Polling, Stats, and predictions of the 2020 election.

My prediction, Biden wins the electoral college vote 289-249 and the popular vote. I think this election will be fairly boring. Biden will plod along. This election will be about Trump.

Let look at the stats. Right now the maps on most sites look favorable for Biden



And the polls are looking good in most of the swing states. Trump's approval rating is remarkably consistent, hovering around 43%. The national polls give Biden an edge of 47% to 41%.

There is some hand waving about an enthusiasm gap favoring Trump.

There is a possibility of a tie again this year using only swing states. I think a tie goes to Trump in the house (it is by state delegation).

Let's see how this develops over the next 5 months.