That's the problem - no one really knows. This is all new.
There are projections out there by very smart people, but none have experience with this virus.
Maybe it is going down. Maybe it is the calm before the storm - we won't know until it happens. There just is not enough information yet. And the only way unfortunately seems to be to wait and see.
And to be honest - I don't know who to believe as different people seem to have different agendas - even those that are trying to determine this for the overall safety - they seem short sighted on anything but the virus not the impact that it has on people holed up in their homes for months on end.
I am taking a wait and see - being cautious and careful but still trying to slowly do other things. Not sure if living closed up in my home for over a year to wait out a vaccine is any way to live.
Unless I hear from my brother that all of a sudden hospitals are getting overwhelmed or heading that way. Right now - from his perspective things are slowing.