeming shallow or bringing up my own losses, which are not timely.
I'll just send you my hand.
If I could think of a lilac joke, I'd tell you one.
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 12:43 am
@rosborne979,
rosborne979 wrote:

Let's ask this question a different way: What are the odds that
at various times in your life you will observe random coincidences?
Any one of which when perceived in isolation would appear
extremely unlikely, but when perceived from the larger perspective would be inevitable.

U bring out a very good point, Rosborne.
When we vu a page with many numbers upon it,
we ofen see many very odd patterns and co-incidences.

Another way to set forth your counterargument is:
how ofen in your life do things not co-incide ?





David
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 12:46 am
@farmerman,
farmerman wrote:

1.The tree service used by the DOT is routinely more observant regarding tree health than you had been until last night

2The work had probably been scheduled and the coincidence was that you only considered that tree last night.

3The tree was on the R.O.W. and was , technically the DOT's problem.

4It was some kind of Maple or a tulip poplar Ill bet.
Agreed, especially #2, which is the most important.





David
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 12:51 am
@ebrown p,
ebrown p wrote:

Quote:

What R the Odds ?


Obviously, the odds were 100%--
given that the men were responsible to cut the tree and were there with chainsaws.


I dispute that this is the best chosen temporal perspective,
beginning when thay arrived and ending when thay started to cut.

I looked at it from a temporal perspective of over 50 years.





David
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 12:57 am
@ossobuco,

Thank u, Osso





David
0 Replies
 
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 02:06 am
@ehBeth,
ehBeth wrote:

My mother died just over two months ago.
The last conversation I had with her revolved around a family joke
to do with lilacs. When I posted about my mother's death on the rainforest thread,
I talked about the lilacs and posted a photo of a bouquet including lilacs.

Yesterday, in the course of conversation with a colleague I told her
about my mother's recent death (I hadn't mentioned it to anyone
but my manager at work when it happened). I didn't tell her
anything about that final conversation.

When I came back from lunch, there was an envelope in my in-tray.
It held a card from my colleague. The flowers on the card - a
bouquet heavy with lilacs. I asked her how she knew about the
importance of lilacs. She didn't know - she said it just felt right.
I know firsthand how many variants of sympathy cards there are out there.
Lilacs aren't that common. Lilies are the flowers most often seen on those cards.

What are the odds?
Please accept my condolences, Beth.
If u r interested, there are similar instances in a book titled
FOREVER OURS by Janis Amatuzio, M.D., the coroner
of several counties in Minnessota and several more counties in Wisconsin.
She has a lot of seniority on-the-job and some interesting stories,
told in a quick n easy writing style, available from Amazon.com at a low price.

I have also noticed quite a few non-botanical improbable co-incidences in my own life.





David
0 Replies
 
rosborne979
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 07:29 am
@OmSigDAVID,
OmSigDAVID wrote:
U bring out a very good point, Rosborne.
When we vu a page with many numbers upon it,
we ofen see many very odd patterns and co-incidences.

Another way to set forth your counterargument is:
how ofen in your life do things not co-incide ?

Perception skews everything.
0 Replies
 
farmerman
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 10:45 am
@OmSigDAVID,
I was working furiously on a proposal this AM. Ive been doing work from the camp and so my wife just snuck out without me noticing that she was gone. As I worked, I was getting a bit peckish. It became difficult to continue focusing on my work. I began thinking about the crab and shrimp toppings on a"Downeast Pizza" that one place in Calais makes. They have this old brick oven and converted it to a pizza oven, the kind with a wood fire that gives a nice smokey finish to the pizza. Im workin and thinkin about this pizza.
My wife just came home and she was in Calais to do some food shopping. So she brought back a lunch, guess what it was?????















A lobster roll, I love lobster rolls even more than crabmeat and shrimp topped pizza.



What are the odds that shed pick up the food that I loved even more than a crabmeat and shrimp topped pizza?
OmSigDAVID
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 11:24 am
@farmerman,
farmerman wrote:

I was working furiously on a proposal this AM. Ive been doing work from the camp and so my wife just snuck out without me noticing that she was gone. As I worked, I was getting a bit peckish. It became difficult to continue focusing on my work. I began thinking about the crab and shrimp toppings on a"Downeast Pizza" that one place in Calais makes. They have this old brick oven and converted it to a pizza oven, the kind with a wood fire that gives a nice smokey finish to the pizza. Im workin and thinkin about this pizza.
My wife just came home and she was in Calais to do some food shopping. So she brought back a lunch, guess what it was?????















A lobster roll, I love lobster rolls even more than crabmeat and shrimp topped pizza.



What are the odds that shed pick up the food that I loved even more than a crabmeat and shrimp topped pizza?
She is TALENTED.
Maybe u have some ESP between u ?


I remember a chick with whom we ofen used to
finish one another 's sentences during conversation.


I hope that u enjoyed the food.





David
0 Replies
 
sullyfish6
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Aug, 2009 11:47 am
I believe in serendipity. Experience it all the time.

The lobster roll story? Just a woman who knows her man.

0 Replies
 
 

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