Your math is broken.
You're still going to need Manchin and Sinema to vote to change or eliminate the filibuster.
1. Both Manchin and Sinema have made it clear that they choose not to make any changes to the filibuster rule for voting rights bill. That would put the dems vote for filibuster carve-out to 48, which is two votes short of the 50 votes needed.
2. Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski just might choose to have a filibuster (carve-out) for voting rights bill. The addition of Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski votes would move that number from 48 to 50 votes for the filibuster carve-out.
3. In this hypothetical
scenario, there would be 50 votes (for) a filibuster carve-out for the voting rights bill, and 50 votes (against) the filibuster carve-out.
4. Constitutionally, the only time the Vice President of the United States can cast a vote in the Senate is when he or she is casting a tie-breaking vote.
5. The Vice President of the United States is Kamala Harris.
6. In this hypothetical scenario, the tie breaking
vote gives the dems a simple majority
vote for a filibuster carve-out for voting rights bill.
7. The dems would need the help of two republicans to offset Manchin and Sinema.
8. Should Dems (bypass) Manchin and Sinema and look to Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski instead?