@Setanta,
Setanta wrote:
Thanks, Boss, that was the kind of information i was looking for. Do you think Cameron's government could fall?
There doesn't have to be an election until 2015. The Tories are in coalition with the Lib-Dems, who have remained rather unsullied by the whole affair. This is mostly because they are the third party, with no chance of power in their own right, as opposed to any real moral superiority, no matter how they try to spin it.
Most Liberal voters ideologically tend to be closer to Labour than the Tories. When Clegg went into coalition with Cameron, a lot of those same voters felt a profound sense of betrayal that the Liberals were supporting policies far more right wing than Thatch. At the last round of local council elections the Liberal vote collapsed. Also, the one Liberal policy (a referendum on changing the voting system) was trashed in the vote. Many supporters of change didn't want to reward Clegg for his 'betrayal,' and voted No to change.
So the situation is this, Clegg could break up the coalition, but he won't because the Liberals will lose a load of MPs. Cameron is basically the only Tory in the running for leadership, there are no obvious successors, unlike Brown/Blair. If there were to be an election now Labour would be the main beneficiaries (perhaps not enough to win overall control, but they would probably be the biggest party.)
So to answer your question is, that unless there is enough evidence to put Cameron on trial for serious criminal conduct, which is highly unlikely, he will stay in power. And even if that were the case the Tories would probably elect another leader and maintain the coalition until 2015. The coalition is gambling that by 2015 their policies will have improved the economy sufficiently to remain in power. Now it's all pain and no gain.
So the answer is No. Cameron will be prime minister going into the next election in 2015.