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Does amount of pregnancies correlate to the economy?

 
 
Linkat
 
Reply Wed 8 Apr, 2009 10:28 am
I saw this pregnant woman walk past me at work today and it occurred to me, I haven’t seen too many pregos lately. Just a year or more ago, it seemed where ever I looked there were baby bellies. That got me to thinking how does the economy effect the amount of pregnancies?

I could see it going down as children are expensive. I could also see it going up as the process of making babies doesn’t cost money (at least for most of us). This could sort of be like a replacement of more expensive means of entertainment " almost like what happens during a snow storm or electrical outage.

Anyone have any official (or nonofficial) insight into this statistic?
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Type: Question • Score: 6 • Views: 1,069 • Replies: 12
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Green Witch
 
  1  
Reply Wed 8 Apr, 2009 03:56 pm
@Linkat,
I recently heard a story on NPR that abortions were up because people felt they could not afford a child in this economy. Most of the women seeking abortions already had at least one child or were not married. I do think the economy effects birth rate, think of the Baby Booms after WWII and during the Dot Com 90's.
Linkat
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 10:36 am
@Green Witch,
I'd love to do a stats report on it - if only I had thought about it for econometrics project - I did a coorelation between unemployment and violent crime. This pregnancy thing would seem much more interesting.

But honestly just in my own personal observations - there seemed to be many pregnant women here at work, at my kids school, etc. A year or more ago, it seemed you knew several people who were pregant, now I don't personally know anyone and I've only seen one recently here at work and none at school.
saab
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 11:58 am
@Linkat,
If you saw a lot of pregnant women a year ago and you are still moving in the same area and probably everybody else more or less do it it would be natural that there are less pregnant women. They had a baby a year ago or less, which would mean they hardly are pregnant now economy or not.
The question is still interesting.
Linkat
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 01:13 pm
@saab,
Actually over the past 5 years or so I have been seeing lots of pregos. But it seems to have slowed down - assuming you have people of various ages and often times women have more than one child, to see just a dramatic change could be due to the economy (economy was great prior) or it could be to almost anything.
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roger
 
  2  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 01:22 pm
@Linkat,
Whatever you conclude, you should still consider that the poorest countries still have the highest birthrates.
Linkat
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 01:22 pm
@saab,
Here is an interesting article that describes this correlation and also potential impacts to entertainment/advertising/workplace, etc. as a result of a dip in births.

http://unscriptedlife.net/articles/recession-and-procreation
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Linkat
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 01:24 pm
@roger,
Yes that is definately an inverse relationship and I've read quite a bit about that. That particular circumstance has been well researched and documented.
0 Replies
 
Linkat
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 01:28 pm
And the other thing I recently read is that egg and sperm donations are increasing - men and women are trying to make money by donating their eggs and sperm.
saab
 
  1  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 03:03 pm
@Linkat,
I don´t know if this is any help.
I looked up how many children that were born in Sweden 1973-2005
73-74-75 around 100 000 a year
the next ten years between 91 000 and 98 000 a year
goes up 1986 - 1995 102 000 - 123 000
1996 - 2003 it varies again between 85 000 to 97 000
2004 and 2005 again 100 000 and more children born a year

It looks to me as if there are a ten year period between lower and higher birthrates which does not seem to have too much to do with inflation

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hamburger
 
  2  
Reply Thu 9 Apr, 2009 04:13 pm
@Linkat,
two articles on birthrates and the economy :

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29754561/

Quote:
Many of those babies were conceived in 2006, when the economy was relatively good. A nation's birth rate tends to rise in times of prosperity, according to experts.

And for that reason, this baby boomlet could end abruptly in 2008. Some think birth rates are already declining.

"I expect they'll go back down. The lowest birth rates recorded in the United States occurred during the Great Depression " and that was before modern contraception," said Dr. Carol Hogue, an Emory University professor of maternal and child health.


http://msnbcmedia2.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Components/ArtAndPhoto-Fronts/BUSINESS/090318/AP_Birth_rate_0318.gif
........................................................................................................

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/133347.php

but this article differs somewhat :

Quote:
Many obstetricians expect to see a drop in pregnancies, especially among middle-class families experiencing financial strain. Khalil Tabsh, chief of obstetrics at the University of California- Los Angeles who expects to see a drop in pregnancies, said, "If you can't pay your mortgage, the last thing on your mind is to have another child."

Some economists believe the dwindling economy could lead to more births. Gary Becker, a University of Chicago economist and sociologist, said some women might use a job loss as an opportunity to have children, while some women in the workforce might choose to stop working to raise their children. Carl Haub of the Population Reference Bureau said that the economy's effect on the birth rate will be clearer in about nine months (Guynn, Los Angeles Times, 12/10).
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Sat 11 Apr, 2009 07:16 am
In Another Recession Sign, an Uptick in Vasectomies
0 Replies
 
CalamityJane
 
  1  
Reply Sat 11 Apr, 2009 09:16 am
I don't know, but we have had two employees giving birth last month and
another one is pregnant. We're a small corporation of only 12 people.
I also see lots of pregnant women down here in southern Cal - perhaps the
hispanic influence is contributing too. They usually have three to five kids.
0 Replies
 
 

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