Read this article. It's about the effect of a Trump presidency on blacks. But the part I excerpted is where he's pointing out that Allan Lichtman has predicted the last 9 presidents correctly - far ahead of election day - even when the races were tight. And this year he picks Trump.
Allan Lichtman gave me my first real scare of this election season. Don’t get me wrong — the idea that millions of people are dumb enough to support a sexual-assaulting, spoiled, self-contradicting, small-faced racist with no political experience is scary. At my core, however, it never felt real. Say what you want about America, we couldn’t really elect a clown like Donald Trump. We’re not that stupid, are we? Well, I didn’t think so, but Lichtman feels differently.
For those who don’t know, Lichtman is a history professor at American University, and author of the book “Predicting the Next President,” which offers a system for determining presidential election winners. Litchman has successfully called the last nine presidential elections well before results were in, even in really tight races like George W. Bush vs. Al Gore and Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney. His selection for this year is Donald Trump. Trump fits his system, which has a clear history of being nonpartisan; Lichtman has been working the media circuit, letting us know that we should be getting ready for four years of Donald. Oh f**k.