Voters prepare to pass judgment on Australia's John Howard
AS HE headed to a general election on Saturday November 24th John Howard, Australia's prime minister, was still hoping that he might, somehow, clinch a fifth term for the conservative coalition that he first led to power over 11 years ago. But it appeared more likely that he faced defeat, perhaps a decisive one, by the opposition Labor Party.
For his part, Mr Howard's campaign has been dogged by doubts about his future as Liberal Party leader. Under pressure in September he reluctantly pledged to retire "well into" a fifth term and hand over to Peter Costello, the country's younger finance minister. Since then, Labor has painted Mr Howard as a lame duck leader.
Nor did a scandal, two days before the election, help the ruling coalition. Several Liberal supporters were nabbed in Lindsay, a marginal western Sydney electorate, distributing leaflets that purported to come from a non-existent Islamic organisation. The leaflets falsely portrayed the Labor Party as supporting certain Muslim terrorists and the construction of a mosque in the electorate. Mr Howard dissociated himself from the affair, but it will not endear his party to voters.
Labor must gain 16 seats to win. Mr Howard will be banking on his record as Australia's second longest-serving prime minister, presiding over the country's longest economic growth in memory, to deprive his opponents of them. It may, somehow, still be possible for Mr Howard to hang on. But the odds are against him.
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